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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Result • MLS·Austin·Los Angeles Galaxy

MLS
MLS
Apr 11, 2026
18:30
high Confidence
Austin

Austin

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.35
X3.75
22.80
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

Away
Odds
12.35
X3.75
22.80
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
Win Probabilities
45%
Austin
30%
Draw
25%
Los Angeles Galaxy
Home2.3545%
Draw3.7530%
Away2.8025%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Austin's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Los Angeles Galaxy, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Austin and Los Angeles Galaxy using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Austin a 45% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Los Angeles Galaxy a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 24'
    Yellow Card: M. CuevasLos Angeles Galaxy
    Yellow Card: M. Cuevas
  2. Substitution: B. SabovicOut: I. Sanchez
    30'
    Substitution: B. SabovicAustin · Out: I. Sanchez
  3. 34'
    Goal: M. YoshidaLos Angeles Galaxy · Assist: M. Reus
    Goal: M. YoshidaAssist: M. Reus
  4. 42'
    Yellow Card: E. CerrilloLos Angeles Galaxy
    Yellow Card: E. Cerrillo
  5. Yellow Card: B. Sabovic
    52'
    Yellow Card: B. SabovicAustin
  6. Substitution: J. NelsonOut: N. Dubersarsky
    61'
    Substitution: J. NelsonAustin · Out: N. Dubersarsky
  7. Substitution: M. DeslerOut: J. Gallagher
    61'
    Substitution: M. DeslerAustin · Out: J. Gallagher
  8. 62'
    Substitution: Joao KlaussLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: L. Sanabria
    Substitution: Joao KlaussOut: L. Sanabria
  9. 62'
    Substitution: J. NelsonLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: M. Yamane
    Substitution: J. NelsonOut: M. Yamane
  10. 72'
    Substitution: C. GarcesLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: J. Aude
    Substitution: C. GarcesOut: J. Aude
  11. 72'
    Substitution: E. WynderLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: M. Reus
    Substitution: E. WynderOut: M. Reus
  12. Yellow Card: Guilherme Biro
    75'
    Yellow Card: Guilherme BiroAustin
  13. 78'
    Goal: E. ThommyLos Angeles Galaxy · Assist: C. Garces
    Goal: E. ThommyAssist: C. Garces
  14. Substitution: C. FodreyOut: C. Ramirez
    78'
    Substitution: C. FodreyAustin · Out: C. Ramirez
  15. Substitution: D. PereiraOut: J. Rosales
    79'
    Substitution: D. PereiraAustin · Out: J. Rosales
  16. 83'
    Substitution: H. MillerLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: Gabriel Pec
    Substitution: H. MillerOut: Gabriel Pec
  17. Goal: M. Uzuni
    85'
    Goal: M. UzuniAustin
  18. 89'
    Yellow Card: J. MarcinkowskiLos Angeles Galaxy
    Yellow Card: J. Marcinkowski
  19. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: E. ThommyLos Angeles Galaxy
    Yellow Card: E. Thommy
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1João Klauss (Austin) vs Los Angeles Galaxy defense: Austin's top scorer will test Galaxy's weaker defense, crucial for match outcome.
2N/A vs N/A: N/A
3N/A vs N/A: N/A
Strengths · Weaknesses

Austin

  • Strong home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Better defensive performance (56% defense rating)
  • Low scoring average (1.0 goals per match)
  • Inconsistent form with DDLLW record

Los Angeles Galaxy

  • Higher attack rating (58% attack rating)
  • Slightly better average goals scored (1.6 per match)
  • Poor recent form with 2 consecutive losses
  • Weaker defense (44% defense rating)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Austin453818

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Austin is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Los Angeles Galaxy, supported by bookmaker odds and API-Football model alignment.

Form Analysis: Austin's recent form is DDLLW with 7 goals for and 9 against, showing a 2-draw streak and 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches. Los Angeles Galaxy's form is LDLLW with 8 goals for and 10 against, on a 2-loss streak and 1 clean sheet. Both teams are low in standings (11th vs 12th) with similar points and goal differences, indicating a tight contest.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds imply Austin as favorite (44% home win vs 31% away win), and API-Football model strongly favors Austin (45% home win vs 10% away win) with a predicted winner of Austin and advice for double chance Austin or draw. 2) API-Football team comparison shows Austin with overall advantage (59.5% vs 40.5%), better defense (56% vs 44%), and strong H2H strength (71% vs 29%). 3) Injuries are minimal for both teams with 2 doubtful players each, not significantly impacting probabilities.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to Austin as the likely winner, with a draw as a secondary possibility, given their home advantage, statistical edge, and recent form stability compared to Los Angeles Galaxy's losing streak.

Statistical ContextAustin

Double chance : Austin or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
59%Strength40%
42%Attacking Potential58%
56%Defensive Potential44%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
64%Goals H2H36%
59%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AustinInjuries · Los Angeles Galaxy

Statistical Context

Austin

WDDWD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps1-2
  • DSep 10, 26H · Colorado Rapids1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · San Jose Earthquakes1-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Portland Timbers1-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Philadelphia Union1-1

Los Angeles Galaxy

DLWLD
  • DSep 13, 26H · Seattle Sounders1-1
  • LSep 10, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps3-0
  • WSep 6, 26H · New England Revolution2-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · San Diego3-1
  • DAug 22, 26A · CF Montreal2-2

Head to Head

4
Austin
2
Draws
4
Los Angeles Galaxy
  • Jul 17, 25Los Angeles Galaxy – Austin1-2
  • Apr 19, 25Austin – Los Angeles Galaxy1-0
  • Feb 5, 25Los Angeles Galaxy – Austin1-1
  • Oct 6, 24Los Angeles Galaxy – Austin2-1
  • Apr 27, 24Austin – Los Angeles Galaxy2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
Played2426
Goals Scored3031
Goals Conceded4340
Avg Scored1.31.2
Avg Conceded1.81.5
Clean Sheets44

Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Austin's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Los Angeles Galaxy, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Austin is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Los Angeles Galaxy, supported by bookmaker odds and API-Football model alignment.

Form Analysis: Austin's recent form is DDLLW with 7 goals for and 9 against, showing a 2-draw streak and 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches. Los Angeles Galaxy's form is LDLLW with 8 goals for and 10 against, on a 2-loss streak and 1 clean sheet. Both teams are low in standings (11th vs 12th) with similar points and goal differences, indicating a tight contest.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds imply Austin as favorite (44% home win vs 31% away win), and API-Football model strongly favors Austin (45% home win vs 10% away win) with a predicted winner of Austin and advice for double chance Austin or draw. 2) API-Football team comparison shows Austin with overall advantage (59.5% vs 40.5%), better defense (56% vs 44%), and strong H2H strength (71% vs 29%). 3) Injuries are minimal for both teams with 2 doubtful players each, not significantly impacting probabilities.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to Austin as the likely winner, with a draw as a secondary possibility, given their home advantage, statistical edge, and recent form stability compared to Los Angeles Galaxy's losing streak.

Win Probabilities: Austin: 45% · Draw: 30% · Los Angeles Galaxy: 25%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Austin wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Los Angeles Galaxy wins: 4

Form (latest first): Austin: WDDWD · Los Angeles Galaxy: DLWLD

  • João Klauss (Austin) vs Los Angeles Galaxy defense: Austin's top scorer will test Galaxy's weaker defense, crucial for match outcome.
  • N/A vs N/A: N/A
  • N/A vs N/A: N/A

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 1823:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
Orlando City SC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
Columbus Crew
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1923:30
Charlotte
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2000:30
Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
Philadelphia Union
15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
Seattle Sounders
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2001:30
Chicago Fire
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Sep 2002:30
Atlanta United FC
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 2023:00
San Diego
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%

Betting Tips

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