Based on the data, New York City FC is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for an away win. The market probabilities are nearly equal, but statistical models and team form strongly favor New York City FC.
Form Analysis: CF Montreal is on a 3-loss streak, with 7 goals for and 17 against in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. New York City FC has 14 goals for and 7 against in their last 5, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, and is on a 1-draw streak. API-Football form ratings are 23% for Montreal and 77% for New York City FC.
Key Factors: 1) New York City FC's superior form and attack/defense ratings (65% attack, 67% defense vs. Montreal's 35% and 33%). 2) Montreal's 3-loss streak and poor recent performance. 3) Standings show New York City FC in 2nd place with +7 GD vs. Montreal in 12th with -7 GD.
Conclusion: Data indicates New York City FC is more likely to win or draw, with Montreal's struggles and New York's stronger metrics supporting this outcome.
