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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC

Result • MLS·Chicago Fire·Nashville SC

MLS
MLS
Apr 5, 2026
00:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.38
X3.10
23.20
Stadium
Soldier Field
low Confidence
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

Away
Odds
12.38
X3.10
23.20
Stadium
Soldier Field
Win Probabilities
41%
Chicago Fire
28%
Draw
31%
Nashville SC
Home2.3841%
Draw3.1028%
Away3.2031%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Chicago Fire's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nashville SC, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Chicago Fire a 41% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Nashville SC a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1H. Cuypers vs Nashville SC defense: Cuypers' scoring ability against Nashville's strong defensive unit with 3 clean sheets.
2S. Surridge vs Chicago Fire defense: Surridge's high goal tally (7 goals) testing Chicago's defense, which has conceded 5 goals in last 5 games.
3Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for dictating play and creating opportunities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Chicago Fire

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Recent clean sheet record with 2 in last 5 games
  • 4 players injured, including C. Mueller and J. Elliott
  • Lower league position (5th) with 7 points and +2 GD

Nashville SC

  • Top of the league with 13 points and +11 GD
  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • 1 player injured (C. Applewhite)
  • Away game, though home advantage is minor for Chicago Fire

Statistical Context

Chicago Fire

WWLLW
  • WAug 16, 26H · Portland Timbers2-1
  • WAug 2, 26H · Charlotte2-1
  • LJul 25, 26A · New York City FC3-1
  • LJul 22, 26A · Inter Miami3-2
  • WMay 24, 26H · Toronto FC2-1

Nashville SC

WDLWW
  • WAug 16, 26H · Inter Miami4-1
  • DAug 1, 26A · DC United2-2
  • LJul 25, 26A · Orlando City SC1-0
  • WJul 23, 26H · CF Montreal1-0
  • WJul 18, 26H · Atlanta United FC1-0

Head to Head

1
Chicago Fire
2
Draws
6
Nashville SC
  • Jun 15, 25Chicago Fire – Nashville SC0-2
  • Apr 27, 25Nashville SC – Chicago Fire7-2
  • Oct 20, 24Chicago Fire – Nashville SC0-3
  • Sep 19, 24Nashville SC – Chicago Fire1-0
  • Jul 9, 23Chicago Fire – Nashville SC1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Chicago FireNashville SC
Played1719
Goals Scored3239
Goals Conceded2315
Avg Scored1.92.0
Avg Conceded1.40.8
Clean Sheets68

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Chicago Fire's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nashville SC, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Nashville SC is predicted to win this match, with Chicago Fire having a slight edge in home probability but Nashville SC showing stronger overall form and league position.

Form Analysis: Nashville SC has superior recent form, with 13 goals for and 2 against in their last 5 matches, an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, a 5-game unbeaten streak, and 3 clean sheets. Chicago Fire has 7 goals for and 5 against, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with a 1-win streak and 2 clean sheets.

Key Factors: 1. Nashville SC leads the league standings with 13 points and +11 GD, compared to Chicago Fire's 5th place with 7 points and +2 GD, indicating a significant quality difference. 2. Nashville SC has a strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, while Chicago Fire has 4 players injured, potentially weakening their squad. 3. Head-to-head history favors Nashville SC with 6 wins in the last 5 meetings, though draws are common (2 draws).

Conclusion: The data supports Nashville SC as the likely winner due to better form, standings, and defensive strength, despite Chicago Fire's home advantage and higher market probability for a home win.

Win Probabilities: Chicago Fire: 41% · Draw: 28% · Nashville SC: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Chicago Fire wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Nashville SC wins: 6

Form (latest first): Chicago Fire: WWLLW · Nashville SC: WDLWW

  • H. Cuypers vs Nashville SC defense: Cuypers' scoring ability against Nashville's strong defensive unit with 3 clean sheets.
  • S. Surridge vs Chicago Fire defense: Surridge's high goal tally (7 goals) testing Chicago's defense, which has conceded 5 goals in last 5 games.
  • Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for dictating play and creating opportunities.

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MLS

MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Aug 1923:30
Chicago Fire
13.5728%
X3.4529%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
Philadelphia Union
Aug 1923:30
Inter Miami
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
MLSUSA
Toronto FC
Aug 1923:30
Charlotte
12.5040%
X4.0025%
22.8635%
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Aug 1923:30
Nashville SC
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Aug 1923:30
CF Montreal
11.6162%
X4.1724%
27.1414%
MLSUSA
DC United
Aug 1923:30
New England Revolution
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Aug 1923:30
New York City FC
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Aug 2000:00
St. Louis City
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Aug 2000:30
Atlanta United FC
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Seattle Sounders
Aug 2001:30
Austin
11.8953%
X3.8526%
24.7621%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Aug 2001:30
FC Dallas
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Aug 2001:30
Los Angeles FC
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Aug 2002:30
Houston Dynamo
11.9651%
X3.8526%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Aug 2002:30
San Jose Earthquakes
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Aug 2002:30
San Diego
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%