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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire

Result • MLS·New York Red Bulls·Chicago Fire

MLS
MLS
Aug 22, 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.30
X4.10
21.90
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Away
Odds
13.30
X4.10
21.90
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Win Probabilities
23%
New York Red Bulls
28%
Draw
49%
Chicago Fire
Home3.3023%
Draw4.1028%
Away1.9049%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Chicago Fire are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and superior attacking stats. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns New York Red Bulls a 23% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Chicago Fire a 49% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Hall vs H. Cuypers: The battle between the two top scorers could decide the match. Cuypers has been in prolific form, while Hall will need to step up to keep his team in the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

New York Red Bulls

  • Home advantage with a decent home record (4W-2D-3L)
  • Top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals and 3 assists
  • Poor recent form (LWLLW) with a current loss streak
  • High goals conceded (41) and no clean sheets in last 5

Chicago Fire

  • Excellent form with 4 consecutive wins
  • Strong attacking output (32 goals) and solid defense (23 conceded)
  • 17 players out, including key defenders and midfielders
  • Potential fatigue from a busy schedule

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
45%
47%
Chicago Fire173747

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Chicago Fire enter this match as the clear favourites. Their recent form is exceptional, with four consecutive wins, while New York Red Bulls have lost their last match and have a negative goal difference. The away side also sit higher in the standings and have a superior overall statistical profile.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire have won four of their last five, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have won only two of their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: Chicago Fire's attacking threat is led by H. Cuypers, who has 13 goals and an average rating of 7.7, compared to New York's top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals and a rating of 6.89. Additionally, Chicago Fire have a better defensive record, conceding 23 goals versus 41 for New York. The home side are also missing several key players due to suspension and injury, which further weakens their chances.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours an away victory. Chicago Fire's superior form, attacking quality, and defensive solidity, combined with New York's injury woes, make a home win unlikely. Expect Chicago Fire to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Statistical ContextChicago Fire

Double chance : draw or Chicago Fire

Team Comparison

AI Powered
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
46%Strength53%
44%Attacking Potential56%
47%Defensive Potential53%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
55%Goals H2H45%
46%Wins the Game53%

Statistical Context

New York Red Bulls

LLLWL
  • LAug 29, 26H · Philadelphia Union1-3
  • LAug 19, 26H · Nashville SC0-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-1
  • WAug 1, 26H · Orlando City SC3-2
  • LJul 25, 26H · Charlotte0-2

Chicago Fire

DWWWL
  • DAug 29, 26A · Seattle Sounders2-2
  • WAug 19, 26A · Orlando City SC1-2
  • WAug 16, 26H · Portland Timbers2-1
  • WAug 2, 26H · Charlotte2-1
  • LJul 25, 26A · New York City FC3-1

Head to Head

3
New York Red Bulls
4
Draws
3
Chicago Fire
  • May 9, 26Chicago Fire – New York Red Bulls1-3
  • Jul 27, 25Chicago Fire – New York Red Bulls1-0
  • Apr 5, 25New York Red Bulls – Chicago Fire2-1
  • Sep 15, 24Chicago Fire – New York Red Bulls2-1
  • Apr 13, 24New York Red Bulls – Chicago Fire0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

New York Red BullsChicago Fire
Played2120
Goals Scored3137
Goals Conceded4326
Avg Scored1.51.9
Avg Conceded2.01.3
Clean Sheets16

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

New York Red Bulls

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 34GE. Horvath
  2. 14DJ. Bazán
  3. 3DJ. Marshall-Rutty
  4. 26DT. Parker
  5. 6DR. Voloder
  6. 39MN. Benedetti
  7. 80MN. Worth
  8. 16AJ. Hall
  9. 91AM. Jimenez
  10. 33ARoald Mitchell
  11. 13AE. Choupo-Moting

Coach: S. Schwarz

Chicago Fire

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GC. Brady
  2. 2DLeonardo Barroso
  3. 38DChristopher Cupps
  4. 22DM. Pineda
  5. 14DV. Radojević
  6. 42MT. D'Avilla
  7. 7MM. Haile-Selassie
  8. 6MA. Salétros
  9. 12AP. Dithejane
  10. 9AR. Lewandowski
  11. 20AJason Shokalook

Coach: G. Berhalter

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire — Match Analysis

Chicago Fire are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and superior attacking stats. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm.

Based on the data, Chicago Fire enter this match as the clear favourites. Their recent form is exceptional, with four consecutive wins, while New York Red Bulls have lost their last match and have a negative goal difference. The away side also sit higher in the standings and have a superior overall statistical profile.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire have won four of their last five, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have won only two of their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: Chicago Fire's attacking threat is led by H. Cuypers, who has 13 goals and an average rating of 7.7, compared to New York's top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals and a rating of 6.89. Additionally, Chicago Fire have a better defensive record, conceding 23 goals versus 41 for New York. The home side are also missing several key players due to suspension and injury, which further weakens their chances.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours an away victory. Chicago Fire's superior form, attacking quality, and defensive solidity, combined with New York's injury woes, make a home win unlikely. Expect Chicago Fire to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Win Probabilities: New York Red Bulls: 23% · Draw: 28% · Chicago Fire: 49%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 62% · Under 2.5: 38% · BTTS: 65%

H2H: New York Red Bulls wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Chicago Fire wins: 3

Form (latest first): New York Red Bulls: LLLWL · Chicago Fire: DWWWL

  • J. Hall vs H. Cuypers: The battle between the two top scorers could decide the match. Cuypers has been in prolific form, while Hall will need to step up to keep his team in the game.

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Aug 3020:30
New England Revolution
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Aug 3023:00
FC Dallas
12.1347%
X3.8526%
23.7027%
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 423:30
Nashville SC
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Sep 523:30
San Diego
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
MLSUSA
Philadelphia Union
Sep 523:30
CF Montreal
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
MLSUSA
Toronto FC
Sep 523:30
Chicago Fire
13.8526%
X3.5728%
22.1746%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Sep 523:30
Colorado Rapids
12.2245%
X3.4529%
23.8526%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Sep 523:30
DC United
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 523:30
Atlanta United FC
11.5465%
X4.5522%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
Charlotte
Sep 523:30
Houston Dynamo
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
MLSUSA
Seattle Sounders
Sep 600:30
New York Red Bulls
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 600:30
Sporting Kansas City
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
Austin
Sep 600:30
San Jose Earthquakes
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sep 601:30
New England Revolution
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 601:30
Los Angeles FC
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%