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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire

Result • MLS·New York Red Bulls·Chicago Fire

MLS
MLS
Aug 22, 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.30
X4.10
21.90
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Away
Odds
13.30
X4.10
21.90
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Win Probabilities
23%
New York Red Bulls
28%
Draw
49%
Chicago Fire
Home3.3023%
Draw4.1028%
Away1.9049%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Chicago Fire are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and superior attacking stats. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns New York Red Bulls a 23% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Chicago Fire a 49% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. 17'
    Yellow Card: L. BarrosoChicago Fire
    Yellow Card: L. Barroso
  2. 38'
    Goal: M. Haile-SelassieChicago Fire · Assist: V. Radojevic
    Goal: M. Haile-SelassieAssist: V. Radojevic
  3. Substitution: J. RuvalcabaOut: M. Jimenez
    46'
    Substitution: J. RuvalcabaNew York Red Bulls · Out: M. Jimenez
  4. Substitution: M. SofoOut: C. Cowell
    46'
    Substitution: M. SofoNew York Red Bulls · Out: C. Cowell
  5. Substitution: J. Marshall-RuttyOut: M. Dos Santos
    46'
    Substitution: J. Marshall-RuttyNew York Red Bulls · Out: M. Dos Santos
  6. Substitution: O. ValenciaOut: D. Nealis
    56'
    Substitution: O. ValenciaNew York Red Bulls · Out: D. Nealis
  7. Substitution: E. M. Choupo-MotingOut: E. Forsberg
    57'
    Substitution: E. M. Choupo-MotingNew York Red Bulls · Out: E. Forsberg
  8. 64'
    Yellow Card: J. WatermanChicago Fire
    Yellow Card: J. Waterman
  9. 65'
    Substitution: A. SaletrosChicago Fire · Out: S. Williams
    Substitution: A. SaletrosOut: S. Williams
  10. 65'
    Substitution: R. LewandowskiChicago Fire · Out: P. Zinckernagel
    Substitution: R. LewandowskiOut: P. Zinckernagel
  11. Yellow Card: M. Sofo
    66'
    Yellow Card: M. SofoNew York Red Bulls
  12. 77'
    Substitution: J. DeanChicago Fire · Out: V. Radojevic
    Substitution: J. DeanOut: V. Radojevic
  13. Substitution: C. HarperOut: J. Hall
    85'
    Substitution: C. HarperNew York Red Bulls · Out: J. Hall
  14. Goal: C. HarperAssist: E. M. Choupo-Moting
    86'
    Goal: C. HarperNew York Red Bulls · Assist: E. M. Choupo-Moting
  15. 86'
    Substitution: D. D'AvillaChicago Fire · Out: M. Pineda
    Substitution: D. D'AvillaOut: M. Pineda
  16. 87'
    Substitution: J. ElliottChicago Fire · Out: R. Lod
    Substitution: J. ElliottOut: R. Lod
  17. 87'
    Substitution: P. DithejaneChicago Fire · Out: J. Bamba
    Substitution: P. DithejaneOut: J. Bamba
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Hall vs H. Cuypers: The battle between the two top scorers could decide the match. Cuypers has been in prolific form, while Hall will need to step up to keep his team in the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

New York Red Bulls

  • Home advantage with a decent home record (4W-2D-3L)
  • Top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals and 3 assists
  • Poor recent form (LWLLW) with a current loss streak
  • High goals conceded (41) and no clean sheets in last 5

Chicago Fire

  • Excellent form with 4 consecutive wins
  • Strong attacking output (32 goals) and solid defense (23 conceded)
  • 17 players out, including key defenders and midfielders
  • Potential fatigue from a busy schedule

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
45%
47%
Chicago Fire173747

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Chicago Fire enter this match as the clear favourites. Their recent form is exceptional, with four consecutive wins, while New York Red Bulls have lost their last match and have a negative goal difference. The away side also sit higher in the standings and have a superior overall statistical profile.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire have won four of their last five, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have won only two of their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: Chicago Fire's attacking threat is led by H. Cuypers, who has 13 goals and an average rating of 7.7, compared to New York's top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals and a rating of 6.89. Additionally, Chicago Fire have a better defensive record, conceding 23 goals versus 41 for New York. The home side are also missing several key players due to suspension and injury, which further weakens their chances.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours an away victory. Chicago Fire's superior form, attacking quality, and defensive solidity, combined with New York's injury woes, make a home win unlikely. Expect Chicago Fire to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Statistical ContextChicago Fire

Double chance : draw or Chicago Fire

Team Comparison

AI Powered
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
46%Strength53%
44%Attacking Potential56%
47%Defensive Potential53%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
55%Goals H2H45%
46%Wins the Game53%

More information

MLS predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3315/15Head-to-headNew York Red Bulls – Chicago FireInjuriesNew York Red BullsInjuriesChicago FireLive scores

Statistical Context

New York Red Bulls

LLWLL
  • LNov 1, 26A · Nashville SC3-2
  • LOct 28, 26A · New England Revolution3-2
  • WOct 24, 26H · Inter Miami2-0
  • LOct 17, 26H · Toronto FC0-2
  • LOct 14, 26A · DC United2-1

Chicago Fire

WDWLL
  • WNov 1, 26A · Colorado Rapids2-4
  • DOct 29, 26H · Orlando City SC2-2
  • WOct 24, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-3
  • LOct 17, 26A · New England Revolution1-0
  • LOct 15, 26H · Philadelphia Union1-3

Head to Head

3
New York Red Bulls
4
Draws
3
Chicago Fire
  • May 9, 26Chicago Fire – New York Red Bulls1-3
  • Jul 27, 25Chicago Fire – New York Red Bulls1-0
  • Apr 5, 25New York Red Bulls – Chicago Fire2-1
  • Sep 15, 24Chicago Fire – New York Red Bulls2-1
  • Apr 13, 24New York Red Bulls – Chicago Fire0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

New York Red BullsChicago Fire
Played3232
Goals Scored4357
Goals Conceded5948
Avg Scored1.31.8
Avg Conceded1.81.5
Clean Sheets57

Predicted line-ups: New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire

Predicted XI

New York Red Bulls

4-3-3Formation· Coach: S. Schwarz

Chicago Fire

4-3-3Formation· Coach: G. Berhalter

  1. 1C. Brady
  1. 2Leonardo Barroso
  2. 38Christopher Cupps
  3. 22M. Pineda
  4. 14V. Radojević
  1. 42T. D'Avilla
  2. 7M. Haile-Selassie
  3. 6A. Salétros
  1. 12P. Dithejane
  2. 9R. Lewandowski
  3. 20Jason Shokalook
  1. 91M. Jimenez
  2. 33Roald Mitchell
  3. 13E. Choupo-Moting
  1. 39N. Benedetti
  2. 80N. Worth
  3. 16J. Hall
  1. 14J. Bazán
  2. 3J. Marshall-Rutty
  3. 26T. Parker
  4. 6R. Voloder
  1. 34E. Horvath

Bench

  • 77J. McCarthy
  • 20J. Mina
  • 70A. Rojas
  • 66T. Rosborough

Out

  • J. Ruvalcaba · Yellow Cards
  • R. Donkor · Yellow Cards
  • D. Nealis · Yellow Cards
  • G. Berggren · Red Card
  • J. Bazan · Yellow Cards
  • D. Padelford · Concussion
  • J. Marshall-Rutty · Hamstring Injury
  • R. Mosquera · International duty

Bench

  • 44J. Cohen
  • 25J. Gal
  • 16J. Waterman
  • 29D. Poręba
  • 37R. Turdean
  • 11P. Zinckernagel
  • 30J. Sandmeyer

Out

  • J. Elliott · Yellow Cards
  • M. Mbokazi · Yellow Cards
  • D. D'Avilla · Yellow Cards
  • J. Dean · Red Card
  • C. Cupps · International duty
  • L. Barroso · Lower-Body Injury
  • N. Allen · International duty
  • C. Brady · International duty

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire — Match Analysis

Chicago Fire are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and superior attacking stats. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm.

Based on the data, Chicago Fire enter this match as the clear favourites. Their recent form is exceptional, with four consecutive wins, while New York Red Bulls have lost their last match and have a negative goal difference. The away side also sit higher in the standings and have a superior overall statistical profile.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire have won four of their last five, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have won only two of their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: Chicago Fire's attacking threat is led by H. Cuypers, who has 13 goals and an average rating of 7.7, compared to New York's top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals and a rating of 6.89. Additionally, Chicago Fire have a better defensive record, conceding 23 goals versus 41 for New York. The home side are also missing several key players due to suspension and injury, which further weakens their chances.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours an away victory. Chicago Fire's superior form, attacking quality, and defensive solidity, combined with New York's injury woes, make a home win unlikely. Expect Chicago Fire to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Win Probabilities: New York Red Bulls: 23% · Draw: 28% · Chicago Fire: 49%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 62% · Under 2.5: 38% · BTTS: 65%

H2H: New York Red Bulls wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Chicago Fire wins: 3

Form (latest first): New York Red Bulls: LLWLL · Chicago Fire: WDWLL

  • J. Hall vs H. Cuypers: The battle between the two top scorers could decide the match. Cuypers has been in prolific form, while Hall will need to step up to keep his team in the game.

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MLS

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Los Angeles FC
Nov 201:30
Minnesota United FC
11.8554%
X3.7027%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Nov 202:45
Houston Dynamo
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Nov 721:00
New England Revolution
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
Philadelphia Union
Nov 721:00
Toronto FC
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Nov 721:00
Atlanta United FC
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
MLSUSA
Chicago Fire
Nov 721:00
Columbus Crew
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Nov 721:00
Vancouver Whitecaps
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
MLSUSA
DC United
Nov 721:00
New York City FC
13.8526%
X3.1332%
22.3842%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Nov 721:00
Nashville SC
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Nov 721:00
Charlotte
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
Seattle Sounders
Nov 800:00
Los Angeles FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Nov 800:00
Colorado Rapids
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Nov 800:00
St. Louis City
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Nov 800:00
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Nov 800:00
San Jose Earthquakes
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%

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