DC United vs St. Louis City

PredictionMLS

MLS
MLS
16 May 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
PREDICTED DRAW
DC United

DC United

🏠Home
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
St. Louis City

St. Louis City

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Audi Field
Win Probabilities
Home30%
Draw35%
Away35%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees a clash where shadows of past draws linger, and St. Louis City's recent light may pierce through DC United's fading form, but the scales tip toward a balanced stalemate.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between DC United and St. Louis City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns DC United a 30% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and St. Louis City a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

DC United 30%Draw 35%St. Louis City 35%BTTS: 45%
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📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
DC United
2/10
Form
Win Rate
20%
St. Louis City
4/10
Form
Win Rate40%
Momentum Advantage
St. Louis City+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
1-1
20.0%
1-2
18.0%
0-1
15.0%
Over 2.5
40%
45%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.5

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Confidence

59%
Data Quality68%
Form Reliability100%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

DC United vs St. Louis CityExpert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash where shadows of past draws linger, and St. Louis City's recent light may pierce through DC United's fading form, but the scales tip toward a balanced stalemate.

Based on the data, a draw or away win is predicted, with St. Louis City having a slight edge due to better form and statistical metrics.

Form Analysis: DC United is on a 2-loss streak, scoring only 4 goals in their last 5 matches with an average of 0.6 goals per game, while conceding 1.6. St. Louis City is on a 4-game unbeaten streak, scoring 6 goals with an average of 1.8 per game and conceding 1.0. This indicates St. Louis City has better recent momentum and offensive output.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities show a balanced match with away win slightly favored at 34%, and API-Football model strongly predicts a draw or away win (45% each). 2. API-Football team comparison shows St. Louis City with advantages in form (56% vs 44%), attack (63% vs 38%), and defense (57% vs 43%). 3. Head-to-head history shows no wins for either team in the last 5 meetings, with 1 draw, suggesting a tight contest.

Conclusion: The data supports St. Louis City as the more likely winner or a draw, aligning with market and model predictions, given their superior form and statistical edges.

Win Probabilities: DC United: 30% · Draw: 35% · St. Louis City: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: DC United wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · St. Louis City wins: 0

Form: DC United: LWDLL · St. Louis City: LWDDW

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