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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

Result • MLS·FC Cincinnati·Seattle Sounders

MLS
MLS
Aug 22, 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.81
X4.10
23.65
Stadium
TQL Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

Away
Odds
11.81
X4.10
23.65
Stadium
TQL Stadium
Win Probabilities
52%
FC Cincinnati
28%
Draw
20%
Seattle Sounders
Home1.8152%
Draw4.1028%
Away3.6520%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

FC Cincinnati are clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a resurgent attack, while Seattle Sounders arrive on a five-game losing streak with a blunt attack. The main risk is Cincinnati's lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm and allow Seattle a route back into the match.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Cincinnati a 52% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Seattle Sounders a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Evander
    24'
    Goal: EvanderFC Cincinnati
  2. 38'
    Yellow Card: R. SailorSeattle Sounders
    Yellow Card: R. Sailor
  3. Substitution: K. DenkeyOut: K. Mboma
    59'
    Substitution: K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati · Out: K. Mboma
  4. 61'
    Substitution: D. MusovskiSeattle Sounders · Out: S. Brunell
    Substitution: D. MusovskiOut: S. Brunell
  5. 61'
    Substitution: NouhouSeattle Sounders · Out: E. Carli
    Substitution: NouhouOut: E. Carli
  6. Yellow Card: B. J. Ramirez Leon
    64'
    Yellow Card: B. J. Ramirez LeonFC Cincinnati
  7. Substitution: P. BuchaOut: B. J. Ramirez Leon
    73'
    Substitution: P. BuchaFC Cincinnati · Out: B. J. Ramirez Leon
  8. Substitution: A. JabbariOut: T. Barlow
    73'
    Substitution: A. JabbariFC Cincinnati · Out: T. Barlow
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card: P. KingstonSeattle Sounders
    Yellow Card: P. Kingston
  10. 77'
    Substitution: A. RusnakSeattle Sounders · Out: A. Lopez
    Substitution: A. RusnakOut: A. Lopez
  11. 77'
    Substitution: A. RoldanSeattle Sounders · Out: O. De Rosario
    Substitution: A. RoldanOut: O. De Rosario
  12. 83'
    Goal: K. Kossa-RienziSeattle Sounders · Assist: A. Rusnak
    Goal: K. Kossa-RienziAssist: A. Rusnak
  13. Substitution: A. PowellOut: E. Echenique
    89'
    Substitution: A. PowellFC Cincinnati · Out: E. Echenique
  14. Substitution: O. NwobodoOut: T. Anunga
    90'
    Substitution: O. NwobodoFC Cincinnati · Out: T. Anunga
  15. 90+1'
    Substitution: Kim Kee-HeeSeattle Sounders · Out: S. Gomez
    Substitution: Kim Kee-HeeOut: S. Gomez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Evander vs J. Ferreira: Evander's creativity and goal threat will be key to unlocking Seattle's defence, while Ferreira's hold-up play could be crucial for any away counter-attacks.
2K. Denkey vs N. Tolo: Denkey's pace and movement could stretch the Seattle backline, testing Tolo's defensive positioning.
3G. Valenzuela vs Y. Gómez: Valenzuela's attacking runs from midfield may create overloads, putting pressure on Gómez to track back and cover.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Cincinnati

  • Strong home record (6W-1D-2L)
  • High-scoring attack (2.2 goals per game)
  • Significant injury list (16 players out)
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.2 per game)

Seattle Sounders

  • Decent overall win rate (41%)
  • Solid defensive record in some matches (1 clean sheet in last 5)
  • Five-match losing streak (LLLLL)
  • Poor away form (no wins in recent outings)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
FC Cincinnati493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

FC Cincinnati enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong home record, and a resurgent run of form. Seattle Sounders, meanwhile, are mired in a five-match losing streak and have struggled to find the net, making an away victory unlikely.

Form Analysis: FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five (DWLWW), averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. Their attack has been potent, and they have kept a clean sheet in one of those matches. In stark contrast, Seattle Sounders have lost all five of their most recent outings (LLLLL), scoring only 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.6. They have failed to score in two of those five matches, highlighting a severe lack of attacking output.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Seattle's catastrophic form — a five-game losing streak is a strong indicator of low morale and poor execution. Additionally, FC Cincinnati boast a formidable home record (6W-1D-2L) and sit five places above their opponents in the standings. While both teams have significant injury lists, Seattle's absences include key creative players like A. Rusnak and P. Arriola, further weakening their already struggling attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a home victory. FC Cincinnati's attacking prowess, combined with Seattle's defensive frailties and lack of goals, should see the home side control the match and secure a comfortable win. The only slight concern is Cincinnati's own injury list, but their squad depth appears sufficient to overcome this.

Statistical ContextFC Cincinnati

Combo Winner : FC Cincinnati and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
56%Strength43%
86%Attacking Potential14%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
38%Goals H2H63%
56%Wins the Game43%

More information

MLS predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3314/15Head-to-headFC Cincinnati – Seattle SoundersInjuriesFC CincinnatiInjuriesSeattle SoundersLive scores

Statistical Context

FC Cincinnati

DWWLL
  • DOct 28, 26A · Inter Miami2-2
  • WOct 24, 26A · DC United0-2
  • WOct 21, 26H · DC United2-1
  • LOct 18, 26H · Columbus Crew0-2
  • LOct 14, 26H · New England Revolution2-3

Seattle Sounders

LDDLW
  • LOct 29, 26H · Houston Dynamo0-1
  • DOct 25, 26A · San Diego2-2
  • DOct 18, 26H · CF Montreal1-1
  • LOct 15, 26A · FC Dallas1-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · New England Revolution0-3

Head to Head

1
FC Cincinnati
1
Draws
1
Seattle Sounders
  • Mar 12, 23FC Cincinnati – Seattle Sounders1-0
  • Sep 28, 22Seattle Sounders – FC Cincinnati1-1
  • Mar 3, 19Seattle Sounders – FC Cincinnati4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
Played3131
Goals Scored6441
Goals Conceded7139
Avg Scored2.11.3
Avg Conceded2.31.3
Clean Sheets38

Predicted line-ups: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

Predicted XI

FC Cincinnati

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. Stam

Seattle Sounders

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Unknown

  1. 50M. Anchor
  1. 35A. Lopez
  2. 5N. Tolo
  3. 28Y. Gómez
  4. 85K. Kossa-Rienzi
  1. 45P. Kingston
  2. 9J. Ferreira
  1. 90S. Gomez
  2. 37S. Brunell
  3. 44N. Petković
  1. 95O. De Rosario
  1. 10Evander
  2. 16T. Barlow
  3. 19Stefan Chirila
  1. 20P. Bucha
  2. 30A. Chavez
  3. 37S. Jimenez
  1. 55A. Lajhar
  2. 50Felix Samson
  3. 11S. Gidi
  4. 27B. Anunga
  1. 13E. Louro

Bench

  • 93Fabian Mrozek
  • 66E. Echenique
  • 29Bryan Josías Ramírez León
  • 17K. Mboma Dem

Out

  • M. Miazga · Yellow Cards
  • G. Valenzuela · Red Card
  • O. Nwobodo · Red Card
  • B. J. Ramirez Leon · Yellow Cards
  • K. Smith · Red Card
  • J. Malatini · Thigh Injury
  • J. Martinez · Knee Injury
  • Evander · Leg Injury

Bench

  • 24S. Frei
  • 26A. Thomas
  • 19D. Musovski
  • 11A. Rusnák

Out

  • P. Kingston · Yellow Cards
  • H. Dotson · Yellow Cards
  • A. Roldan · Hip Injury
  • J. Morris · Muscle Injury
  • P. Arriola · Calf Injury
  • J. Ferreira · Muscle Injury
  • X. Gnaulati · Injury
  • D. Joveljic · International duty

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders — Match Analysis

FC Cincinnati are clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a resurgent attack, while Seattle Sounders arrive on a five-game losing streak with a blunt attack. The main risk is Cincinnati's lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm and allow Seattle a route back into the match.

FC Cincinnati enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong home record, and a resurgent run of form. Seattle Sounders, meanwhile, are mired in a five-match losing streak and have struggled to find the net, making an away victory unlikely.

Form Analysis: FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five (DWLWW), averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. Their attack has been potent, and they have kept a clean sheet in one of those matches. In stark contrast, Seattle Sounders have lost all five of their most recent outings (LLLLL), scoring only 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.6. They have failed to score in two of those five matches, highlighting a severe lack of attacking output.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Seattle's catastrophic form — a five-game losing streak is a strong indicator of low morale and poor execution. Additionally, FC Cincinnati boast a formidable home record (6W-1D-2L) and sit five places above their opponents in the standings. While both teams have significant injury lists, Seattle's absences include key creative players like A. Rusnak and P. Arriola, further weakening their already struggling attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a home victory. FC Cincinnati's attacking prowess, combined with Seattle's defensive frailties and lack of goals, should see the home side control the match and secure a comfortable win. The only slight concern is Cincinnati's own injury list, but their squad depth appears sufficient to overcome this.

Win Probabilities: FC Cincinnati: 52% · Draw: 28% · Seattle Sounders: 20%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 63%

H2H: FC Cincinnati wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Seattle Sounders wins: 1

Form (latest first): FC Cincinnati: DWWLL · Seattle Sounders: LDDLW

  • Evander vs J. Ferreira: Evander's creativity and goal threat will be key to unlocking Seattle's defence, while Ferreira's hold-up play could be crucial for any away counter-attacks.
  • K. Denkey vs N. Tolo: Denkey's pace and movement could stretch the Seattle backline, testing Tolo's defensive positioning.
  • G. Valenzuela vs Y. Gómez: Valenzuela's attacking runs from midfield may create overloads, putting pressure on Gómez to track back and cover.

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Oct 3117:00
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11.7956%
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MLSUSA
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Oct 3118:00
CF Montreal
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
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DC United
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
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Philadelphia Union
Early projection
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X4.0025%
22.3343%
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Oct 3119:00
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14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
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11.5963%
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25.2619%
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Oct 3121:00
Real Salt Lake
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
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Los Angeles Galaxy
Oct 3121:00
Austin
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
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Colorado Rapids
Nov 101:30
Chicago Fire
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Nov 120:30
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11.8953%
X4.0025%
24.5522%
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Nov 121:30
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12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
MLSUSA
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Nov 121:30
New York Red Bulls
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Nov 200:00
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13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles FC
Nov 201:30
Minnesota United FC
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
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Nov 202:30
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Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
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