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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas

Result • MLS·San Jose Earthquakes·FC Dallas

MLS
MLS
May 17, 2026
02:30
medium Confidence
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.91
X4.00
23.50
Stadium
PayPal Park
medium Confidence
WINNER
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

Away
Odds
11.91
X4.00
23.50
Stadium
PayPal Park
Win Probabilities
48%
San Jose Earthquakes
29%
Draw
23%
FC Dallas
Home1.9148%
Draw4.0029%
Away3.5023%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees San Jose Earthquakes's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from FC Dallas, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Dallas using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns San Jose Earthquakes a 48% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and FC Dallas a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 1'
    Goal: P. DelgadoFC Dallas
    Goal: P. Delgado
  2. Goal: B. Leroux
    17'
    Goal: B. LerouxSan Jose Earthquakes
  3. Missed penalty: B. LerouxMissed penalty
    41'
    Missed penalty: B. LerouxSan Jose Earthquakes · Missed penalty
  4. Yellow Card: D. Munie
    48'
    Yellow Card: D. MunieSan Jose Earthquakes
  5. 49'
    Goal: P. MusaFC Dallas · Assist: H. Johansson
    Goal: P. MusaAssist: H. Johansson
  6. 61'
    Yellow Card: RamiroFC Dallas
    Yellow Card: Ramiro
  7. 65'
    Substitution: L. FarringtonFC Dallas · Out: P. Musa
    Substitution: L. FarringtonOut: P. Musa
  8. 70'
    Substitution: C. CappisFC Dallas · Out: P. Delgado
    Substitution: C. CappisOut: P. Delgado
  9. 70'
    Substitution: R. BinyaminFC Dallas · Out: S. Moreno
    Substitution: R. BinyaminOut: S. Moreno
  10. Substitution: N. FernandezOut: J. Jasinski
    71'
    Substitution: N. FernandezSan Jose Earthquakes · Out: J. Jasinski
  11. Substitution: J. SkahanOut: J. Ricketts
    79'
    Substitution: J. SkahanSan Jose Earthquakes · Out: J. Ricketts
  12. Substitution: P. MarieOut: I. Harkes
    79'
    Substitution: P. MarieSan Jose Earthquakes · Out: I. Harkes
  13. Goal: R. Roberts
    81'
    Goal: R. RobertsSan Jose Earthquakes
  14. 84'
    Substitution: S. SarverFC Dallas · Out: J. Valiente
    Substitution: S. SarverOut: J. Valiente
  15. 84'
    Substitution: S. IbeaghaFC Dallas · Out: Ramiro
    Substitution: S. IbeaghaOut: Ramiro
  16. Yellow Card: B. Kikanovic
    85'
    Yellow Card: B. KikanovicSan Jose Earthquakes
  17. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: N. NorrisFC Dallas
    Yellow Card: N. Norris
  18. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: C. CappisFC Dallas
    Yellow Card: C. Cappis
  19. 90+4'
    Goal: S. SarverFC Dallas · Assist: Kaick
    Goal: S. SarverAssist: Kaick
  20. Yellow Card: Daniel
    90+5'
    Yellow Card: DanielSan Jose Earthquakes
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Judd vs FC Dallas defense: Judd's 7 goals will test a Dallas defense that has kept only one clean sheet in five.
2P. Musa vs San Jose defense: Musa's 10 goals pose a significant threat to a San Jose defense that has conceded in every recent match.
3Midfield control: San Jose's 4-2-3-1 vs Dallas's 3-4-3 will be crucial in determining possession and chance creation.
Strengths · Weaknesses

San Jose Earthquakes

  • Strong attack (60% rating)
  • Good recent form (LDDWW)
  • No clean sheets in last 5
  • Defense rated 47%

FC Dallas

  • Strong individual scorer (Musa 10 goals)
  • Defense rated 53%
  • Poor recent form (LWWLL)
  • Lower league position (7th)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
San Jose Earthquakes473717

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

San Jose Earthquakes are predicted to win against FC Dallas based on stronger form, home advantage, and higher league standing.

Form Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes have a recent record of LDDWW, averaging 2.2 goals scored per match, while FC Dallas have LWWLL, averaging 1.6 goals. San Jose's attack is rated 60% vs 40% in the comparison, and their overall form is 57% vs 43%.

Key Factors: San Jose sit 2nd in the standings with 29 points, 10 points ahead of 7th-placed Dallas. Home advantage is significant (rating 0.55). Head-to-head is balanced (2 wins each, 6 draws), but San Jose's recent momentum and superior attack give them the edge. Both teams have injury doubts, but Dallas has more absentees (4 vs 2).

Conclusion: The data supports a home win, with odds-implied probability at 49% and API model also favoring San Jose. The predicted score is 2-1.

Statistical ContextSan Jose Earthquakes

Double chance : San Jose Earthquakes or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
56%Strength43%
60%Attacking Potential40%
47%Defensive Potential53%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
55%Goals H2H45%
56%Wins the Game43%
Head-to-head →Injuries · San Jose EarthquakesInjuries · FC Dallas

Statistical Context

San Jose Earthquakes

WWDDL
  • WSep 13, 26H · Houston Dynamo1-0
  • WSep 10, 26A · San Diego2-3
  • DSep 6, 26A · Austin1-1
  • DAug 30, 26A · Houston Dynamo0-0
  • LAug 23, 26H · Minnesota United FC1-5

FC Dallas

WWWDL
  • WSep 13, 26H · Portland Timbers2-1
  • WSep 10, 26A · Minnesota United FC1-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Sporting Kansas City4-3
  • DAug 30, 26A · St. Louis City3-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps5-0

Head to Head

2
San Jose Earthquakes
6
Draws
2
FC Dallas
  • Jul 17, 25San Jose Earthquakes – FC Dallas2-2
  • Jun 26, 25FC Dallas – San Jose Earthquakes2-4
  • Oct 3, 24San Jose Earthquakes – FC Dallas3-2
  • Feb 25, 24FC Dallas – San Jose Earthquakes2-1
  • Oct 8, 23FC Dallas – San Jose Earthquakes1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
Played2425
Goals Scored4349
Goals Conceded3642
Avg Scored1.82.0
Avg Conceded1.51.7
Clean Sheets64

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees San Jose Earthquakes's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from FC Dallas, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

San Jose Earthquakes are predicted to win against FC Dallas based on stronger form, home advantage, and higher league standing.

Form Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes have a recent record of LDDWW, averaging 2.2 goals scored per match, while FC Dallas have LWWLL, averaging 1.6 goals. San Jose's attack is rated 60% vs 40% in the comparison, and their overall form is 57% vs 43%.

Key Factors: San Jose sit 2nd in the standings with 29 points, 10 points ahead of 7th-placed Dallas. Home advantage is significant (rating 0.55). Head-to-head is balanced (2 wins each, 6 draws), but San Jose's recent momentum and superior attack give them the edge. Both teams have injury doubts, but Dallas has more absentees (4 vs 2).

Conclusion: The data supports a home win, with odds-implied probability at 49% and API model also favoring San Jose. The predicted score is 2-1.

Win Probabilities: San Jose Earthquakes: 48% · Draw: 29% · FC Dallas: 23%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: San Jose Earthquakes wins: 2 · Draws: 6 · FC Dallas wins: 2

Form (latest first): San Jose Earthquakes: WWDDL · FC Dallas: WWWDL

  • P. Judd vs FC Dallas defense: Judd's 7 goals will test a Dallas defense that has kept only one clean sheet in five.
  • P. Musa vs San Jose defense: Musa's 10 goals pose a significant threat to a San Jose defense that has conceded in every recent match.
  • Midfield control: San Jose's 4-2-3-1 vs Dallas's 3-4-3 will be crucial in determining possession and chance creation.

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 1823:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
Orlando City SC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
Columbus Crew
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1923:30
Charlotte
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2000:30
Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
Philadelphia Union
15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
Seattle Sounders
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2001:30
Chicago Fire
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Sep 2002:30
Atlanta United FC
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 2023:00
San Diego
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%

Betting Tips

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