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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Result • MLS·Sporting Kansas City·Los Angeles Galaxy

MLS
MLS
May 14, 2026
00:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
14.00
X4.00
21.80
medium Confidence
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

Away
Odds
14.00
X4.00
21.80
Win Probabilities
30%
Sporting Kansas City
35%
Draw
35%
Los Angeles Galaxy
Home4.0030%
Draw4.0035%
Away1.8035%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clash of struggling forces, where defensive frailties may yield to a stalemate or a visitor's resolve. Ancient wisdom reveals that balance in odds mirrors the uncertainty on the pitch.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles Galaxy using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting Kansas City a 30% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Los Angeles Galaxy a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: CapitaAssist: C. Harris
    32'
    Goal: CapitaSporting Kansas City · Assist: C. Harris
  2. Yellow Card: Z. Bassong
    41'
    Yellow Card: Z. BassongSporting Kansas City
  3. Goal: D. JoveljicAssist: C. Harris
    45+4'
    Goal: D. JoveljicSporting Kansas City · Assist: C. Harris
  4. Substitution: S. AfrifaOut: Capita
    46'
    Substitution: S. AfrifaSporting Kansas City · Out: Capita
  5. 46'
    Substitution: E. WynderLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: H. Miller
    Substitution: E. WynderOut: H. Miller
  6. 49'
    Yellow Card: M. CuevasLos Angeles Galaxy
    Yellow Card: M. Cuevas
  7. Substitution: J. BartlettOut: Z. Bassong
    61'
    Substitution: J. BartlettSporting Kansas City · Out: Z. Bassong
  8. Substitution: M. GarciaOut: T. Calheira
    62'
    Substitution: M. GarciaSporting Kansas City · Out: T. Calheira
  9. 64'
    Substitution: E. ThommyLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: L. Sanabria
    Substitution: E. ThommyOut: L. Sanabria
  10. 64'
    Substitution: J. HaakLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: C. Garces
    Substitution: J. HaakOut: C. Garces
  11. 65'
    Substitution: M. YamaneLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: M. Cuevas
    Substitution: M. YamaneOut: M. Cuevas
  12. Goal: C. HarrisAssist: M. Garcia
    70'
    Goal: C. HarrisSporting Kansas City · Assist: M. Garcia
  13. 77'
    Substitution: Matheus NascimentoLos Angeles Galaxy · Out: M. Reus
    Substitution: Matheus NascimentoOut: M. Reus
  14. 79'
    Yellow Card: Gabriel PecLos Angeles Galaxy
    Yellow Card: Gabriel Pec
  15. Substitution: J. ReynoldsOut: J. Davis
    81'
    Substitution: J. ReynoldsSporting Kansas City · Out: J. Davis
  16. 89'
    Goal: Gabriel PecLos Angeles Galaxy · Assist: J. Haak
    Goal: Gabriel PecAssist: J. Haak
  17. Substitution: S. SuleymanovOut: D. Joveljic
    90+2'
    Substitution: S. SuleymanovSporting Kansas City · Out: D. Joveljic
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Joveljić vs Los Angeles Galaxy defense: Joveljić's goal-scoring ability against Galaxy's defensive unit, which has conceded 11 goals in last 5 matches.
2João Klauss vs Sporting Kansas City defense: Klauss, with 5 goals, facing Kansas City's struggling defense that has conceded 17 goals in last 5 matches.
3Midfield battle: Kansas City's 4-4-2 midfield against Galaxy's 3-4-2-1 setup, crucial for controlling the game and creating chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sporting Kansas City

  • Strong head-to-head record with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Poor form with 3 consecutive losses and 15th place in standings
  • Defensive issues with 17 goals conceded in last 5 matches and 0 clean sheets

Los Angeles Galaxy

  • Better form with 1 win in last 5 and 10th place in standings
  • Higher attack and defense ratings in API comparison (55% each)
  • Inconsistent form with WLDLL in last 5 matches
  • Two players out with injuries (J. Aude and E. Wynder, both doubtful)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Los Angeles Galaxy204040

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (20%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw or a win for Los Angeles Galaxy, with no clear favorite from the odds but statistical models favoring the away team.

Form Analysis: Sporting Kansas City is struggling with 3 consecutive losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 17 in their last 5 matches, while Los Angeles Galaxy has 1 win in their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11, showing slightly better form.

Key Factors: 1. The market probabilities are nearly balanced (33% home, 33% draw, 34% away), indicating uncertainty. 2. The API-Football model strongly favors Los Angeles Galaxy with 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities, and predicts a win or draw for them. 3. Sporting Kansas City's poor form and defensive issues (0 clean sheets, high goals conceded) contrast with Los Angeles Galaxy's better attack and defense ratings in API comparison.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match leaning towards a draw or away win, with Los Angeles Galaxy having a slight edge due to form and statistical analysis, but the odds' balance supports a draw as a likely outcome.

Statistical ContextLos Angeles Galaxy

Double chance : draw or Los Angeles Galaxy

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
40%Strength60%
45%Attacking Potential55%
45%Defensive Potential55%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
40%Goals H2H60%
40%Wins the Game60%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Sporting Kansas CityInjuries · Los Angeles Galaxy

Statistical Context

Sporting Kansas City

WLLLD
  • WSep 13, 26H · Los Angeles FC3-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · FC Dallas4-3
  • LAug 30, 26H · Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-1
  • DAug 20, 26H · St. Louis City1-1

Los Angeles Galaxy

DLWLD
  • DSep 13, 26H · Seattle Sounders1-1
  • LSep 10, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps3-0
  • WSep 6, 26H · New England Revolution2-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · San Diego3-1
  • DAug 22, 26A · CF Montreal2-2

Head to Head

3
Sporting Kansas City
3
Draws
4
Los Angeles Galaxy
  • Mar 15, 26Los Angeles Galaxy – Sporting Kansas City1-2
  • Sep 28, 25Los Angeles Galaxy – Sporting Kansas City4-1
  • May 4, 25Sporting Kansas City – Los Angeles Galaxy1-0
  • Jun 16, 24Los Angeles Galaxy – Sporting Kansas City4-2
  • Mar 24, 24Sporting Kansas City – Los Angeles Galaxy2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
Played2326
Goals Scored2331
Goals Conceded5840
Avg Scored1.01.2
Avg Conceded2.51.5
Clean Sheets04

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash of struggling forces, where defensive frailties may yield to a stalemate or a visitor's resolve. Ancient wisdom reveals that balance in odds mirrors the uncertainty on the pitch.

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw or a win for Los Angeles Galaxy, with no clear favorite from the odds but statistical models favoring the away team.

Form Analysis: Sporting Kansas City is struggling with 3 consecutive losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 17 in their last 5 matches, while Los Angeles Galaxy has 1 win in their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11, showing slightly better form.

Key Factors: 1. The market probabilities are nearly balanced (33% home, 33% draw, 34% away), indicating uncertainty. 2. The API-Football model strongly favors Los Angeles Galaxy with 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities, and predicts a win or draw for them. 3. Sporting Kansas City's poor form and defensive issues (0 clean sheets, high goals conceded) contrast with Los Angeles Galaxy's better attack and defense ratings in API comparison.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match leaning towards a draw or away win, with Los Angeles Galaxy having a slight edge due to form and statistical analysis, but the odds' balance supports a draw as a likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Sporting Kansas City: 30% · Draw: 35% · Los Angeles Galaxy: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Sporting Kansas City wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Los Angeles Galaxy wins: 4

Form (latest first): Sporting Kansas City: WLLLD · Los Angeles Galaxy: DLWLD

  • D. Joveljić vs Los Angeles Galaxy defense: Joveljić's goal-scoring ability against Galaxy's defensive unit, which has conceded 11 goals in last 5 matches.
  • João Klauss vs Sporting Kansas City defense: Klauss, with 5 goals, facing Kansas City's struggling defense that has conceded 17 goals in last 5 matches.
  • Midfield battle: Kansas City's 4-4-2 midfield against Galaxy's 3-4-2-1 setup, crucial for controlling the game and creating chances.

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 1823:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
Orlando City SC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
Columbus Crew
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1923:30
Charlotte
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2000:30
Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
Philadelphia Union
15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
Seattle Sounders
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2001:30
Chicago Fire
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Sep 2002:30
Atlanta United FC
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 2023:00
San Diego
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%

Betting Tips

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