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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

Result • MLS·Real Salt Lake·New York City FC

MLS
MLS
Sep 13, 2026
01:30
low Confidence
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.30
Stadium
America First Field
low Confidence
WINNER
New York City FC

New York City FC

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.30
Stadium
America First Field
Win Probabilities
40%
Real Salt Lake
30%
Draw
30%
New York City FC
Home1.9540%
Draw3.5030%
Away3.3030%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Real Salt Lake are favored at 40% to win at home against New York City FC. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 31%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Real Salt Lake and New York City FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Salt Lake a 40% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and New York City FC a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. 41'
    Goal: Nicolás Fernández MercauNew York City FC · Assist: Agustin Ojeda
    Goal: Nicolás Fernández MercauAssist: Agustin Ojeda
  2. Substitution: Kobi HenryOut: Juan Arias
    57'
    Substitution: Kobi HenryReal Salt Lake · Out: Juan Arias
  3. Substitution: Colin GuskeOut: Luca Moisa
    57'
    Substitution: Colin GuskeReal Salt Lake · Out: Luca Moisa
  4. 61'
    Goal: Luighi Hanri Sousa SantosNew York City FC · Assist: Agustin Ojeda
    Goal: Luighi Hanri Sousa SantosAssist: Agustin Ojeda
  5. Yellow Card: Alexandros Katranis
    64'
    Yellow Card: Alexandros KatranisReal Salt Lake
  6. Substitution: Lineker RodriguesOut: Sergi Solans
    67'
    Substitution: Lineker RodriguesReal Salt Lake · Out: Sergi Solans
  7. Substitution: Aiden HezarkhaniOut: Philip Quinton
    67'
    Substitution: Aiden HezarkhaniReal Salt Lake · Out: Philip Quinton
  8. Yellow Card: Lineker Rodrigues
    69'
    Yellow Card: Lineker RodriguesReal Salt Lake
  9. 72'
    Substitution: Bénie Adama TraoréNew York City FC · Out: Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
    Substitution: Bénie Adama TraoréOut: Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
  10. Substitution: Taylor BoothOut: Morgan Guilavogui
    76'
    Substitution: Taylor BoothReal Salt Lake · Out: Morgan Guilavogui
  11. 80'
    Substitution: Kevin O'TooleNew York City FC · Out: Nico Cavallo
    Substitution: Kevin O'TooleOut: Nico Cavallo
  12. 80'
    Substitution: Aiden O'NeillNew York City FC · Out: Jonathan Shore
    Substitution: Aiden O'NeillOut: Jonathan Shore
  13. 81'
    Yellow Card: Kevin O'TooleNew York City FC
    Yellow Card: Kevin O'Toole
  14. 88'
    Substitution: Alonso MartinezNew York City FC · Out: Hannes Wolf
    Substitution: Alonso MartinezOut: Hannes Wolf
  15. 90+8'
    Yellow Card: Matthew FreeseNew York City FC
    Yellow Card: Matthew Freese
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. Solans vs M. Freese: Solans is Real Salt Lake's top scorer and will test the New York City goalkeeper with his shooting and movement.
2M. Moralez vs L. Moisa: Moralez is the creative hub for New York City, and Moisa will need to track his runs to limit chances.
3Z. Gozo vs A. O'Neill: Gozo's pace could trouble O'Neill, especially on the counter-attack.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Salt Lake

  • Strong home record (7W-2D-2L)
  • Head-to-head dominance (4 wins in last 5)
  • Poor recent form (4-game losing streak)
  • Injury crisis with 21 players out

New York City FC

  • Better defensive record (1.2 goals conceded per game)
  • One clean sheet in last 5
  • Poor recent form (5 games without a win)
  • Top scorer N. Fernández Mercau suspended

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
38%
New York City FC253838

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (25%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Real Salt Lake are the narrow favourites for this MLS clash at America First Field, with the market giving them a clear edge over New York City FC. The home side's strong home record of seven wins from eleven games provides a solid foundation, and their head-to-head dominance with four wins in the last five meetings adds further weight to their favouritism.

Form Analysis: Both teams arrive in poor form, with Real Salt Lake on a four-game losing streak and New York City FC without a win in five. However, Real Salt Lake's home advantage and superior head-to-head record give them the edge. The away side's defensive record is slightly better, but their inability to score consistently is a concern.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Real Salt Lake's home fortress, where they have lost only twice all season. Additionally, New York City FC's top scorer N. Fernández Mercau is suspended, robbing them of their main attacking threat. Real Salt Lake's injury list is lengthy, but their home form has been resilient despite absences.

Conclusion: The data points to a narrow home victory for Real Salt Lake. While both teams are struggling, the combination of home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the suspension of New York City FC's key attacker tips the scales in favour of the home side. A tight, low-scoring affair is expected.

Statistical ContextNew York City FC

Double chance : draw or New York City FC

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Real Salt LakeNew York City FC
45%Strength54%
64%Attacking Potential36%
35%Defensive Potential65%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
39%Goals H2H61%
45%Wins the Game54%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Real Salt LakeInjuries · New York City FCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Real Salt Lake

WLLLD
  • WSep 27, 26H · New England Revolution3-0
  • LSep 24, 26A · Seattle Sounders2-0
  • LSep 20, 26H · Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
  • LSep 10, 26A · Houston Dynamo2-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Los Angeles FC2-2

New York City FC

DLLDD
  • DSep 26, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-2
  • LSep 18, 26H · New York Red Bulls0-1
  • LSep 10, 26H · New England Revolution1-2
  • DSep 4, 26H · Nashville SC0-0
  • DAug 29, 26A · Toronto FC1-1

Head to Head

4
Real Salt Lake
3
Draws
2
New York City FC
  • Jan 24, 25Real Salt Lake – New York City FC2-2
  • Jan 24, 25Real Salt Lake – New York City FC2-2
  • Jun 11, 23Real Salt Lake – New York City FC0-0
  • Apr 17, 22New York City FC – Real Salt Lake6-0
  • Aug 4, 19Real Salt Lake – New York City FC3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Real Salt LakeNew York City FC
Played2726
Goals Scored4039
Goals Conceded4434
Avg Scored1.51.5
Avg Conceded1.61.3
Clean Sheets35

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC — Match Analysis

Real Salt Lake are favored at 40% to win at home against New York City FC. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 31%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Real Salt Lake are the narrow favourites for this MLS clash at America First Field, with the market giving them a clear edge over New York City FC. The home side's strong home record of seven wins from eleven games provides a solid foundation, and their head-to-head dominance with four wins in the last five meetings adds further weight to their favouritism.

Form Analysis: Both teams arrive in poor form, with Real Salt Lake on a four-game losing streak and New York City FC without a win in five. However, Real Salt Lake's home advantage and superior head-to-head record give them the edge. The away side's defensive record is slightly better, but their inability to score consistently is a concern.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Real Salt Lake's home fortress, where they have lost only twice all season. Additionally, New York City FC's top scorer N. Fernández Mercau is suspended, robbing them of their main attacking threat. Real Salt Lake's injury list is lengthy, but their home form has been resilient despite absences.

Conclusion: The data points to a narrow home victory for Real Salt Lake. While both teams are struggling, the combination of home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the suspension of New York City FC's key attacker tips the scales in favour of the home side. A tight, low-scoring affair is expected.

Win Probabilities: Real Salt Lake: 40% · Draw: 30% · New York City FC: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Real Salt Lake wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · New York City FC wins: 2

Form (latest first): Real Salt Lake: WLLLD · New York City FC: DLLDD

  • S. Solans vs M. Freese: Solans is Real Salt Lake's top scorer and will test the New York City goalkeeper with his shooting and movement.
  • M. Moralez vs L. Moisa: Moralez is the creative hub for New York City, and Moisa will need to track his runs to limit chances.
  • Z. Gozo vs A. O'Neill: Gozo's pace could trouble O'Neill, especially on the counter-attack.

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MLS

MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Toronto FC
Oct 1017:00
CF Montreal
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
Chicago Fire
Oct 1018:30
New York City FC
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Oct 1023:30
Columbus Crew
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
Philadelphia Union
Oct 1023:30
Real Salt Lake
11.5465%
X4.5522%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Oct 1023:30
San Diego
12.8635%
X4.0025%
22.5040%
MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Oct 1023:30
FC Cincinnati
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Oct 1023:30
Seattle Sounders
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Oct 1023:30
DC United
11.5465%
X4.5522%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
Charlotte
Oct 1023:30
FC Dallas
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Oct 1100:30
Portland Timbers
13.7027%
X3.3330%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Oct 1100:30
Houston Dynamo
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
MLSUSA
Austin
Oct 1100:30
Nashville SC
15.2619%
X3.3330%
21.9651%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Oct 1101:30
San Jose Earthquakes
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles FC
Oct 1102:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Oct 1123:00
Los Angeles Galaxy
11.8255%
X3.7027%
25.5618%

Betting Tips

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