MLS Matchday 26 Predictions: AI Picks Every Match

MLS Matchday 26: AI Predictions for Every Fixture

Matchday 26 brings a full slate of ten MLS fixtures, and Betora's AI model has crunched the numbers to deliver win probabilities for every match. From a Friday-night derby to a Sunday double-header, the model's strongest call this round is FC Dallas at home to Austin, where the AI gives the hosts a commanding 58% chance of victory. Meanwhile, the tightest contest comes at Gillette Stadium, where New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC is separated by just nine percentage points. Below, we break down each game in kickoff order, with the AI's pick and the full probability split.

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls (Friday 18 September)

The round opens with a New York derby, and the model leans toward the home side. New York City FC are given a 51% chance of winning, with the draw at 29% and a Red Bulls away win at just 20%. That 51% makes this the second-strongest home call of the matchday, though the 29% draw probability suggests the model sees a real possibility of the points being shared. The AI pick is a New York City FC win. For the full breakdown, see the full AI prediction.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC (Saturday 19 September)

Saturday's early kickoff sees Los Angeles FC travel to San Jose, and the model makes the visitors the favourite. LAFC are handed a 44% win probability, while the Earthquakes sit at 25% and the draw at 31%. That 44% is one of the higher away-win probabilities of the round, and the AI pick reflects it: Los Angeles FC win. The 31% draw is not insignificant, but the model clearly favours the away side. Read the full AI prediction.

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC (Saturday 19 September)

This is the upset watch of Matchday 26. The model gives New England Revolution a 40% chance, Orlando City SC 31%, and the draw 29% — a spread of just nine points between the home win and the away win. The AI pick is a New England Revolution win, but with Orlando at 31% and the draw at 29%, this is as close to a coin-flip as the round offers. Any of the three outcomes is live according to the numbers. See the full AI prediction.

CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew (Saturday 19 September)

CF Montreal host Columbus Crew in another tightly contested fixture. The model gives Columbus a 39% chance of an away win, Montreal 35%, and the draw 26%. The AI pick is Columbus Crew win, making this one of the round's narrower away calls. The 26% draw probability is the lowest of the three outcomes, suggesting the model sees a decisive result as more likely than a stalemate. For more, visit the full AI prediction.

DC United vs Charlotte (Saturday 19 September)

DC United welcome Charlotte, and the model favours the visitors. Charlotte are given a 43% win probability, DC United 26%, and the draw 31%. The AI pick is Charlotte win, with the 43% away probability among the higher ones on the slate. The 31% draw is a notable secondary outcome, but the model's primary lean is clear. Check the full AI prediction.

FC Dallas vs Austin (Sunday 20 September)

Sunday's standout fixture is FC Dallas vs Austin, and it's the most decisive call of the round. The model hands FC Dallas a 58% win probability, with the draw at 26% and Austin at just 16%. That 58% is the highest win probability for any team on Matchday 26, and the 16% away win is the lowest. The AI pick is a comfortable FC Dallas win. For the full numbers, see the full AI prediction.

Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati (Sunday 20 September)

Houston Dynamo host FC Cincinnati, and the model gives the home side a 48% chance of victory. FC Cincinnati are at 25%, with the draw at 27%. The AI pick is Houston Dynamo win, a solid but not overwhelming home call. The 48% home probability is the third-highest of the round, while the 25% away win is on the lower end. Read the full AI prediction.

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union (Sunday 20 September)

Sporting Kansas City face Philadelphia Union, and the model sees a clear away favourite. Philadelphia are given a 54% win probability, while Sporting KC are at just 18% and the draw at 28%. The AI pick is Philadelphia Union win, with the 54% away probability the highest for any away team this round. The 18% home win is the second-lowest of the matchday. See the full AI prediction.

Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy (Sunday 20 September)

Minnesota United FC host Los Angeles Galaxy in another close one. The model gives Minnesota a 40% win probability, the Galaxy 31%, and the draw 29%. The AI pick is Minnesota United FC win, but with the away win and draw both above 29%, this is a fixture where the model sees genuine competition. It's the second-tightest match of the round by the gap between home and away. For details, visit the full AI prediction.

St. Louis City vs Toronto FC (Sunday 20 September)

The round closes with St. Louis City vs Toronto FC, where the model favours the home side. St. Louis are given a 53% win probability, Toronto FC 19%, and the draw 28%. The AI pick is St. Louis City win, making this the fourth fixture with a home win probability above 50%. The 19% away win is the third-lowest of the matchday, underlining the model's confidence in the hosts. Check the full AI prediction.

That wraps up Matchday 26. The AI's strongest calls are FC Dallas (58%), Philadelphia Union (54%), and St. Louis City (53%), while the New England vs Orlando clash is the one to watch for an upset. For more AI-driven selections across all leagues, head to today's AI betting tips.