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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City

Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City

Result • MLS·Real Salt Lake·Sporting Kansas City

MLS
MLS
Apr 4, 2026
20:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.27
X6.25
29.50
Stadium
Rio Tinto Stadium
high Confidence
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

Away
Odds
11.27
X6.25
29.50
Stadium
Rio Tinto Stadium
Win Probabilities
66%
Real Salt Lake
24%
Draw
10%
Sporting Kansas City
Home1.2766%
Draw6.2524%
Away9.5010%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Real Salt Lake's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sporting Kansas City, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Salt Lake a 66% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Sporting Kansas City a 10% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Z. Gozo vs Sporting Kansas City defense: Gozo's scoring and assisting ability will test the away team's defensive organization.
2D. Joveljić vs Real Salt Lake defense: Joveljić's goal-scoring form poses a threat to Real Salt Lake's backline, which has conceded in recent games.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Salt Lake

  • Strong recent form with 4-game unbeaten streak
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • No clean sheets in last 5 games
  • 3 players out with injuries (all doubtful)

Sporting Kansas City

  • Top scorer D. Joveljić with 3 goals
  • 3-4-3 formation for attacking width
  • Poor form with LWLDL and 1 loss streak
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Real Salt LakeInjuries · Sporting Kansas City</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Real Salt Lake

LDLLL
  • LSep 10, 26A · Houston Dynamo2-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Los Angeles FC2-2
  • LAug 30, 26A · Colorado Rapids1-0
  • LAug 22, 26A · Orlando City SC2-1
  • LAug 20, 26H · FC Dallas3-4

Sporting Kansas City

LLLDL
  • LSep 6, 26A · FC Dallas4-3
  • LAug 30, 26H · Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-1
  • DAug 20, 26H · St. Louis City1-1
  • LAug 16, 26A · Colorado Rapids2-0

Head to Head

5
Real Salt Lake
3
Draws
2
Sporting Kansas City
  • Sep 14, 25Real Salt Lake – Sporting Kansas City2-1
  • Jun 29, 25Sporting Kansas City – Real Salt Lake1-1
  • Jun 20, 24Sporting Kansas City – Real Salt Lake3-4
  • May 5, 24Real Salt Lake – Sporting Kansas City1-0
  • Oct 8, 23Real Salt Lake – Sporting Kansas City2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City
Played2123
Goals Scored3423
Goals Conceded3358
Avg Scored1.61.0
Avg Conceded1.62.5
Clean Sheets20

Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Real Salt Lake's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sporting Kansas City, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Real Salt Lake is predicted to win this match, with a draw as a significant possibility.

Form Analysis: Real Salt Lake has a strong recent form with a 4-game unbeaten streak (DWWWL), scoring 9 goals and conceding 7 in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Sporting Kansas City has poor form (LWLDL), scoring 5 goals and conceding 11, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1) Real Salt Lake's superior form and momentum, including a 4-game unbeaten streak versus Sporting Kansas City's 1-game loss streak. 2) Head-to-head dominance by Real Salt Lake with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3) Home advantage for Real Salt Lake with a rating of 0.55, though injuries to 3 players on each team are a mitigating factor.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports Real Salt Lake as the favorite, but Sporting Kansas City's ability to score in some recent games and the high draw probability from the API-Football model suggest a draw is plausible, leading to adjusted probabilities that reflect both teams' current states.

Win Probabilities: Real Salt Lake: 66% · Draw: 24% · Sporting Kansas City: 10%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Real Salt Lake wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Sporting Kansas City wins: 2

Form (latest first): Real Salt Lake: LDLLL · Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL

  • Z. Gozo vs Sporting Kansas City defense: Gozo's scoring and assisting ability will test the away team's defensive organization.
  • D. Joveljić vs Real Salt Lake defense: Joveljić's goal-scoring form poses a threat to Real Salt Lake's backline, which has conceded in recent games.

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Sep 1223:30
Toronto FC
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Sep 1223:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1223:30
Atlanta United FC
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Sep 1223:30
Charlotte
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 1223:30
Nashville SC
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 1300:30
Portland Timbers
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 1300:30
Los Angeles FC
16.2516%
X3.8526%
21.7258%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 1300:30
Minnesota United FC
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 1301:30
New York City FC
12.5639%
X3.3330%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 1301:30
CF Montreal
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1302:30
Houston Dynamo
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sep 1302:30
Seattle Sounders
12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Chicago Fire
Sep 1321:30
New England Revolution
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sep 1322:30
Austin
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
MLSUSA
San Diego
Sep 1401:00
Philadelphia Union
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%

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