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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Seattle Sounders vs San Diego

Seattle Sounders vs San Diego

Result • MLS·Seattle Sounders·San Diego

MLS
MLS
May 10, 2026
02:30
low Confidence
DRAW
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.57
X4.50
25.00
Stadium
Lumen Field
low Confidence
DRAW
San Diego

San Diego

Away
Odds
11.57
X4.50
25.00
Stadium
Lumen Field
Win Probabilities
35%
Seattle Sounders
33%
Draw
32%
San Diego
Home1.5735%
Draw4.5033%
Away5.0032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Seattle Sounders's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from San Diego, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Seattle Sounders and San Diego using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Seattle Sounders a 35% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and San Diego a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Goal: M. IngvartsenSan Diego · Assist: O. Valakari
    Goal: M. IngvartsenAssist: O. Valakari
  2. Yellow Card: J. Ferreira
    51'
    Yellow Card: J. FerreiraSeattle Sounders
  3. Yellow Card: S. Brunell
    56'
    Yellow Card: S. BrunellSeattle Sounders
  4. Yellow Card: C. Roldan
    57'
    Yellow Card: C. RoldanSeattle Sounders
  5. Substitution: D. MusovskiOut: S. Brunell
    63'
    Substitution: D. MusovskiSeattle Sounders · Out: S. Brunell
  6. Substitution: P. KingstonOut: K. Kossa-Rienzi
    63'
    Substitution: P. KingstonSeattle Sounders · Out: K. Kossa-Rienzi
  7. Substitution: A. LopezOut: Nouhou
    65'
    Substitution: A. LopezSeattle Sounders · Out: Nouhou
  8. 74'
    Substitution: A. MightenSan Diego · Out: A. Pellegrino
    Substitution: A. MightenOut: A. Pellegrino
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card: A. MightenSan Diego
    Yellow Card: A. Mighten
  10. 78'
    Yellow Card: O. VerhoevenSan Diego
    Yellow Card: O. Verhoeven
  11. Goal: D. MusovskiAssist: C. Roldan
    80'
    Goal: D. MusovskiSeattle Sounders · Assist: C. Roldan
  12. 86'
    Substitution: A. Alvarado JrSan Diego · Out: D. Vazquez
    Substitution: A. Alvarado JrOut: D. Vazquez
  13. 87'
    Substitution: K. SargeantSan Diego · Out: L. Bombino
    Substitution: K. SargeantOut: L. Bombino
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Seattle Sounders defense vs. M. Ingvartsen: Seattle's strong defense (80% rating) will be tested by San Diego's top scorer with 4 goals.
2Seattle Sounders midfield vs. O. Valakari: Control in midfield could dictate the match, with Valakari contributing 3 goals and 1 assist.
3Seattle Sounders attack vs. San Diego defense: Seattle's low attack (33% rating) faces San Diego's weak defense (20% rating), creating a critical matchup.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Seattle Sounders

  • Strong defense with 80% rating and 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Home advantage with 0.55 rating
  • Low attack rating of 33%
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

San Diego

  • High attack rating of 67%
  • Averages 1.6 goals scored per game
  • Poor defense with 20% rating and no clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Concedes 2.8 goals on average

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
35%
35%
Seattle Sounders353431

Moderate agreement on home win (35%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Based on the data, Seattle Sounders is predicted to win with a slight edge, supported by market probabilities and API-Football model agreement, though the odds are very close.

Form Analysis: Seattle Sounders has a form rating of 56% vs. San Diego's 44%, with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games and a defense rating of 80%, indicating strong defensive performance. San Diego has a higher attack rating of 67% and averages 1.6 goals scored per game, but concedes 2.8 goals on average and has no clean sheets in the last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Seattle's defensive strength (80% defense rating, 3 clean sheets) vs. San Diego's attacking threat (67% attack rating). 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55. 3. Both teams have 3 doubtful injuries, minimizing impact.

Conclusion: Seattle Sounders is favored due to defensive solidity and home advantage, but San Diego's attack makes this a close match, aligning with the narrow odds.

Statistical ContextSeattle Sounders

Double chance : Seattle Sounders or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
48%Strength51%
33%Attacking Potential67%
80%Defensive Potential20%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
25%Goals H2H75%
48%Wins the Game51%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Seattle SoundersInjuries · San Diego

Statistical Context

Seattle Sounders

DDDDL
  • DSep 13, 26A · Los Angeles Galaxy1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · New York Red Bulls0-0
  • DAug 29, 26H · Chicago Fire2-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · FC Cincinnati1-1
  • LAug 20, 26H · Austin1-2

San Diego

LLLWW
  • LSep 14, 26H · Philadelphia Union0-5
  • LSep 10, 26H · San Jose Earthquakes2-3
  • LSep 5, 26A · Orlando City SC1-0
  • WAug 30, 26H · Los Angeles Galaxy3-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · Colorado Rapids3-0

Head to Head

1
Seattle Sounders
0
Draws
1
San Diego
  • May 29, 25Seattle Sounders – San Diego1-0
  • Apr 6, 25San Diego – Seattle Sounders3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Seattle SoundersSan Diego
Played2224
Goals Scored2442
Goals Conceded2937
Avg Scored1.11.8
Avg Conceded1.31.5
Clean Sheets67

Seattle Sounders vs San Diego — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Seattle Sounders's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from San Diego, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Seattle Sounders is predicted to win with a slight edge, supported by market probabilities and API-Football model agreement, though the odds are very close.

Form Analysis: Seattle Sounders has a form rating of 56% vs. San Diego's 44%, with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games and a defense rating of 80%, indicating strong defensive performance. San Diego has a higher attack rating of 67% and averages 1.6 goals scored per game, but concedes 2.8 goals on average and has no clean sheets in the last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Seattle's defensive strength (80% defense rating, 3 clean sheets) vs. San Diego's attacking threat (67% attack rating). 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55. 3. Both teams have 3 doubtful injuries, minimizing impact.

Conclusion: Seattle Sounders is favored due to defensive solidity and home advantage, but San Diego's attack makes this a close match, aligning with the narrow odds.

Win Probabilities: Seattle Sounders: 35% · Draw: 33% · San Diego: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Seattle Sounders wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · San Diego wins: 1

Form (latest first): Seattle Sounders: DDDDL · San Diego: LLLWW

  • Seattle Sounders defense vs. M. Ingvartsen: Seattle's strong defense (80% rating) will be tested by San Diego's top scorer with 4 goals.
  • Seattle Sounders midfield vs. O. Valakari: Control in midfield could dictate the match, with Valakari contributing 3 goals and 1 assist.
  • Seattle Sounders attack vs. San Diego defense: Seattle's low attack (33% rating) faces San Diego's weak defense (20% rating), creating a critical matchup.

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New York City FC
Sep 1823:30
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11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
Orlando City SC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
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12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
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Sep 1923:30
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13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
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Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
Philadelphia Union
15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
Seattle Sounders
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2001:30
Chicago Fire
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Sep 2002:30
Atlanta United FC
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
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11.8255%
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