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  1. Home
  2. Copa Libertadores
  3. Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal

Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal

Result • Copa Libertadores·Cerro Porteno·Sporting Cristal

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores
May 28, 2026
22:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Cerro Porteno

Cerro Porteno

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.62
X3.60
25.75
Stadium
General Pablo Rojas
high Confidence
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

Away
Odds
11.62
X3.60
25.75
Stadium
General Pablo Rojas
Win Probabilities
55%
Cerro Porteno
31%
Draw
14%
Sporting Cristal
Home1.6255%
Draw3.6031%
Away5.7514%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Cerro Porteno's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sporting Cristal, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa Libertadores fixture between Cerro Porteno and Sporting Cristal using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cerro Porteno a 55% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Sporting Cristal a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 31'
    Yellow Card: L. AbramSporting Cristal
    Yellow Card: L. Abram
  2. 42'
    Yellow Card: Ze RicardoSporting Cristal
    Yellow Card: Ze Ricardo
  3. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: M. TavaraSporting Cristal
    Yellow Card: M. Tavara
  4. Goal: P. VegettiAssist: J. Morel
    51'
    Goal: P. VegettiCerro Porteno · Assist: J. Morel
  5. 61'
    Substitution: F. LoraSporting Cristal · Out: L. Abram
    Substitution: F. LoraOut: L. Abram
  6. 61'
    Substitution: L. IbericoSporting Cristal · Out: M. Tavara
    Substitution: L. IbericoOut: M. Tavara
  7. Yellow Card: C. Bobadilla
    63'
    Yellow Card: C. BobadillaCerro Porteno
  8. Penalty: C. Dominguez (Penalty)
    67'
    Penalty: C. Dominguez (Penalty)Cerro Porteno
  9. 69'
    Substitution: C. CabellosSporting Cristal · Out: I. Avila
    Substitution: C. CabellosOut: I. Avila
  10. 69'
    Substitution: C. BenaventeSporting Cristal · Out: Gabriel
    Substitution: C. BenaventeOut: Gabriel
  11. Substitution: I. AlisedaOut: C. Bobadilla
    69'
    Substitution: I. AlisedaCerro Porteno · Out: C. Bobadilla
  12. Substitution: J. IturbeOut: J. Torres
    70'
    Substitution: J. IturbeCerro Porteno · Out: J. Torres
  13. Yellow Card: P. Vegetti
    76'
    Yellow Card: P. VegettiCerro Porteno
  14. 76'
    Yellow Card: C. CabellosSporting Cristal
    Yellow Card: C. Cabellos
  15. Substitution: F. PeraltaOut: C. Dominguez
    79'
    Substitution: F. PeraltaCerro Porteno · Out: C. Dominguez
  16. 83'
    Substitution: Y. del ValleSporting Cristal · Out: M. Castro
    Substitution: Y. del ValleOut: M. Castro
  17. Substitution: L. A. Quintana RodriguezOut: G. Velazquez
    89'
    Substitution: L. A. Quintana RodriguezCerro Porteno · Out: G. Velazquez
  18. Yellow Card: L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
    90+5'
    Yellow Card: L. A. Quintana RodriguezCerro Porteno
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Cerro Porteno defense vs Yoshimar Yotún: Yotún's creativity and assists will test Cerro's backline.
2Cerro Porteno midfield vs Sporting Cristal midfield: Control of the midfield will be crucial for both sides.
3Felipe Vizeu vs Cerro Porteno defense: Vizeu's 5 goals make him the main threat, but Cerro's defense has been solid.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cerro Porteno

  • Solid defense with 4 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home record
  • Limited attacking output (1.0 goals per game)
  • Low possession stats not provided

Sporting Cristal

  • Attacking threat with 12 goals in last 5 games
  • Key players like Yotún and Vizeu in form
  • Poor defense (conceded 11 in last 5)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
55%
API-Football
45%
50%
Cerro Porteno503812

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Cerro Porteno is predicted to win this Copa Libertadores clash against Sporting Cristal, based on strong defensive form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Cerro Porteno has kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, conceding only 2 goals, while Sporting Cristal has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 and kept no clean sheets. Cerro Porteno also enters on a 2-match winning streak.

Key Factors: (1) Cerro Porteno's excellent defense (78% defensive rating) vs Sporting Cristal's weak defense (22%). (2) Home advantage at Estadio General Pablo Rojas. (3) Sporting Cristal's poor away form and leaky defense.

Conclusion: With odds heavily favoring Cerro Porteno (58% implied probability) and the API model also predicting a home win, the data strongly supports a Cerro Porteno victory.

Statistical ContextCerro Porteno

Combo Double chance : Cerro Porteno or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal
57%Strength43%
40%Attacking Potential60%
78%Defensive Potential22%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
57%Wins the Game43%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Cerro PortenoInjuries · Sporting CristalLive scores →

Statistical Context

Cerro Porteno

WDWLD
  • WSep 19, 26H · Rubio NU1-0
  • DSep 12, 26A · Club Guarani1-1
  • WSep 7, 26H · Nacional Asuncion1-0
  • LAug 19, 26H · Palmeiras0-1
  • DAug 12, 26A · Palmeiras1-1

Sporting Cristal

WWWLL
  • WSep 19, 26H · Atletico Grau3-1
  • WSep 13, 26A · UCV Moquegua1-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas5-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Sport Boys1-0
  • LAug 21, 26A · Alianza Atletico3-1

Head to Head

1
Cerro Porteno
1
Draws
1
Sporting Cristal
  • Apr 9, 26Sporting Cristal – Cerro Porteno1-0
  • May 14, 25Sporting Cristal – Cerro Porteno0-1
  • Apr 25, 25Cerro Porteno – Sporting Cristal2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal
Played626
Goals Scored645
Goals Conceded239
Avg Scored1.01.7
Avg Conceded0.31.5
Clean Sheets45

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Cerro Porteno's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sporting Cristal, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Cerro Porteno is predicted to win this Copa Libertadores clash against Sporting Cristal, based on strong defensive form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Cerro Porteno has kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, conceding only 2 goals, while Sporting Cristal has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 and kept no clean sheets. Cerro Porteno also enters on a 2-match winning streak.

Key Factors: (1) Cerro Porteno's excellent defense (78% defensive rating) vs Sporting Cristal's weak defense (22%). (2) Home advantage at Estadio General Pablo Rojas. (3) Sporting Cristal's poor away form and leaky defense.

Conclusion: With odds heavily favoring Cerro Porteno (58% implied probability) and the API model also predicting a home win, the data strongly supports a Cerro Porteno victory.

Win Probabilities: Cerro Porteno: 55% · Draw: 31% · Sporting Cristal: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Cerro Porteno wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Sporting Cristal wins: 1

Form (latest first): Cerro Porteno: WDWLD · Sporting Cristal: WWWLL

  • Cerro Porteno defense vs Yoshimar Yotún: Yotún's creativity and assists will test Cerro's backline.
  • Cerro Porteno midfield vs Sporting Cristal midfield: Control of the midfield will be crucial for both sides.
  • Felipe Vizeu vs Cerro Porteno defense: Vizeu's 5 goals make him the main threat, but Cerro's defense has been solid.

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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores

World4 · Upcoming Fixtures
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Fluminense
Oct 1320:00
Palmeiras
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Estudiantes L.P.
Oct 1320:00
Flamengo
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Palmeiras
Oct 2020:00
Fluminense
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Flamengo
Oct 2020:00
Estudiantes L.P.
Early projection
11.3375%
X6.6715%
210.0010%

Betting Tips

Correct Score Predictions TodayBetting TipsBTTS TipsOver/Under 2.5Free Predictions