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  1. Home
  2. Copa Libertadores
  3. Penarol vs Corinthians

Penarol vs Corinthians

Result • Copa Libertadores·Penarol·Corinthians

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores
May 22, 2026
00:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Penarol

Penarol

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.40
X2.90
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
medium Confidence
DRAW
Corinthians

Corinthians

Away
Odds
12.40
X2.90
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Win Probabilities
33%
Penarol
33%
Draw
34%
Corinthians
Home2.4033%
Draw2.9033%
Away3.3034%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Corinthians's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa Libertadores fixture between Penarol and Corinthians using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Penarol a 33% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Corinthians a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Goal: M. OliveraAssist: Jesus Trindade
    19'
    Goal: M. OliveraPenarol · Assist: Jesus Trindade
  2. Substitution: F. AlvezOut: E. Gularte
    60'
    Substitution: F. AlvezPenarol · Out: E. Gularte
  3. Substitution: L. AnguloOut: E. Darias
    60'
    Substitution: L. AnguloPenarol · Out: E. Darias
  4. 63'
    Goal: Z. LabyadCorinthians
    Goal: Z. Labyad
  5. Substitution: B. BarbozaOut: F. Alvez
    71'
    Substitution: B. BarbozaPenarol · Out: F. Alvez
  6. Substitution: F. BatistaOut: M. Arezo
    71'
    Substitution: F. BatistaPenarol · Out: M. Arezo
  7. Substitution: A. HernandezOut: D. Laxalt
    71'
    Substitution: A. HernandezPenarol · Out: D. Laxalt
  8. 73'
    Substitution: Yuri AlbertoCorinthians · Out: Pedro Raul
    Substitution: Yuri AlbertoOut: Pedro Raul
  9. 74'
    Substitution: R. GarroCorinthians · Out: M. Pereira
    Substitution: R. GarroOut: M. Pereira
  10. 74'
    Substitution: J. LingardCorinthians · Out: Z. Labyad
    Substitution: J. LingardOut: Z. Labyad
  11. 84'
    Substitution: DieguinhoCorinthians · Out: Kaio Cesar
    Substitution: DieguinhoOut: Kaio Cesar
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs N/A: Key midfield battle in the 4-2-3-1 setups, with both teams using similar formations, focusing on control and transitions.
2N/A vs N/A: Defensive organization clash, as Corinthians' strong defense faces Penarol's attacking efforts at home.
3N/A vs N/A: Set-piece specialists could be decisive, given both teams' tactical approaches and recent form.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Penarol

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Historical head-to-head dominance with 2 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Defensive vulnerability with 1.4 goals conceded per match on average
  • Limited clean sheets with only 1 in last 5 games

Corinthians

  • Excellent defense with 5 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Unbeaten streak of 5 matches
  • Offensive struggles, failing to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Two players out with injuries (M. Pereira and J. Martinez, both doubtful)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
34%
API-Football
45%
40%
Corinthians223940

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the structured data, the predicted outcome is a draw, as the market probabilities show a balanced scenario with home win at 33%, draw at 33%, and away win at 34%, and the API-Football model predicts a draw as the most likely outcome at 45%.

Form Analysis: Penarol has a draw streak of 1, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games. Corinthians has a 5-game unbeaten streak (DDLLD), with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match, and 5 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating strong defensive form but offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1. Corinthians' excellent defense with 5 consecutive clean sheets. 2. The balanced odds and API model favoring a draw. 3. Head-to-head history shows Penarol with 2 wins and 0 draws in the last 5 meetings, but this is limited data.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Corinthians' defensive strength countered by Penarol's home advantage and historical edge, leading to a likely draw outcome.

Statistical ContextCorinthians

Winner : Corinthians

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PenarolCorinthians
45%Strength55%
33%Attacking Potential67%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
88%H2H Strength13%
100%Goals H2H50%
45%Wins the Game55%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PenarolInjuries · CorinthiansLive scores →

Statistical Context

Penarol

WWLDL
  • WSep 13, 26H · Albion FC3-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Danubio0-4
  • LMay 28, 26H · Santa Fe0-1
  • DMay 7, 26A · Platense1-1
  • LMay 1, 26A · Corinthians2-0

Corinthians

LLDLL
  • LSep 17, 26H · Estudiantes L.P.0-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · Flamengo2-1
  • DSep 10, 26A · Estudiantes L.P.1-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Chapecoense-sc1-2
  • LAug 30, 26H · Santos0-1

Head to Head

0
Penarol
0
Draws
2
Corinthians
  • May 14, 21Penarol – Corinthians4-0
  • Apr 29, 21Corinthians – Penarol0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

PenarolCorinthians
Played39
Goals Scored210
Goals Conceded55
Avg Scored0.71.1
Avg Conceded1.70.6
Clean Sheets05

Penarol vs Corinthians — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Corinthians's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, the predicted outcome is a draw, as the market probabilities show a balanced scenario with home win at 33%, draw at 33%, and away win at 34%, and the API-Football model predicts a draw as the most likely outcome at 45%.

Form Analysis: Penarol has a draw streak of 1, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games. Corinthians has a 5-game unbeaten streak (DDLLD), with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match, and 5 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating strong defensive form but offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1. Corinthians' excellent defense with 5 consecutive clean sheets. 2. The balanced odds and API model favoring a draw. 3. Head-to-head history shows Penarol with 2 wins and 0 draws in the last 5 meetings, but this is limited data.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Corinthians' defensive strength countered by Penarol's home advantage and historical edge, leading to a likely draw outcome.

Win Probabilities: Penarol: 33% · Draw: 33% · Corinthians: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 30% · Under 2.5: 70% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Penarol wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Corinthians wins: 2

Form (latest first): Penarol: WWLDL · Corinthians: LLDLL

  • N/A vs N/A: Key midfield battle in the 4-2-3-1 setups, with both teams using similar formations, focusing on control and transitions.
  • N/A vs N/A: Defensive organization clash, as Corinthians' strong defense faces Penarol's attacking efforts at home.
  • N/A vs N/A: Set-piece specialists could be decisive, given both teams' tactical approaches and recent form.

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