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  1. Home
  2. Copa Sudamericana
  3. Tigre vs Club Nacional

Tigre vs Club Nacional

Result • Copa Sudamericana·Tigre·Club Nacional

Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana
Jul 28, 2026
22:00
medium Confidence
Tigre

Tigre

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
12.10
X3.10
23.70
Stadium
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
medium Confidence
WINNER
Club Nacional

Club Nacional

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.10
23.70
Stadium
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Win Probabilities
45%
Tigre
34%
Draw
21%
Club Nacional
Home2.1045%
Draw3.1034%
Away3.7021%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Tigre are favored at 45% to win at home against Club Nacional. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa Sudamericana fixture between Tigre and Club Nacional using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Tigre a 45% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Club Nacional a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Romero vs Club Nacional defence: Tigre's top scorer will test a backline that has conceded 1.8 goals per game recently.
2I. Russo vs midfield pivot: Russo's creativity from midfield will be key to unlocking Nacional's compact shape.
3S. Coates vs Tigre defence: Nacional's aerial threat from corners could trouble Tigre if they are not careful.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Tigre

  • Strong home record
  • Clinical finishing from D. Romero
  • Inconsistent form
  • Occasional scoring droughts

Club Nacional

  • Defensive organization
  • Set-piece threat from S. Coates
  • Poor recent form
  • Lack of goals

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Tigre454016

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Tigre are clear favourites to win this Copa Sudamericana clash against Club Nacional, backed by superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance in head-to-head meetings.

Form Analysis: Tigre have been inconsistent but far more competitive, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with a 43% win rate. Club Nacional are in poor form, winless in their last five, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and are on a two-match losing streak.

Key Factors: Tigre's home record (2W-0D-1L) and strong attacking duo of D. Romero (7 goals) and I. Russo (4 goals) pose a serious threat. Club Nacional's attack has struggled, failing to score in three of their last five games. Head-to-head history also favours Tigre, who have won the only recent meeting.

Conclusion: With home support, better attacking output, and a clear edge in recent form, Tigre are well-positioned to secure a victory. Club Nacional will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextTigre

Winner : Tigre

Team Comparison

AI Powered
TigreClub Nacional
50%Strength50%
100%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
100%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%

Statistical Context

Tigre

WLDLW
  • WAug 24, 26H · Central Cordoba de Santiago2-1
  • LAug 20, 26A · Atletico Torque2-1
  • DAug 15, 26A · Aldosivi0-0
  • LAug 12, 26H · Atletico Torque0-1
  • WAug 8, 26H · River Plate1-0

Club Nacional

LWDLL
  • LJul 21, 26H · Tigre0-3
  • WMay 27, 26H · Coquimbo Unido1-0
  • DMay 20, 26H · Universitario0-0
  • LMay 7, 26A · Deportes Tolima3-0
  • LApr 30, 26A · Universitario4-2

Head to Head

1
Tigre
0
Draws
0
Club Nacional
  • Jul 21, 26Club Nacional – Tigre0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

TigreClub Nacional
Played211
Goals Scored220
Goals Conceded173
Avg Scored1.10.0
Avg Conceded0.83.0
Clean Sheets70

Tigre vs Club Nacional — Match Analysis

Tigre are favored at 45% to win at home against Club Nacional. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Tigre are clear favourites to win this Copa Sudamericana clash against Club Nacional, backed by superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance in head-to-head meetings.

Form Analysis: Tigre have been inconsistent but far more competitive, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with a 43% win rate. Club Nacional are in poor form, winless in their last five, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and are on a two-match losing streak.

Key Factors: Tigre's home record (2W-0D-1L) and strong attacking duo of D. Romero (7 goals) and I. Russo (4 goals) pose a serious threat. Club Nacional's attack has struggled, failing to score in three of their last five games. Head-to-head history also favours Tigre, who have won the only recent meeting.

Conclusion: With home support, better attacking output, and a clear edge in recent form, Tigre are well-positioned to secure a victory. Club Nacional will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Tigre: 45% · Draw: 34% · Club Nacional: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Tigre wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Club Nacional wins: 0

Form (latest first): Tigre: WLDLW · Club Nacional: LWDLL

  • D. Romero vs Club Nacional defence: Tigre's top scorer will test a backline that has conceded 1.8 goals per game recently.
  • I. Russo vs midfield pivot: Russo's creativity from midfield will be key to unlocking Nacional's compact shape.
  • S. Coates vs Tigre defence: Nacional's aerial threat from corners could trouble Tigre if they are not careful.

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