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  1. Home
  2. Copa Sudamericana
  3. Tigre vs Club Nacional

Tigre vs Club Nacional

Result • Copa Sudamericana·Tigre·Club Nacional

Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana
Jul 28, 2026
22:00
medium Confidence
Tigre

Tigre

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
12.10
X3.10
23.70
Stadium
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
medium Confidence
WINNER
Club Nacional

Club Nacional

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.10
23.70
Stadium
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Win Probabilities
45%
Tigre
34%
Draw
21%
Club Nacional
Home2.1045%
Draw3.1034%
Away3.7021%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Tigre are favored at 45% to win at home against Club Nacional. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa Sudamericana fixture between Tigre and Club Nacional using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Tigre a 45% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Club Nacional a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Goal: M. GomezClub Nacional
    Goal: M. Gomez
  2. 31'
    Goal: M. SilveraClub Nacional · Assist: T. Veron
    Goal: M. SilveraAssist: T. Veron
  3. 51'
    Yellow Card: L. RodriguezClub Nacional
    Yellow Card: L. Rodriguez
  4. 56'
    Yellow Card: A. dos SantosClub Nacional
    Yellow Card: A. dos Santos
  5. Substitution: M. GarayOut: S. Gonzalez
    58'
    Substitution: M. GarayTigre · Out: S. Gonzalez
  6. 59'
    Substitution: N. LodeiroClub Nacional · Out: A. dos Santos
    Substitution: N. LodeiroOut: A. dos Santos
  7. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Lopez
    65'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideTigre · S. Lopez
  8. Yellow Card: I. Russo
    71'
    Yellow Card: I. RussoTigre
  9. 73'
    Substitution: R. MartinezClub Nacional · Out: T. Veron
    Substitution: R. MartinezOut: T. Veron
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card: E. AnchetaClub Nacional
    Yellow Card: E. Ancheta
  11. Substitution: E. CabreraOut: P. Martinez
    81'
    Substitution: E. CabreraTigre · Out: P. Martinez
  12. Substitution: A. OviedoOut: J. Saralegui
    81'
    Substitution: A. OviedoTigre · Out: J. Saralegui
  13. Goal: S. LopezAssist: N. Banegas
    82'
    Goal: S. LopezTigre · Assist: N. Banegas
  14. Yellow Card: S. Lopez
    83'
    Yellow Card: S. LopezTigre
  15. 83'
    Substitution: S. SilvaClub Nacional · Out: L. Rodriguez
    Substitution: S. SilvaOut: L. Rodriguez
  16. 83'
    Substitution: P. NunezClub Nacional · Out: M. Silvera
    Substitution: P. NunezOut: M. Silvera
  17. 89'
    Yellow Card: M. GomezClub Nacional
    Yellow Card: M. Gomez
  18. Substitution: F. AlvarezOut: I. Russo
    90'
    Substitution: F. AlvarezTigre · Out: I. Russo
  19. Substitution: T. SerragoOut: S. Lopez
    90'
    Substitution: T. SerragoTigre · Out: S. Lopez
  20. Yellow Card: T. Serrago
    90'
    Yellow Card: T. SerragoTigre
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Romero vs Club Nacional defence: Tigre's top scorer will test a backline that has conceded 1.8 goals per game recently.
2I. Russo vs midfield pivot: Russo's creativity from midfield will be key to unlocking Nacional's compact shape.
3S. Coates vs Tigre defence: Nacional's aerial threat from corners could trouble Tigre if they are not careful.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Tigre

  • Strong home record
  • Clinical finishing from D. Romero
  • Inconsistent form
  • Occasional scoring droughts

Club Nacional

  • Defensive organization
  • Set-piece threat from S. Coates
  • Poor recent form
  • Lack of goals

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Tigre454016

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Tigre are clear favourites to win this Copa Sudamericana clash against Club Nacional, backed by superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance in head-to-head meetings.

Form Analysis: Tigre have been inconsistent but far more competitive, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with a 43% win rate. Club Nacional are in poor form, winless in their last five, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and are on a two-match losing streak.

Key Factors: Tigre's home record (2W-0D-1L) and strong attacking duo of D. Romero (7 goals) and I. Russo (4 goals) pose a serious threat. Club Nacional's attack has struggled, failing to score in three of their last five games. Head-to-head history also favours Tigre, who have won the only recent meeting.

Conclusion: With home support, better attacking output, and a clear edge in recent form, Tigre are well-positioned to secure a victory. Club Nacional will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextTigre

Winner : Tigre

Team Comparison

AI Powered
TigreClub Nacional
50%Strength50%
100%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
100%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · TigreInjuries · Club NacionalLive scores →

Statistical Context

Tigre

LLLLL
  • LOct 10, 26H · Banfield1-2
  • LOct 4, 26A · Argentinos JRS2-1
  • LSep 21, 26A · Velez Sarsfield3-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Rosario Central0-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Gimnasia L.P.2-1

Club Nacional

WWWWD
  • WOct 11, 26A · Central Espanol0-1
  • WOct 5, 26H · Atletico Torque2-0
  • WSep 26, 26A · Cerro Largo0-2
  • WSep 20, 26H · Defensor Sporting3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Wanderers1-1

Head to Head

1
Tigre
0
Draws
0
Club Nacional
  • Jul 21, 26Club Nacional – Tigre0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

TigreClub Nacional
Played271
Goals Scored280
Goals Conceded263
Avg Scored1.00.0
Avg Conceded1.03.0
Clean Sheets80

Tigre vs Club Nacional — Match Analysis

Tigre are favored at 45% to win at home against Club Nacional. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Tigre are clear favourites to win this Copa Sudamericana clash against Club Nacional, backed by superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance in head-to-head meetings.

Form Analysis: Tigre have been inconsistent but far more competitive, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with a 43% win rate. Club Nacional are in poor form, winless in their last five, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and are on a two-match losing streak.

Key Factors: Tigre's home record (2W-0D-1L) and strong attacking duo of D. Romero (7 goals) and I. Russo (4 goals) pose a serious threat. Club Nacional's attack has struggled, failing to score in three of their last five games. Head-to-head history also favours Tigre, who have won the only recent meeting.

Conclusion: With home support, better attacking output, and a clear edge in recent form, Tigre are well-positioned to secure a victory. Club Nacional will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Tigre: 45% · Draw: 34% · Club Nacional: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Tigre wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Club Nacional wins: 0

Form (latest first): Tigre: LLLLL · Club Nacional: WWWWD

  • D. Romero vs Club Nacional defence: Tigre's top scorer will test a backline that has conceded 1.8 goals per game recently.
  • I. Russo vs midfield pivot: Russo's creativity from midfield will be key to unlocking Nacional's compact shape.
  • S. Coates vs Tigre defence: Nacional's aerial threat from corners could trouble Tigre if they are not careful.

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