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  1. Home
  2. Copa Sudamericana
  3. Macara vs Santos

Macara vs Santos

Result • Copa Sudamericana·Macara·Santos

Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana
Aug 20, 2026
22:00
low Confidence
DRAW
Macara

Macara

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.44
X3.20
22.88
Stadium
Estadio Bellavista
low Confidence
DRAW
Santos

Santos

Away
Odds
12.44
X3.20
22.88
Stadium
Estadio Bellavista
Win Probabilities
40%
Macara
29%
Draw
31%
Santos
Home2.4440%
Draw3.2029%
Away2.8831%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Macara are favored at 40% to win at home against Santos. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 31%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa Sudamericana fixture between Macara and Santos using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Macara a 40% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Santos a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 48%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 48%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Yellow Card: Gustavo HenriqueSantos
    Yellow Card: Gustavo Henrique
  2. 46'
    Substitution: B. RollheiserSantos · Out: Joao Ananias
    Substitution: B. RollheiserOut: Joao Ananias
  3. 46'
    Substitution: Rafael GonzagaSantos · Out: D. Fernandes
    Substitution: Rafael GonzagaOut: D. Fernandes
  4. Yellow Card: D. Bolanos
    62'
    Yellow Card: D. BolanosMacara
  5. Substitution: J. KlingerOut: M. Viera
    64'
    Substitution: J. KlingerMacara · Out: M. Viera
  6. 74'
    Substitution: MiguelitoSantos · Out: Thaciano
    Substitution: MiguelitoOut: Thaciano
  7. Substitution: M. TelloOut: J. Estacio
    74'
    Substitution: M. TelloMacara · Out: J. Estacio
  8. 83'
    Substitution: S. PierriSantos · Out: C. Oliva
    Substitution: S. PierriOut: C. Oliva
  9. Substitution: L. FerroOut: A. I. Campana
    85'
    Substitution: L. FerroMacara · Out: A. I. Campana
  10. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: RonySantos
    Yellow Card: Rony
  11. 90+2'
    Substitution: Pedro AssisSantos · Out: G. Caballero
    Substitution: Pedro AssisOut: G. Caballero
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Posse vs João Schmidt: Macara's top scorer will test Santos' defensive midfielder's ability to shield the backline.
2M. Miranda vs Willian Arão: Miranda's creativity in midfield will be key against Arão's defensive discipline.
3Á. Barreal vs Juan Espinoza: Barreal's attacking runs will challenge Espinoza's defensive positioning.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Macara

  • Unbeaten at home (0W-3D-0L)
  • Scoring form: 8 goals in last 5 matches
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Recent form mixed (DDDWW)

Santos

  • Excellent defensive record: 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Winning momentum: 2 consecutive wins
  • Missing key players due to suspension (Gabriel Barbosa, Luan Peres)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
38%
Santos253738

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (38%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This Copa Sudamericana clash between Macara and Santos is a tightly contested affair, with the market suggesting a slight edge for the home side. However, the API-Football model and team comparison data point towards Santos as the stronger side, creating a conflict that tempers confidence.

Form Analysis: Santos arrive in better form, having won two consecutive matches and kept three clean sheets in their last five outings. Their defensive solidity is a key strength, conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average. Macara, meanwhile, have drawn their last match and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five games, though they have scored more goals (8) than Santos (3) in that period.

Key Factors: Santos' defensive resilience is a major factor, but they are missing several key players due to suspension, including top scorer Gabriel Barbosa and defender Luan Peres. This weakens their attack and defense. Macara have a perfect home record (0W-3D-0L) and are unbeaten at home, which could give them a psychological edge. Head-to-head history is limited, with Santos winning the only previous meeting.

Conclusion: The match is expected to be close, with both teams having strengths and weaknesses. Santos' superior form and defensive record are offset by significant absences, while Macara's home advantage and attacking output make them competitive. The most likely outcome is a narrow victory for either side, with a draw also a distinct possibility.

Statistical ContextSantos

Winner : Santos

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MacaraSantos
36%Strength63%
25%Attacking Potential75%
60%Defensive Potential40%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
33%Goals H2H67%
36%Wins the Game63%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MacaraInjuries · SantosLive scores →

Statistical Context

Macara

WWLLD
  • WSep 19, 26A · Aucas1-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · Emelec1-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Independiente del Valle3-1
  • LAug 13, 26A · Santos2-1
  • DMay 29, 26A · America de Cali0-0

Santos

WWLWD
  • WSep 16, 26H · Atletico-MG4-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · Cruzeiro2-1
  • LSep 9, 26A · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Internacional2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Palmeiras0-0

Head to Head

0
Macara
0
Draws
1
Santos
  • Aug 13, 26Santos – Macara2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

MacaraSantos
Played811
Goals Scored820
Goals Conceded510
Avg Scored1.01.8
Avg Conceded0.60.9
Clean Sheets53

Macara vs Santos — Match Analysis

Macara are favored at 40% to win at home against Santos. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 31%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Copa Sudamericana clash between Macara and Santos is a tightly contested affair, with the market suggesting a slight edge for the home side. However, the API-Football model and team comparison data point towards Santos as the stronger side, creating a conflict that tempers confidence.

Form Analysis: Santos arrive in better form, having won two consecutive matches and kept three clean sheets in their last five outings. Their defensive solidity is a key strength, conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average. Macara, meanwhile, have drawn their last match and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five games, though they have scored more goals (8) than Santos (3) in that period.

Key Factors: Santos' defensive resilience is a major factor, but they are missing several key players due to suspension, including top scorer Gabriel Barbosa and defender Luan Peres. This weakens their attack and defense. Macara have a perfect home record (0W-3D-0L) and are unbeaten at home, which could give them a psychological edge. Head-to-head history is limited, with Santos winning the only previous meeting.

Conclusion: The match is expected to be close, with both teams having strengths and weaknesses. Santos' superior form and defensive record are offset by significant absences, while Macara's home advantage and attacking output make them competitive. The most likely outcome is a narrow victory for either side, with a draw also a distinct possibility.

Win Probabilities: Macara: 40% · Draw: 29% · Santos: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 48%

H2H: Macara wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Santos wins: 1

Form (latest first): Macara: WWLLD · Santos: WWLWD

  • F. Posse vs João Schmidt: Macara's top scorer will test Santos' defensive midfielder's ability to shield the backline.
  • M. Miranda vs Willian Arão: Miranda's creativity in midfield will be key against Arão's defensive discipline.
  • Á. Barreal vs Juan Espinoza: Barreal's attacking runs will challenge Espinoza's defensive positioning.

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