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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Champions League
  3. Lyon vs Fenerbahçe

Lyon vs Fenerbahçe

Prediction • UEFA Champions League·Lyon·Fenerbahçe

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League
Aug 26, 2026
19:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Lyon

Lyon

Home
VS
VS
Odds
11.95
X3.30
23.60
Stadium
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.30
23.60
Stadium
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Win Probabilities
40%
Lyon
31%
Draw
29%
Fenerbahçe
Home1.9540%
Draw3.3031%
Away3.6029%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Lyon are the clear favourites according to the market, but the API model sees a tight contest, with Fenerbahçe slightly ahead. The main risk is Lyon's injury list, which could weaken their defence and allow the visitors to exploit gaps.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Lyon
/10
4.0Fenerbahçe
Lyon
FormLatest first
DWLLL
Win Rate20%
Fenerbahçe
FormLatest first
DLWWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageFenerbahçe+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

F
Pavel Šulc
7.0

Pavel Šulc

Lyon

VS
Milan Škriniar
7.9

Milan Škriniar

Fenerbahçe

31ATT18
100TEC100
46TAC50
15DEF15
12CRE0

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1.8
Avg Scored
2.2
Defense
5/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
1.0
Avg Conceded
1.0
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
9/10
2.4
Avg Cards
3.6
5.1
Avg Corners
6.1

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

24°
Overcast
Wind
13 km/h
Humidity
56%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Lyon
Home

Lyon

Form
WWWLL
Latest first
6
Pos
57
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets133%
Goal Diff+2
  • Solid home record (1W-0D-0L)
  • Recent winning streak (3 wins in last 5)
  • Decent defensive record (2 clean sheets in last 5)
M. Bidstrup
Knee Injury
Injured
K. Merah
Ankle Injury
Injured
P. Sulc
Knee Injury
Injured
N. Tagliafico
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 2
Lyon
Lyon
0Wins
2
Draws
Fenerbahçe
0Wins
Fenerbahçe
0%100%0%

Recent Matches

Last 2
Aug182026
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
1-1
Draw
LyonLyon
Jan232025
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
0-0
Draw
LyonLyon

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Fenerbahçe 1 - 1 Lyon

Aug 18, 2026

48% / 30% / 22%

Lyon4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1FenerbahçePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe4-2-3-1
LyonLyon4-2-3-1
FenerbahçeBenchFenerbahçe7
LyonBenchLyon7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Lyon

4Out

4 key players

Fenerbahçe

17Out

16 key players

Lyon

Team

Lyon

Players Out

4(4 key)
M. Bidstrup

M. Bidstrup

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

K. Merah

K. Merah

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

P. Sulc

P. Sulc

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

N. Tagliafico

N. Tagliafico

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Fenerbahçe

Team

Fenerbahçe

Players Out

17(16 key)
A. Diouf

A. Diouf

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Soyuncu

C. Soyuncu

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Demir

E. Demir

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Diego Carlos

Diego Carlos

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

R. Lukaku

R. Lukaku

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

O. Mimovic

O. Mimovic

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Rodrigo Becao

Rodrigo Becao

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

C. Under

C. Under

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Yandas

M. Yandas

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Yesilyurt

A. Yesilyurt

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

D. Nene

D. Nene

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Oosterwolde

J. Oosterwolde

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Fayed

O. Fayed

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Musaba

A. Musaba

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Livakovic

D. Livakovic

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Gunok

M. Gunok

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ederson

Ederson

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Lyon

Confidence

Win Probabilities

40%Lyon
31%Draw
29%Fenerbahçe

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·21.95 · 3.30 · 3.60
KickoffWed, Aug 26 · 19:00
StadiumParc Olympique Lyonnais
League StatsUEFA Champions League

Statistical Context

Lyon

DWLLL
  • DAug 18, 26A · Fenerbahçe1-1
  • WAug 11, 26H · Sparta Praha3-0
  • LAug 4, 26A · Sparta Praha2-1
  • LMay 17, 26H · Lens0-4
  • LMay 10, 26A · Toulouse2-1

Fenerbahçe

DLWWD
  • DAug 18, 26H · Lyon1-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-1
  • WAug 11, 26A · Sturm Graz0-1
  • WAug 5, 26H · Sturm Graz2-0
  • DMay 17, 26H · Eyüpspor3-3

Head to Head

0
Lyon
2
Draws
0
Fenerbahçe
  • Aug 18, 26Fenerbahçe – Lyon1-1
  • Jan 23, 25Fenerbahçe – Lyon0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

LyonFenerbahçe
Played35
Goals Scored56
Goals Conceded32
Avg Scored1.71.2
Avg Conceded1.00.4
Clean Sheets13

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LyonFenerbahçe
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored3/107/10
Clean Sheets5/103/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Lyon

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 25GJ. Bengui João
  2. 16DAbner
  3. 24DZ. Athekame
  4. 25DF. Bacher
  5. 21DR. Kluivert
  6. 23MT. Morton
  7. 99MN. Nartey
  8. 6MT. Tessmann
  9. 8MC. Tolisso
  10. 39MM. de Carvalho
  11. 26AK. Boudache

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Fenerbahçe

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 13GT. Çetin
  2. 15DN. Aké
  3. 3DA. Brown
  4. 14DY. Demir
  5. 22DL. Mercan
  6. 28MB. Elmaz
  7. 6MM. Guendouzi
  8. 91MN. Kanté
  9. 94MTalisca
  10. 5Mİ. Yüksek
  11. 70AO. Aydın

Coach: D. Tedesco

Lyon vs Fenerbahçe — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Lyon are the clear favourites according to the market, but the API model sees a tight contest, with Fenerbahçe slightly ahead. The main risk is Lyon's injury list, which could weaken their defence and allow the visitors to exploit gaps.

Based on the data, Lyon enter as the nominal favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities giving them a clear edge. However, the API-Football model suggests a much tighter contest, even favouring Fenerbahçe slightly. This divergence lowers our confidence to medium.…

Win Probabilities: Lyon: 40% · Draw: 31% · Fenerbahçe: 29%

H2H: Lyon wins: 0 · Draws: 2 · Fenerbahçe wins: 0

Form (latest first): Lyon: DWLLL · Fenerbahçe: DLWWD

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