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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Conference League
  3. Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Result • UEFA Conference League·Crystal Palace·Shakhtar Donetsk

UEFA Conference League
UEFA Conference League
May 7, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.62
X4.00
25.50
Stadium
Selhurst Park
high Confidence
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Away
Odds
11.62
X4.00
25.50
Stadium
Selhurst Park
Win Probabilities
55%
Crystal Palace
29%
Draw
16%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home1.6255%
Draw4.0029%
Away5.5016%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Crystal Palace's home fortress standing strong against Shakhtar's recent surge. A narrow victory awaits the Eagles, as the stars align for a 2-1 triumph.

Our AI model analyzes this UEFA Conference League fixture between Crystal Palace and Shakhtar Donetsk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Crystal Palace a 55% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Shakhtar Donetsk a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideY. Pino
    10'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideCrystal Palace · Y. Pino
  2. 15'
    Yellow Card: V. BondarShakhtar Donetsk
    Yellow Card: V. Bondar
  3. Own goal: P. Henrique (Own goal)
    25'
    Own goal: P. Henrique (Own goal)Crystal Palace
  4. 27'
    Substitution: A. GhramShakhtar Donetsk · Out: V. Tobias
    Substitution: A. GhramOut: V. Tobias
  5. 34'
    Goal: EguinaldoShakhtar Donetsk · Assist: P. Henrique
    Goal: EguinaldoAssist: P. Henrique
  6. 46'
    Substitution: Isaque SilvaShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Alisson
    Substitution: Isaque SilvaOut: Alisson
  7. Goal: I. SarrAssist: T. Mitchell
    52'
    Goal: I. SarrCrystal Palace · Assist: T. Mitchell
  8. 56'
    Substitution: L. TraoreShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Kaua Elias
    Substitution: L. TraoreOut: Kaua Elias
  9. 56'
    Substitution: NewertonShakhtar Donetsk · Out: O. Ocheretko
    Substitution: NewertonOut: O. Ocheretko
  10. Substitution: J. S. LarsenOut: J. Mateta
    66'
    Substitution: J. S. LarsenCrystal Palace · Out: J. Mateta
  11. 75'
    Substitution: Lucas FerreiraShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Pedrinho
    Substitution: Lucas FerreiraOut: Pedrinho
  12. Substitution: B. JohnsonOut: Y. Pino
    78'
    Substitution: B. JohnsonCrystal Palace · Out: Y. Pino
  13. Substitution: J. LermaOut: D. Kamada
    88'
    Substitution: J. LermaCrystal Palace · Out: D. Kamada
  14. Substitution: N. ClyneOut: D. Munoz
    89'
    Substitution: N. ClyneCrystal Palace · Out: D. Munoz
  15. Substitution: W. HughesOut: A. Wharton
    89'
    Substitution: W. HughesCrystal Palace · Out: A. Wharton
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Mateta vs Shakhtar's central defense: Palace's top scorer will test the visitors' backline with his physicality and finishing.
2Eguinaldo vs Crystal Palace's defense: Shakhtar's leading scorer will look to exploit any gaps in Palace's back three.
3D. Kamada vs Shakhtar's midfield: Kamada's creativity and assists will be crucial in unlocking the away side's defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Crystal Palace

  • Strong home form
  • Superior defense according to stats
  • Inconsistent recent results
  • Conceding goals regularly

Shakhtar Donetsk

  • Excellent recent form (4 wins in last 5)
  • Strong attacking output
  • Defensive stats inferior to Palace
  • No previous wins against Palace

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
55%
API-Football
45%
50%
Crystal Palace503713

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Crystal Palace are the clear favorites to win this UEFA Conference League clash against Shakhtar Donetsk at Selhurst Park, based on bookmaker odds and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Crystal Palace have a mixed recent form (DWLWL) but have scored 24 goals in their last 5 matches, while Shakhtar are on a strong run (WWWWD) with 23 goals. However, Palace's defense has been shaky, conceding 1.8 goals per game, whereas Shakhtar concede 1.2. The API comparison gives Palace a 59% form advantage and 67% defensive edge, suggesting they can contain Shakhtar's attack.

Key Factors: Home advantage at Selhurst Park is significant, with Palace's home record strong. Head-to-head history is limited but Palace have won the only meeting. No major injuries reported for either side. The weather is neutral with patchy rain, unlikely to heavily influence play.

Conclusion: With odds implying a 59% home win probability and the API model also predicting a Crystal Palace victory, the data strongly supports a home win. Shakhtar's recent form is impressive but Palace's overall quality and home advantage should prevail.

Statistical ContextCrystal Palace

Double chance : Crystal Palace or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Crystal PalaceShakhtar Donetsk
59%Strength40%
47%Attacking Potential53%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
75%Goals H2H25%
59%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Crystal PalaceInjuries · Shakhtar DonetskLive scores →

Statistical Context

Crystal Palace

DWLWW
  • DSep 20, 26A · Leeds0-0
  • WSep 17, 26H · Lech Poznan4-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · Ipswich2-3
  • WSep 8, 26H · Middlesbrough3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Fulham2-3

Shakhtar Donetsk

WWDWL
  • WSep 20, 26H · LNZ Cherkasy3-0
  • WSep 14, 26H · Chornomorets2-0
  • DSep 10, 26A · PSV Eindhoven1-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Karpaty1-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Polessya0-2

Head to Head

1
Crystal Palace
0
Draws
0
Shakhtar Donetsk
  • Apr 30, 26Shakhtar Donetsk – Crystal Palace1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Crystal PalaceShakhtar Donetsk
Played46
Goals Scored612
Goals Conceded114
Avg Scored1.52.0
Avg Conceded2.80.7
Clean Sheets03

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Crystal PalaceShakhtar Donetsk
Over 2.5 Goals5/108/10
Both Teams Scored4/106/10
Clean Sheets5/104/10

Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Crystal Palace's home fortress standing strong against Shakhtar's recent surge. A narrow victory awaits the Eagles, as the stars align for a 2-1 triumph.

Crystal Palace are the clear favorites to win this UEFA Conference League clash against Shakhtar Donetsk at Selhurst Park, based on bookmaker odds and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Crystal Palace have a mixed recent form (DWLWL) but have scored 24 goals in their last 5 matches, while Shakhtar are on a strong run (WWWWD) with 23 goals. However, Palace's defense has been shaky, conceding 1.8 goals per game, whereas Shakhtar concede 1.2. The API comparison gives Palace a 59% form advantage and 67% defensive edge, suggesting they can contain Shakhtar's attack.

Key Factors: Home advantage at Selhurst Park is significant, with Palace's home record strong. Head-to-head history is limited but Palace have won the only meeting. No major injuries reported for either side. The weather is neutral with patchy rain, unlikely to heavily influence play.

Conclusion: With odds implying a 59% home win probability and the API model also predicting a Crystal Palace victory, the data strongly supports a home win. Shakhtar's recent form is impressive but Palace's overall quality and home advantage should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Crystal Palace: 55% · Draw: 29% · Shakhtar Donetsk: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Crystal Palace wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Shakhtar Donetsk wins: 0

Form (latest first): Crystal Palace: DWLWW · Shakhtar Donetsk: WWDWL

  • J. Mateta vs Shakhtar's central defense: Palace's top scorer will test the visitors' backline with his physicality and finishing.
  • Eguinaldo vs Crystal Palace's defense: Shakhtar's leading scorer will look to exploit any gaps in Palace's back three.
  • D. Kamada vs Shakhtar's midfield: Kamada's creativity and assists will be crucial in unlocking the away side's defense.

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UEFA Conference League

UEFA Conference League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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11.5465%
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25.8817%
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12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
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11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
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Gent
Oct 1516:45
Aarhus
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
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12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
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Oct 1516:45
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12.2245%
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23.2331%
UEFA Conference LeagueWorld
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12.5639%
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22.9434%
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12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
UEFA Conference LeagueWorld
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23.2331%
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12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
UEFA Conference LeagueWorld
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Oct 1519:00
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12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
UEFA Conference LeagueWorld
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Oct 1519:00
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12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
UEFA Conference LeagueWorld
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1519:00
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Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
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Oct 1519:00
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
UEFA Conference LeagueWorld
FC Copenhagen
Oct 1519:00
SC Braga
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%

Betting Tips

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