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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Europa League
  3. Marseille vs Celta Vigo

Marseille vs Celta Vigo

Prediction • UEFA Europa League·Marseille·Celta Vigo

UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
Sep 16, 2026
19:00
PREDICTED DRAW
Marseille

Marseille

Home
VS
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Away
Win Probabilities
33%
Marseille
33%
Draw
34%
Celta Vigo
Home3.0333%
Draw3.0333%
Away2.9434%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite, as both teams are severely depleted by injuries and suspensions. The main risk is that either side could edge a narrow victory if they manage to cope with their absences better than the opposition.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Marseille
/10
2.0Celta Vigo
Marseille
FormLatest first
WWWLD
Win Rate60%
Celta Vigo
FormLatest first
LDWDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageMarseille+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

F
Mason Greenwood
7.7

Mason Greenwood

Marseille

VS
Williot Swedberg
8.2

Williot Swedberg

Celta Vigo

48ATT50
100TEC100
54TAC14
5DEF5
35CRE4

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1.7
Avg Scored
1.9
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.2
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
7/10
2.7
Avg Cards
1.6
5.6
Avg Corners
3.1

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Marseille
Home

Marseille

Form
W
Latest first
2
Pos
65
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per game on average
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Experienced midfield options like Højbjerg and Kondogbia
Q. Timber
Yellow Cards
Suspended
N. Aguerd
Groin Injury
Injured
L. Balerdi
Calf Injury
Injured
F. Moumbagna
Injury
Injured
I. Paixao
Muscle Injury
Injured

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

Marseille4-2-3-1vs3-4-3Celta VigoPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Celta VigoCelta Vigo3-4-3
MarseilleMarseille4-2-3-1
Celta VigoBenchCelta Vigo7
MarseilleBenchMarseille7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Marseille

5Out

4 key players

Celta Vigo

7Out

6 key players

Marseille

Team

Marseille

Players Out

5(4 key)
Q. Timber

Q. Timber

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
N. Aguerd

N. Aguerd

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Balerdi

L. Balerdi

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Moumbagna

F. Moumbagna

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Paixao

I. Paixao

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Celta Vigo

Team

Celta Vigo

Players Out

7(6 key)
M. Alonso

M. Alonso

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
B. Iglesias

B. Iglesias

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

P. Duran

P. Duran

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Fernandez

M. Fernandez

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Galan

J. Galan

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Vecino

M. Vecino

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Perez

C. Perez

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

33%Marseille
33%Draw
34%Celta Vigo

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Sep 16 · 19:00
League StatsUEFA Europa League

Statistical Context

Marseille

WWWLD
  • WAug 21, 26H · Strasbourg4-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Rennes3-1
  • WMay 10, 26A · Le Havre0-1
  • LMay 2, 26A · Nantes3-0
  • DApr 26, 26H · Nice1-1

Celta Vigo

LDWDL
  • LAug 27, 26H · Osasuna1-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Valencia0-0
  • WMay 23, 26H · Sevilla1-0
  • DMay 17, 26A · Athletic Club1-1
  • LMay 12, 26H · Levante2-3

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MarseilleCelta Vigo
Over 2.5 Goals7/106/10
Both Teams Scored6/105/10
Clean Sheets2/104/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Marseille

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 12GJ. de Lange
  2. 74DK. Bezahaf
  3. 13DD. Cornelius
  4. 4DC. Egan-Riley
  5. 33DEmerson
  6. 8MH. Abdelli
  7. 7MA. Gomes
  8. 77MA. Harit
  9. 23MP. Højbjerg
  10. 19MG. Kondogbia
  11. 48AK. Abdallah

Coach: André Villas-Boas

Celta Vigo

Formation 3-4-3
  1. 1GA. Bayındır
  2. 3DMarcos Alonso
  3. 5DSergio Carreira
  4. 4DA. Faye
  5. 22MJavi Galán
  6. 17MJavi Rueda
  7. 28MAndrés Antañón
  8. 30MH. Burcio
  9. 10AIago Aspas
  10. 11APablo Durán
  11. 39AJ. El Abdellaoui

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Marseille vs Celta Vigo — Expert Prediction & Analysis

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite, as both teams are severely depleted by injuries and suspensions. The main risk is that either side could edge a narrow victory if they manage to cope with their absences better than the opposition.

This UEFA Europa League encounter between Marseille and Celta Vigo presents a remarkably balanced contest, with no clear favourite emerging from the available data. The market probabilities are evenly split, and the statistical model echoes this equilibrium, indicating a tight, evenly-matched affair.…

Win Probabilities: Marseille: 33% · Draw: 33% · Celta Vigo: 34%

Form (latest first): Marseille: WWWLD · Celta Vigo: LDWDL

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UEFA Europa League

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13.0333%
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
12.5040%
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Plzen
13.0333%
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22.9434%
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Bournemouth
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Sturm Graz
12.5040%
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23.3330%
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13.3330%
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12.8635%
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Sparta Praha
12.6338%
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13.0333%
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13.0333%
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11.3375%
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12.6338%
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13.0333%
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12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
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