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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Belgium vs Italy

Belgium vs Italy

Prediction • UEFA Nations League·Belgium·Italy

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
Nov 15, 2026
19:45
Early projection · Odds pending
Belgium

Belgium

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Italy

Italy

Away
Win Probabilities
17%
Belgium
17%
Draw
66%
Italy
Home5.8817%
Draw5.8817%
Away1.5266%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Italy are clear favourites to win this Nations League clash, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior recent form. The main risk is Belgium's home advantage and the attacking threat of Lukaku and De Ketelaere, which could cause an upset.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Belgium vs Italy.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Belgium
/10
4.0Italy
Belgium
FormLatest first
LWLWL
Win Rate40%
Italy
FormLatest first
WDWL
Win Rate50%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Belgium
Home

Belgium

3
Pos
4
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets250%
Goal Diff+1
  • Home advantage with a 1W-0D-1L record in two home games
  • Romelu Lukaku and Charles De Ketelaere both have 3 goals and 1 assist in the competition
  • Two clean sheets in their last five matches
Italy
Away

Italy

2
Pos
13
Pts
+3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+3
  • Unbeaten in their last three matches, with a 50% win rate in the last five
  • Strong attacking output: 1.8 goals scored per game in the last five
  • Dominant head-to-head record with four wins in the last five meetings

Head to Head

Last 6
Belgium
Belgium
1Wins
1
Draws
Italy
4Wins
Italy
17%17%67%

Recent Matches

Last 6
Sep252026
ItalyItaly
0-2
Win
BelgiumBelgium
Nov142024
BelgiumBelgium
0-1
Loss
ItalyItaly
Oct102024
ItalyItaly
2-2
Draw
BelgiumBelgium
Oct102021
ItalyItaly
2-1
Loss
BelgiumBelgium
Jul22021
BelgiumBelgium
1-2
Loss
ItalyItaly
Jun132016
BelgiumBelgium
0-2
Loss
ItalyItaly

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Italy 0 - 2 Belgium

Sep 25, 2026

40% / 31% / 29%

Belgium4-3-3vs4-3-3ItalyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Italy

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

17%Belgium
17%Draw
66%Italy

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Nov 15 · 19:45
League StatsUEFA Nations League
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · BelgiumInjuries · ItalyLive scores →

Statistical Context

Belgium

LWLWL
  • LOct 5, 26A · France4-1
  • WOct 2, 26H · Türkiye3-0
  • LSep 28, 26H · France0-1
  • WSep 25, 26A · Italy0-2
  • LJul 10, 26A · Spain2-1

Italy

WDWL
  • WOct 5, 26H · Türkiye3-1
  • DOct 2, 26A · France1-1
  • WSep 28, 26A · Türkiye1-4
  • LSep 25, 26H · Belgium0-2

Head to Head

1
Belgium
1
Draws
4
Italy
  • Sep 25, 26Italy – Belgium0-2
  • Nov 14, 24Belgium – Italy0-1
  • Oct 10, 24Italy – Belgium2-2
  • Oct 10, 21Italy – Belgium2-1
  • Jul 2, 21Belgium – Italy1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

BelgiumItaly
Played44
Goals Scored68
Goals Conceded55
Avg Scored1.52.0
Avg Conceded1.31.3
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BelgiumItaly
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Belgium vs Italy

Predicted XI

Belgium

4-3-3Formation· Coach: R. Garcia

Italy

4-3-3Formation· Coach: L. Spalletti

  1. 12M. Carnesecchi
  1. 6A. Bastoni
  2. 5R. Calafiori
  3. 23G. Mancini
  4. 19G. Scalvini
  1. 18N. Barella
  2. 16D. Frattesi
  3. 8S. Tonali
  1. 14S. Inacio
  2. 9F. Esposito
  3. 11Gianluca Scamacca
  1. 19D. Moreira
  2. 22M. Fernandez-Pardo
  3. 9R. Lukaku
  1. 23N. Raskin
  2. 20H. Vanaken
  3. 14D. Lukebakio
  1. 21T. Castagne
  2. 5M. De Cuyper
  3. 2Z. Debast
  4. 4B. Mechele
  1. 12S. Lammens

Bench

  • 12Maarten Vandevoordt
  • 15N. Ngoy
  • 3A. Theate
  • 18J. Seys
  • 8Mandela Keita
  • 7Mika Godts
  • 17C. De Ketelaere

Bench

  • 1G. Donnarumma
  • 13Guglielmo Vicario
  • 2Michael Kayode
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 15Issa Doumbia
  • 17D. Maldini
  • 7Nicolo Cambiaghi

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Belgium vs Italy — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Italy are clear favourites to win this Nations League clash, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior recent form. The main risk is Belgium's home advantage and the attacking threat of Lukaku and De Ketelaere, which could cause an upset.

Italy are the clear favourites to win this UEFA Nations League clash against Belgium, based on the baseline team-strength model and the API-Football statistical model, which both point to an away victory.…

Win Probabilities: Belgium: 17% · Draw: 17% · Italy: 66%

H2H: Belgium wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Italy wins: 4

Form (latest first): Belgium: LWLWL · Italy: WDWL

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UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Türkiye
Nov 1217:00
Belgium
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Armenia
Nov 1217:00
Cyprus
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
England
Nov 1219:45
Croatia
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Italy
Nov 1219:45
France
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Czechia
Nov 1219:45
Spain
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Albania
Nov 1219:45
Finland
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Montenegro
Nov 1219:45
Latvia
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
San Marino
Nov 1219:45
Belarus
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Moldova
Nov 1317:00
Kazakhstan
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Serbia
Nov 1319:45
Germany
Early projection
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Slovakia
Nov 1319:45
Faroe Islands
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Slovenia
Nov 1319:45
Switzerland
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Luxembourg
Nov 1319:45
Estonia
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Bulgaria
Nov 1319:45
Iceland
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Liechtenstein
Nov 1319:45
Azerbaijan
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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