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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Italy vs Belgium

Italy vs Belgium

Prediction • UEFA Nations League·Italy·Belgium

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026
18:45
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Italy

Italy

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Belgium

Belgium

Away
Win Probabilities
77%
Italy
13%
Draw
10%
Belgium
Home1.3077%
Draw7.6913%
Away10.0010%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Italy are favored at 77% to win at home against Belgium. The draw is rated 13% and the away win 10%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Italy
/10
6.0Belgium
Italy
FormLatest first
WWDWL
Win Rate60%
Belgium
FormLatest first
LWWWD
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Italy
Home

Italy

2
Pos
13
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong head-to-head dominance over Belgium
  • Unbeaten in last 4 matches

Head to Head

Last 5
Italy
Italy
4Wins
1
Draws
Belgium
0Wins
Belgium
80%20%0%

Recent Matches

Last 5
Nov142024
BelgiumBelgium
0-1
Win
ItalyItaly
Oct102024
ItalyItaly
2-2
Draw
BelgiumBelgium
Oct102021
ItalyItaly
2-1
Win
BelgiumBelgium
Jul22021
BelgiumBelgium
1-2
Win
ItalyItaly
Jun132016
BelgiumBelgium
0-2
Win
ItalyItaly
Italy3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1BelgiumPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

BelgiumBelgium4-2-3-1
ItalyItaly3-4-2-1
BelgiumBenchBelgium7
ItalyBenchItaly7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Italy

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

77%Italy
13%Draw
10%Belgium

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffFri, Sep 25 · 18:45
League StatsUEFA Nations League

Statistical Context

Belgium

LWWWD
  • LJul 10, 26A · Spain2-1
  • WJul 7, 26A · USA1-4
  • WJul 1, 26H · Senegal3-2
  • WJun 27, 26A · New Zealand1-5
  • DJun 21, 26H · Iran0-0

Head to Head

4
Italy
1
Draws
0
Belgium
  • Nov 14, 24Belgium – Italy0-1
  • Oct 10, 24Italy – Belgium2-2
  • Oct 10, 21Italy – Belgium2-1
  • Jul 2, 21Belgium – Italy1-2
  • Jun 13, 16Belgium – Italy0-2

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ItalyBelgium
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Italy

Formation 3-4-2-1
  1. 12GG. Daffara
  2. 15DH. Ahanor
  3. 3DD. Bartesaghi
  4. 4DF. Chiarodia
  5. 14MT. Berti
  6. 20MM. Dagasso
  7. 16MG. Faticanti
  8. 2MC. Favasuli
  9. 17MS. Inacio
  10. 5ML. Lipani
  11. 21AA. Cacciamani

Coach: L. Spalletti

Belgium

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GT. Courtois
  2. 21DT. Castagne
  3. 5DM. De Cuyper
  4. 16DK. De Winter
  5. 4DB. Mechele
  6. 7MK. De Bruyne
  7. 23MN. Raskin
  8. 20MH. Vanaken
  9. 6MA. Witsel
  10. 11MJ. Doku
  11. 22AA. Saelemaekers

Coach: R. Garcia

Italy vs Belgium — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Italy are favored at 77% to win at home against Belgium. The draw is rated 13% and the away win 10%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Italy enter this UEFA Nations League clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a superior league position. The data strongly favours the home side, who have won four of t…

Win Probabilities: Italy: 77% · Draw: 13% · Belgium: 10%

H2H: Italy wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Belgium wins: 0

Form (latest first): Italy: WWDWL · Belgium: LWWWD

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UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Serbia
Sep 2418:45
Greece
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Portugal
Sep 2418:45
Wales
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Austria
Sep 2418:45
Israel
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Norway
Sep 2418:45
Denmark
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Liechtenstein
Sep 2418:45
Lithuania
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.5618%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Andorra
Sep 2418:45
Malta
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Kosovo
Sep 2418:45
Rep. Of Ireland
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Netherlands
Sep 2418:45
Germany
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Armenia
Sep 2516:00
Latvia
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Georgia
Sep 2516:00
Northern Ireland
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.3523%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Sweden
Sep 2518:45
Romania
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Poland
Sep 2518:45
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Hungary
Sep 2518:45
Ukraine
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Türkiye
Sep 2518:45
France
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Montenegro
Sep 2518:45
Cyprus
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access