Spain arrive at Stadion Poljud as clear favourites, with the market and the statistical model both pointing to an away victory. Croatia's recent form has been poor, and Spain's five-match winning streak makes them the dominant force in this fixture.
Form Analysis: Spain have won all of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 4, with two clean sheets. In contrast, Croatia have lost their last two games, conceding 12 goals in their last five and failing to keep a clean sheet. The momentum is overwhelmingly with Spain.
Key Factors: Spain's attacking prowess (77% attack rating) and defensive solidity (75% defense rating) dwarf Croatia's corresponding numbers. The head-to-head record also favours Spain, who have won five of the last eight meetings. Croatia's home advantage is minimal, as they have lost their only home game in this competition.
Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Spain win. Croatia will need a dramatic improvement to challenge the visitors, but the gap in quality and form suggests Spain will control the match and secure the three points.
