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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Iceland vs Estonia

Iceland vs Estonia

Prediction • UEFA Nations League·Iceland·Estonia

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
Sep 26, 2026
16:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Iceland

Iceland

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Estonia

Estonia

Away
Win Probabilities
53%
Iceland
22%
Draw
25%
Estonia
Home1.8953%
Draw4.5522%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Iceland are slight favourites due to home advantage, but their poor form and Estonia's recent solidity make this a tight contest. The main risk is that Iceland's defensive issues could be exploited by Estonia's counter-attacks.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Iceland
/10
6.0Estonia
Iceland
FormLatest first
LLDDL
Win Rate0%
Estonia
FormLatest first
WWLDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEstonia+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Iceland
Home

Iceland

3
Pos
7
Pts
-3
Goal Diff
  • Home advantage (0.55 rating)
  • Higher baseline probability (53%)
  • Slight edge in overall comparison (50%)

Head to Head

Last 1
Iceland
Iceland
0Wins
1
Draws
Estonia
0Wins
Estonia
0%100%0%

Recent Matches

Last 1
Jan82023
IcelandIceland
1-1
Draw
EstoniaEstonia
Iceland4-3-3vs4-3-3EstoniaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

EstoniaEstonia4-3-3
IcelandIceland4-3-3
EstoniaBenchEstonia7
IcelandBenchIceland7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Iceland

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

53%Iceland
22%Draw
25%Estonia

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 26 · 16:00
League StatsUEFA Nations League

Statistical Context

Head to Head

0
Iceland
1
Draws
0
Estonia
  • Jan 8, 23Iceland – Estonia1-1

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Iceland

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 13GA. Einarsson
  2. 3DD. Grétarsson
  3. 6DH. Hermannsson
  4. 23DH. Magnússon
  5. 4DV. Pálsson
  6. 18MA. Baldursson
  7. 14MM. Ellertsson
  8. 17MA. Gunnarsson
  9. 9AD. Guðjohnsen
  10. 10AA. Guðmundsson
  11. 9AH. Haraldsson

Coach: Å. Hareide

Estonia

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GK. Hein
  2. 19DK. Hussar
  3. 3DM. Kolobov
  4. 2DM. Kuusk
  5. 24DF. Liivak
  6. 4MKristofer Käit
  7. 13MM. Käit
  8. 17MV. Kreida
  9. 25AM. Männilaan
  10. 11AKarel Mustmaa
  11. 20AM. Poom

Coach: J. Henn

Iceland vs Estonia — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Iceland are slight favourites due to home advantage, but their poor form and Estonia's recent solidity make this a tight contest. The main risk is that Iceland's defensive issues could be exploited by Estonia's counter-attacks.

Based on the available data, Iceland enters as the nominal favourite, but the edge is far from decisive. The baseline model gives Iceland a 53% chance, while the API-Football model suggests a perfectly balanced contest.…

Win Probabilities: Iceland: 53% · Draw: 22% · Estonia: 25%

H2H: Iceland wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Estonia wins: 0

Form (latest first): Iceland: LLDDL · Estonia: WWLDW

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X5.8817%
21.4967%
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11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
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Austria
Sep 2418:45
Israel
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
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Norway
Sep 2418:45
Denmark
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
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Liechtenstein
Sep 2418:45
Lithuania
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
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Andorra
Sep 2418:45
Malta
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
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Rep. Of Ireland
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
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Netherlands
Sep 2418:45
Germany
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
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Armenia
Sep 2516:00
Latvia
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
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Georgia
Sep 2516:00
Northern Ireland
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
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Sweden
Sep 2518:45
Romania
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
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Poland
Sep 2518:45
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
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Italy
Sep 2518:45
Belgium
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
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Hungary
Sep 2518:45
Ukraine
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
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Türkiye
Sep 2518:45
France
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
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