France vs Italy — Expert Prediction & Analysis
France are the nominal favourites, backed by superior attacking talent and home advantage, but Italy's four-match unbeaten run and solid defence make this a tight contest. The main risk is France's recent two-game losing streak, which could undermine their confidence.
Based on the available data, France enter as the nominal favourites, though the edge is far from decisive. The baseline model gives them a slight advantage, and they sit top of the group on goal difference, but Italy arrive in stronger form and have proven equally solid defensively.…
Win Probabilities: France: 46% · Draw: 24% · Italy: 30%
H2H: France wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Italy wins: 2
Form (latest first): France: LLWWW · Italy: WWDWL
