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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Italy vs France

Italy vs France

Prediction • UEFA Nations League·Italy·France

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
Nov 12, 2026
19:45
Italy

Italy

Home
VS
VS
Odds
13.54
X4.05
21.80
PREDICTED WINNER
France

France

Away
Odds
13.54
X4.05
21.80
Win Probabilities
21%
Italy
28%
Draw
51%
France
Home3.5421%
Draw4.0528%
Away1.8051%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

France are clear favourites to win, backed by superior recent form and a potent attack led by Kylian Mbappé. The main risk is Italy's home advantage and a resilient defensive display that could frustrate the French.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Italy vs France.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Italy
/10
6.0France
Italy
FormLatest first
WDWL
Win Rate50%
France
FormLatest first
WDWWL
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageFrance+2.0

Goalscorers

StarterItaly – France
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

More markets

StarterItaly – France
New · More markets

Every way to read this match

Worked out from the same score grid as the main prediction, so the numbers always agree.

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

17°
Moderate rain
Wind
16 km/h
Humidity
88%
Rain
2.6 mm
Tactical Impact

Heavy rain - slippery pitch favors physical play and long balls

Italy
Home

Italy

2
Pos
13
Pts
+3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+3
  • Solid defensive record with 1.0 goals conceded per game in last 5
  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches
  • Home advantage with a 50% win rate at home
France
Away

France

1
Pos
13
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets250%
Goal Diff+5
  • High win rate (75%) in last 5 matches
  • Strong attacking output with 2.2 goals per game
  • Two clean sheets in last 5

Head to Head

Last 5
Italy
Italy
2Wins
1
Draws
France
2Wins
France
40%20%40%

Recent Matches

Last 5
Oct22026
FranceFrance
1-1
Draw
ItalyItaly
Nov172024
ItalyItaly
1-3
Loss
FranceFrance
Sep62024
FranceFrance
1-3
Win
ItalyItaly
Jun12018
FranceFrance
3-1
Loss
ItalyItaly
Jun172008
FranceFrance
0-2
Win
ItalyItaly

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

France 1 - 1 Italy

Oct 2, 2026

64% / 24% / 12%

Scorer chances

StarterItaly – France
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Italy4-3-3vs4-3-3FrancePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

France

Confidence

Win Probabilities

21%Italy
28%Draw
51%France

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·23.54 · 4.05 · 1.80
KickoffThu, Nov 12 · 19:45
League StatsUEFA Nations League
2:1Correct Score Predictions TodayToday's most likely score for every match — free, updated every 15 minutes.

More information

Line-upsItaly – FranceHead-to-headItaly – FranceInjuriesItalyInjuriesFranceLive scores

Statistical Context

Italy

WDWL
  • WOct 5, 26H · Türkiye3-1
  • DOct 2, 26A · France1-1
  • WSep 28, 26A · Türkiye1-4
  • LSep 25, 26H · Belgium0-2

France

WDWWL
  • WOct 5, 26H · Belgium4-1
  • DOct 2, 26H · Italy1-1
  • WSep 28, 26A · Belgium0-1
  • WSep 25, 26A · Türkiye0-1
  • LJul 18, 26H · England4-6

Head to Head

2
Italy
1
Draws
2
France
  • Oct 2, 26France – Italy1-1
  • Nov 17, 24Italy – France1-3
  • Sep 6, 24France – Italy1-3
  • Jun 1, 18France – Italy3-1
  • Jun 17, 08France – Italy0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

ItalyFrance
Played44
Goals Scored87
Goals Conceded52
Avg Scored2.01.8
Avg Conceded1.30.5
Clean Sheets02

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ItalyFrance
Over 2.5 Goals—8/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted line-ups: Italy vs France

Predicted XI

Italy

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Unknown

France

4-3-3Formation· Coach: D. Deschamps

  1. 16M. Maignan
  1. 5J. Koundé
  2. 17M. Lacroix
  3. 2Pierre Kalulu
  4. 3Adrien Truffert
  1. 9R. Cherki
  2. 8M. Koné
  3. 14A. Rabiot
  1. 12B. Barcola
  2. 7O. Dembélé
  3. 20D. Doué
  1. 14S. Inacio
  2. 9F. Esposito
  3. 11Gianluca Scamacca
  1. 18N. Barella
  2. 16D. Frattesi
  3. 8S. Tonali
  1. 6A. Bastoni
  2. 5R. Calafiori
  3. 23G. Mancini
  4. 19G. Scalvini
  1. 12M. Carnesecchi

Bench

  • 1G. Donnarumma
  • 13Guglielmo Vicario
  • 2Michael Kayode
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 15Issa Doumbia
  • 17D. Maldini
  • 7Nicolo Cambiaghi

Bench

  • 1Guillaume Restes
  • 23Jean Butez
  • 15Leny Yoro
  • 13Andy Diouf
  • 18M. Akliouche
  • 6Eduardo Camavinga
  • 21Lucas Da Cunha

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Italy vs France — Expert Prediction & Analysis

France are clear favourites to win, backed by superior recent form and a potent attack led by Kylian Mbappé. The main risk is Italy's home advantage and a resilient defensive display that could frustrate the French.

France are the clear favourites to win this UEFA Nations League clash against Italy, based on the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the statistical model. The market gives France a decisive edge, and the API-Football model also predicts a French victory, reinforcing the confidence in this outcome.…

Win Probabilities: Italy: 21% · Draw: 28% · France: 51%

H2H: Italy wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · France wins: 2

Form (latest first): Italy: WDWL · France: WDWWL

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UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Türkiye
Nov 1217:00
Belgium
14.1724%
X3.8526%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Armenia
Nov 1217:00
Cyprus
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
England
Nov 1219:45
Croatia
11.2381%
X7.1414%
220.005%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Czechia
Nov 1219:45
Spain
133.333%
X8.3312%
21.1885%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Albania
Nov 1219:45
Finland
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Montenegro
Nov 1219:45
Latvia
11.4569%
X4.5522%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
San Marino
Nov 1219:45
Belarus
133.333%
X8.3312%
21.1885%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Moldova
Nov 1317:00
Kazakhstan
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Serbia
Nov 1319:45
Germany
110.0010%
X4.7621%
21.4569%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Slovakia
Nov 1319:45
Faroe Islands
11.4171%
X5.0020%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Slovenia
Nov 1319:45
Switzerland
15.8817%
X3.4529%
21.8554%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Luxembourg
Nov 1319:45
Estonia
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Bulgaria
Nov 1319:45
Iceland
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Liechtenstein
Nov 1319:45
Azerbaijan
120.005%
X5.8817%
21.2878%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Scotland
Nov 1319:45
FYR Macedonia
11.3375%
X5.2619%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

Betting Tips

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