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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Portugal vs Wales

Portugal vs Wales

Prediction • UEFA Nations League·Portugal·Wales

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
Sep 24, 2026
18:45
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Portugal

Portugal

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Wales

Wales

Away
Win Probabilities
54%
Portugal
21%
Draw
25%
Wales
Home1.8554%
Draw4.7621%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Portugal are favored at 54% to win at home against Wales. The draw is rated 21% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Portugal
/10
0.0Wales
Portugal
FormLatest first
LWDWD
Win Rate40%
Wales
FormLatest first
—
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantagePortugal+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Portugal
Home

Portugal

1
Pos
14
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Strong home advantage
  • Superior head-to-head record
  • Higher league position and goal difference

Head to Head

Last 1
Portugal
Portugal
1Wins
0
Draws
Wales
0Wins
Wales
100%0%0%

Recent Matches

Last 1
Jul62016
PortugalPortugal
2-0
Win
WalesWales
Portugal4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1WalesPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

WalesWales4-2-3-1
PortugalPortugal4-2-3-1
WalesBenchWales7
PortugalBenchPortugal7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Portugal

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

54%Portugal
21%Draw
25%Wales

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffThu, Sep 24 · 18:45
League StatsUEFA Nations League

Statistical Context

Portugal

LWDWD
  • LJul 6, 26H · Spain0-1
  • WJul 2, 26H · Croatia2-1
  • DJun 27, 26A · Colombia0-0
  • WJun 23, 26H · Uzbekistan5-0
  • DJun 17, 26H · Congo DR1-1

Head to Head

1
Portugal
0
Draws
0
Wales
  • Jul 6, 16Portugal – Wales2-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PortugalWales
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Portugal

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GDiogo Costa
  2. 4DTomás Araújo
  3. 20DJoão Cancelo
  4. 5DDiogo Dalot
  5. 3DRúben Dias
  6. 24MSamú Costa
  7. 8MBruno Fernandes
  8. 15MJoão Neves
  9. 21MRúben Neves
  10. 6MMatheus Nunes
  11. 19AGonçalo Guedes

Coach: Roberto Martínez

Wales

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GK. Darlow
  2. 5DE. Ampadu
  3. 2DJ. Dasilva
  4. 4DB. Davies
  5. 15DR. Kpakio
  6. 13MKai Andrews
  7. 7MOliver Bostock
  8. 23MN. Broadhead
  9. 16MJ. Colwill
  10. 11MC. Congreve
  11. 7AD. Brooks

Coach: R. Giggs

Portugal vs Wales — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Portugal are favored at 54% to win at home against Wales. The draw is rated 21% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Portugal enter this UEFA Nations League clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger league position. The data points to a home victory, though Wales' unbeaten run suggests they will not make it easy.…

Win Probabilities: Portugal: 54% · Draw: 21% · Wales: 25%

H2H: Portugal wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Wales wins: 0

Form (latest first): Portugal: LWDWD · Wales:

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UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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Serbia
Sep 2418:45
Greece
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
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Austria
Sep 2418:45
Israel
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Norway
Sep 2418:45
Denmark
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Liechtenstein
Sep 2418:45
Lithuania
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Andorra
Sep 2418:45
Malta
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Kosovo
Sep 2418:45
Rep. Of Ireland
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Netherlands
Sep 2418:45
Germany
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Armenia
Sep 2516:00
Latvia
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Georgia
Sep 2516:00
Northern Ireland
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Sweden
Sep 2518:45
Romania
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Poland
Sep 2518:45
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Italy
Sep 2518:45
Belgium
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Hungary
Sep 2518:45
Ukraine
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Türkiye
Sep 2518:45
France
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
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UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Montenegro
Sep 2518:45
Cyprus
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
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