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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Brazil vs Norway

Brazil vs Norway

Result • World Cup·Brazil·Norway

World Cup
World Cup
Jul 5, 2026
20:00
medium Confidence
Brazil

Brazil

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.76
X3.65
24.35
Stadium
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
medium Confidence
WINNER
Norway

Norway

Away
Odds
11.76
X3.65
24.35
Stadium
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Win Probabilities
48%
Brazil
28%
Draw
24%
Norway
Home1.7648%
Draw3.6528%
Away4.3524%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Brazil are favoured to win with a 50% probability, underpinned by a formidable defence that has conceded only 0.6 goals per game in their last five. The main risk is the absence of key attackers Raphinha and Neymar, which could limit their scoring output.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Brazil and Norway using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Brazil a 48% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Norway a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Missed penalty: Bruno GuimaraesMissed penalty
    14'
    Missed penalty: Bruno GuimaraesBrazil · Missed penalty
  2. 46'
    Substitution: O. BobbNorway · Out: A. Sorloth
    Substitution: O. BobbOut: A. Sorloth
  3. 46'
    Substitution: A. SchjelderupNorway · Out: A. Nusa
    Substitution: A. SchjelderupOut: A. Nusa
  4. Substitution: EndrickOut: M. Cunha
    58'
    Substitution: EndrickBrazil · Out: M. Cunha
  5. 63'
    Substitution: F. AursnesNorway · Out: J. Ryerson
    Substitution: F. AursnesOut: J. Ryerson
  6. Substitution: NeymarOut: G. Martinelli
    67'
    Substitution: NeymarBrazil · Out: G. Martinelli
  7. Substitution: Danilo SantosOut: Rayan
    67'
    Substitution: Danilo SantosBrazil · Out: Rayan
  8. Substitution: EdersonOut: Bruno Guimaraes
    79'
    Substitution: EdersonBrazil · Out: Bruno Guimaraes
  9. 79'
    Goal: E. HaalandNorway · Assist: A. Schjelderup
    Goal: E. HaalandAssist: A. Schjelderup
  10. 90'
    Goal: E. HaalandNorway · Assist: A. Schjelderup
    Goal: E. HaalandAssist: A. Schjelderup
  11. 90+5'
    Substitution: L. OstigardNorway · Out: D. Wolfe
    Substitution: L. OstigardOut: D. Wolfe
  12. Yellow Card: Neymar
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: NeymarBrazil
  13. Penalty: Neymar (Penalty)
    90+10'
    Penalty: Neymar (Penalty)Brazil
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Vinicius Junior vs Norway's right-back: Brazil's main creative outlet against a potentially shaky defence.
2Casemiro vs Martin Ødegaard: Midfield duel between Brazil's defensive anchor and Norway's playmaker.
3Erling Haaland vs Brazil's centre-backs: Norway's star striker against a solid defensive unit.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Brazil

  • Excellent defensive record
  • Unbeaten streak of 5 matches
  • Key attacking injuries (Raphinha, Neymar)
  • Attack rating slightly below Norway

Norway

  • Strong attacking form (2.2 goals per game)
  • High win rate in recent matches
  • Poor defensive record (1.8 goals conceded per game)
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
35%
42%
Brazil423227

Moderate agreement on home win (42%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Brazil are clear favourites to win this World Cup clash against Norway, backed by strong defensive form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Brazil are unbeaten in five matches, conceding just 0.6 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets. Norway also boast a 67% win rate but have been leaky at the back, conceding 1.8 goals per game with no clean sheets in their last five.

Key Factors: Brazil's defensive solidity (80% defensive rating in team comparison) is a major edge. However, they are missing key attackers Raphinha and Neymar through injury, which could blunt their attack. Norway's attack (53% rating) may pose problems, but their weak defence (20%) is a significant vulnerability.

Conclusion: Brazil's superior defence and home support give them the edge, but the absence of two star forwards keeps the match competitive. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextBrazil

Double chance : Brazil or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BrazilNorway
55%Strength44%
47%Attacking Potential53%
80%Defensive Potential20%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
55%Wins the Game44%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BrazilInjuries · NorwayLive scores →

Statistical Context

Brazil

WWWD
  • WJun 29, 26H · Japan2-1
  • WJun 24, 26A · Scotland0-3
  • WJun 20, 26H · Haiti3-0
  • DJun 13, 26H · Morocco1-1

Norway

LLLWL
  • LOct 4, 26A · Portugal2-1
  • LOct 1, 26A · Wales2-1
  • LSep 27, 26H · Portugal1-2
  • WSep 24, 26H · Denmark3-2
  • LJul 11, 26H · England1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

BrazilNorway
Played32
Goals Scored74
Goals Conceded14
Avg Scored2.32.0
Avg Conceded0.32.0
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BrazilNorway
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/106/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Brazil vs Norway — Match Analysis

Brazil are favoured to win with a 50% probability, underpinned by a formidable defence that has conceded only 0.6 goals per game in their last five. The main risk is the absence of key attackers Raphinha and Neymar, which could limit their scoring output.

Brazil are clear favourites to win this World Cup clash against Norway, backed by strong defensive form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Brazil are unbeaten in five matches, conceding just 0.6 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets. Norway also boast a 67% win rate but have been leaky at the back, conceding 1.8 goals per game with no clean sheets in their last five.

Key Factors: Brazil's defensive solidity (80% defensive rating in team comparison) is a major edge. However, they are missing key attackers Raphinha and Neymar through injury, which could blunt their attack. Norway's attack (53% rating) may pose problems, but their weak defence (20%) is a significant vulnerability.

Conclusion: Brazil's superior defence and home support give them the edge, but the absence of two star forwards keeps the match competitive. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Brazil: 48% · Draw: 28% · Norway: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Brazil: WWWD · Norway: LLLWL

  • Vinicius Junior vs Norway's right-back: Brazil's main creative outlet against a potentially shaky defence.
  • Casemiro vs Martin Ødegaard: Midfield duel between Brazil's defensive anchor and Norway's playmaker.
  • Erling Haaland vs Brazil's centre-backs: Norway's star striker against a solid defensive unit.

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