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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Colombia vs Congo DR

Colombia vs Congo DR

Result • World Cup·Colombia·Congo DR

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 24, 2026
02:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Colombia

Colombia

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.55
X3.90
26.50
Stadium
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
high Confidence
Congo DR

Congo DR

Away
Odds
11.55
X3.90
26.50
Stadium
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Win Probabilities
57%
Colombia
30%
Draw
13%
Congo DR
Home1.5557%
Draw3.9030%
Away6.5013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Colombia are strong favourites to win, with a 60% implied probability, backed by a three-match winning streak and superior attacking stats. The main risk is Congo DR's stubborn defense, which has kept three clean sheets in five games.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Colombia and Congo DR using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Colombia a 57% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Congo DR a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 46'
    Substitution: N. SadikiCongo DR · Out: N. Mukau
    Substitution: N. SadikiOut: N. Mukau
  2. Yellow Card: J. Lucumi
    56'
    Yellow Card: J. LucumiColombia
  3. 57'
    Substitution: S. BanzaCongo DR · Out: C. Bakambu
    Substitution: S. BanzaOut: C. Bakambu
  4. Substitution: J. CordobaOut: L. Suarez
    58'
    Substitution: J. CordobaColombia · Out: L. Suarez
  5. Substitution: J. QuinteroOut: J. Rodriguez
    58'
    Substitution: J. QuinteroColombia · Out: J. Rodriguez
  6. 72'
    Substitution: J. KayembeCongo DR · Out: A. Masuaku
    Substitution: J. KayembeOut: A. Masuaku
  7. 72'
    Substitution: C. PickelCongo DR · Out: E. Kayembe
    Substitution: C. PickelOut: E. Kayembe
  8. Goal: D. MunozAssist: J. Quintero
    76'
    Goal: D. MunozColombia · Assist: J. Quintero
  9. Substitution: R. RiosOut: J. Arias
    77'
    Substitution: R. RiosColombia · Out: J. Arias
  10. 82'
    Substitution: N. MbukuCongo DR · Out: S. Moutoussamy
    Substitution: N. MbukuOut: S. Moutoussamy
  11. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: C. PickelCongo DR
    Yellow Card: C. Pickel
  12. Yellow Card: J. Lerma
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: J. LermaColombia
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Luis Díaz vs Chancel Mbemba: Díaz's dribbling and pace will test Mbemba's positioning and strength in one-on-one duels.
2James Rodríguez vs Gaël Kakuta: Both creative midfielders will look to dictate tempo; Rodríguez's passing range could unlock the defense.
3Rafael Santos Borré vs Congo DR's back three: Borré's movement in the box will be crucial against a deep defensive line.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Colombia

  • Excellent recent form with 3 consecutive wins
  • Strong attacking output (2.0 goals per game)
  • Limited clean sheets (only 1 in last 5)
  • Lack of home games this season

Congo DR

  • Solid defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Compact 5-3-2 formation difficult to break down
  • Winless in last 5 matches (0% win rate)
  • Low attacking threat (1.4 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Colombia503812

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Colombia are clear favourites to win this World Cup clash against Congo DR, backed by strong form and superior attacking statistics. The bookmaker odds heavily favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Colombia victory, reinforcing the confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Colombia are on a three-match winning streak, scoring 2.0 goals per game on average, while Congo DR have failed to win in their last five matches, with a 0% win rate. Although Congo DR boast three clean sheets in that period, their lack of offensive output (1.4 goals per game) limits their ability to challenge Colombia.

Key Factors: Colombia's attacking strength (75% rating) dwarfs Congo DR's 25%, and their overall team comparison (66.7% vs 33.3%) underscores the gap. Additionally, Colombia's 4-3-3 formation is well-suited to break down Congo DR's defensive 5-3-2 setup. The absence of any significant injuries for Colombia further solidifies their advantage.

Conclusion: All data points point to a comfortable Colombia win. Congo DR's defensive resilience may keep the scoreline respectable, but Colombia's momentum and quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextColombia

Winner : Colombia

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ColombiaCongo DR
66%Strength33%
75%Attacking Potential25%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
66%Wins the Game33%
Head-to-head →Injuries · ColombiaInjuries · Congo DRLive scores →

Statistical Context

Colombia

DWDW
  • DJul 7, 26A · Switzerland0-0
  • WJul 4, 26H · Ghana1-0
  • DJun 27, 26H · Portugal0-0
  • WJun 18, 26A · Uzbekistan1-3

Congo DR

LWDLW
  • LJul 1, 26A · England2-1
  • WJun 27, 26H · Uzbekistan3-1
  • DJun 17, 26A · Portugal1-1
  • LJan 6, 26A · Algeria1-0
  • WDec 30, 25A · Botswana0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

ColombiaCongo DR
Played43
Goals Scored54
Goals Conceded13
Avg Scored1.31.3
Avg Conceded0.31.0
Clean Sheets30

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ColombiaCongo DR
Over 2.5 Goals8/102/10
Both Teams Scored6/102/10
Clean Sheets4/108/10

Colombia vs Congo DR — Match Analysis

Colombia are strong favourites to win, with a 60% implied probability, backed by a three-match winning streak and superior attacking stats. The main risk is Congo DR's stubborn defense, which has kept three clean sheets in five games.

Colombia are clear favourites to win this World Cup clash against Congo DR, backed by strong form and superior attacking statistics. The bookmaker odds heavily favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Colombia victory, reinforcing the confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Colombia are on a three-match winning streak, scoring 2.0 goals per game on average, while Congo DR have failed to win in their last five matches, with a 0% win rate. Although Congo DR boast three clean sheets in that period, their lack of offensive output (1.4 goals per game) limits their ability to challenge Colombia.

Key Factors: Colombia's attacking strength (75% rating) dwarfs Congo DR's 25%, and their overall team comparison (66.7% vs 33.3%) underscores the gap. Additionally, Colombia's 4-3-3 formation is well-suited to break down Congo DR's defensive 5-3-2 setup. The absence of any significant injuries for Colombia further solidifies their advantage.

Conclusion: All data points point to a comfortable Colombia win. Congo DR's defensive resilience may keep the scoreline respectable, but Colombia's momentum and quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Colombia: 57% · Draw: 30% · Congo DR: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 35%

Form (latest first): Colombia: DWDW · Congo DR: LWDLW

  • Luis Díaz vs Chancel Mbemba: Díaz's dribbling and pace will test Mbemba's positioning and strength in one-on-one duels.
  • James Rodríguez vs Gaël Kakuta: Both creative midfielders will look to dictate tempo; Rodríguez's passing range could unlock the defense.
  • Rafael Santos Borré vs Congo DR's back three: Borré's movement in the box will be crucial against a deep defensive line.

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