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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Colombia vs Ghana

Colombia vs Ghana

Result • World Cup·Colombia·Ghana

World Cup
World Cup
Jul 4, 2026
01:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Colombia

Colombia

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.41
X4.33
27.70
Stadium
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
high Confidence
Ghana

Ghana

Away
Odds
11.41
X4.33
27.70
Stadium
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Win Probabilities
60%
Colombia
28%
Draw
12%
Ghana
Home1.4160%
Draw4.3328%
Away7.7012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Colombia are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by excellent form (5 unbeaten, 3 clean sheets) and superior attacking stats. The main risk is a lack of head-to-head experience, but Ghana's poor scoring form makes an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Colombia and Ghana using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Colombia a 60% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Ghana a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: L. SuarezOut: J. Cordoba
    8'
    Substitution: L. SuarezColombia · Out: J. Cordoba
  2. Yellow Card: J. Arias
    12'
    Yellow Card: J. AriasColombia
  3. 13'
    Substitution: A. SeiduGhana · Out: M. Senaya
    Substitution: A. SeiduOut: M. Senaya
  4. Goal: J. AriasAssist: L. Suarez
    14'
    Goal: J. AriasColombia · Assist: L. Suarez
  5. Substitution: R. RiosOut: J. Rodriguez
    46'
    Substitution: R. RiosColombia · Out: J. Rodriguez
  6. 49'
    Yellow Card: C. YirenkyiGhana
    Yellow Card: C. Yirenkyi
  7. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Diaz
    56'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideColombia · L. Diaz
  8. 62'
    Substitution: I. FatawuGhana · Out: I. Williams
    Substitution: I. FatawuOut: I. Williams
  9. 62'
    Substitution: E. OwusuGhana · Out: K. Sibo
    Substitution: E. OwusuOut: K. Sibo
  10. 66'
    Yellow Card: I. FatawuGhana
    Yellow Card: I. Fatawu
  11. Substitution: J. QuinteroOut: J. Arias
    73'
    Substitution: J. QuinteroColombia · Out: J. Arias
  12. 76'
    Yellow Card: A. SeiduGhana
    Yellow Card: A. Seidu
  13. Yellow Card: R. Rios
    78'
    Yellow Card: R. RiosColombia
  14. 79'
    Substitution: E. NuamahGhana · Out: J. Ayew
    Substitution: E. NuamahOut: J. Ayew
  15. 79'
    Substitution: P. AduGhana · Out: C. Yirenkyi
    Substitution: P. AduOut: C. Yirenkyi
  16. Substitution: J. CampazOut: L. Diaz
    90'
    Substitution: J. CampazColombia · Out: L. Diaz
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1James Rodríguez vs Thomas Partey: Colombia's creative playmaker against Ghana's midfield anchor. Partey's ability to disrupt Rodríguez's rhythm will be crucial.
2Radamel Falcao vs Ghana's central defenders: Falcao's movement and finishing will test Ghana's backline, which must stay compact to prevent him from finding space.
3Juan Cuadrado vs Ghana's left-back: Cuadrado's pace and dribbling on the flank could be a key outlet for Colombia, forcing Ghana to double up defensively.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Colombia

  • Excellent recent form with 5 unbeaten
  • Strong defence with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Limited home games this season (only 2)
  • No head-to-head experience against Ghana

Ghana

  • Decent defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Compact 4-1-4-1 formation can be hard to break down
  • Poor recent form with only 33% win rate
  • Low scoring output averaging 0.6 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
60%
API-Football
50%
55%
Colombia55396

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Colombia are clear favourites to beat Ghana in this World Cup clash at Arrowhead Stadium. The data strongly supports a home win, with both market odds and statistical models pointing in the same direction.

Form Analysis: Colombia arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches with a 67% win rate. They have scored 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.4, keeping three clean sheets. Ghana, by contrast, have won only 33% of their recent games, scoring just 0.6 goals per match and failing to score in two of their last five.

Key Factors: Colombia's defensive solidity is a major factor – three clean sheets in five games suggest Ghana will struggle to find the net. The API-Football comparison gives Colombia a 66% overall advantage, with clear edges in attack (67%) and defence (67%). Additionally, Colombia sit top of their group with seven points, while Ghana are third with four, adding further motivation.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable Colombia victory. Their superior form, defensive strength, and higher league standing make them the deserved favourites. Ghana will need a significant improvement to trouble the hosts.

Statistical ContextColombia

Combo Double chance : Colombia or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ColombiaGhana
66%Strength34%
67%Attacking Potential33%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
66%Wins the Game34%
Head-to-head →Injuries · ColombiaInjuries · GhanaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Colombia

DDWW
  • DJul 7, 26A · Switzerland0-0
  • DJun 27, 26H · Portugal0-0
  • WJun 24, 26H · Congo DR1-0
  • WJun 18, 26A · Uzbekistan1-3

Ghana

LLLDW
  • LSep 29, 26H · Gambia2-4
  • LSep 24, 26A · Ivory Coast2-0
  • LJun 27, 26A · Croatia2-1
  • DJun 23, 26A · England0-0
  • WJun 17, 26H · Panama1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

ColombiaGhana
Played43
Goals Scored52
Goals Conceded12
Avg Scored1.30.7
Avg Conceded0.30.7
Clean Sheets32

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ColombiaGhana
Over 2.5 Goals8/103/10
Both Teams Scored6/104/10
Clean Sheets4/103/10

Colombia vs Ghana — Match Analysis

Colombia are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by excellent form (5 unbeaten, 3 clean sheets) and superior attacking stats. The main risk is a lack of head-to-head experience, but Ghana's poor scoring form makes an upset unlikely.

Colombia are clear favourites to beat Ghana in this World Cup clash at Arrowhead Stadium. The data strongly supports a home win, with both market odds and statistical models pointing in the same direction.

Form Analysis: Colombia arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches with a 67% win rate. They have scored 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.4, keeping three clean sheets. Ghana, by contrast, have won only 33% of their recent games, scoring just 0.6 goals per match and failing to score in two of their last five.

Key Factors: Colombia's defensive solidity is a major factor – three clean sheets in five games suggest Ghana will struggle to find the net. The API-Football comparison gives Colombia a 66% overall advantage, with clear edges in attack (67%) and defence (67%). Additionally, Colombia sit top of their group with seven points, while Ghana are third with four, adding further motivation.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable Colombia victory. Their superior form, defensive strength, and higher league standing make them the deserved favourites. Ghana will need a significant improvement to trouble the hosts.

Win Probabilities: Colombia: 60% · Draw: 28% · Ghana: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 35%

Form (latest first): Colombia: DDWW · Ghana: LLLDW

  • James Rodríguez vs Thomas Partey: Colombia's creative playmaker against Ghana's midfield anchor. Partey's ability to disrupt Rodríguez's rhythm will be crucial.
  • Radamel Falcao vs Ghana's central defenders: Falcao's movement and finishing will test Ghana's backline, which must stay compact to prevent him from finding space.
  • Juan Cuadrado vs Ghana's left-back: Cuadrado's pace and dribbling on the flank could be a key outlet for Colombia, forcing Ghana to double up defensively.

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