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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Mexico vs England

Mexico vs England

Result • World Cup·Mexico·England

World Cup
World Cup
Jul 6, 2026
01:00
low Confidence
Mexico

Mexico

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.75
X3.15
22.58
Stadium
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
low Confidence
WINNER
England

England

Away
Odds
12.75
X3.15
22.58
Stadium
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Win Probabilities
37%
Mexico
34%
Draw
29%
England
Home2.7537%
Draw3.1534%
Away2.5829%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Mexico are favored at 36% to win at home against England. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 30%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Mexico and England using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Mexico a 37% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and England a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Mexico's central defender vs England's striker: The battle between Mexico's organized defense and England's main goal threat will be crucial.
2Mexico's midfield enforcer vs England's playmaker: Controlling the midfield will determine which team dictates the tempo.
3Mexico's full-back vs England's winger: England's wide players could exploit space if Mexico's full-backs push forward.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Mexico

  • Excellent defensive record (4 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Perfect home record this season
  • Lack of head-to-head experience against England
  • Reliance on defensive solidity may limit attacking output

England

  • Strong recent form (5 unbeaten)
  • Solid defensive record (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Two key defensive injuries (Quansah, James)
  • Slightly lower win rate than Mexico (67% vs 100%)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
45%
41%
Mexico414020

Moderate agreement on home win (41%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This World Cup clash between Mexico and England at Estadio Banorte is a tightly contested affair, with both teams showing excellent form. The bookmaker odds suggest a slight edge for England, but Mexico's perfect home record and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent.

Form Analysis: Mexico enters on a 5-match winning streak, scoring 6 goals and conceding 0 in their last 5, with 4 clean sheets. England is also unbeaten in 5 (67% win rate), scoring 6 and conceding 2, with 3 clean sheets. Both teams are in top form, but Mexico's defensive record is outstanding.

Key Factors: Mexico's home advantage is significant (2-0-0 at home). England has two key injuries (Quansah and James), which could weaken their defense. The head-to-head history is blank, so no psychological edge. The weather is neutral, so no impact.

Conclusion: This match is extremely balanced. Mexico's home form and defensive strength slightly offset England's overall quality. A draw is a very plausible outcome, but both teams have the capability to win. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair with both teams likely to score.

Statistical ContextMexico

Double chance : Mexico or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MexicoEngland
52%Strength47%
50%Attacking Potential50%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
52%Wins the Game47%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MexicoInjuries · EnglandLive scores →

Statistical Context

Mexico

WWWW
  • WJul 1, 26H · Ecuador2-0
  • WJun 25, 26A · Czechia0-3
  • WJun 19, 26H · South Korea1-0
  • WJun 11, 26H · South Africa2-0

England

WWWLW
  • WOct 6, 26H · Czechia3-0
  • WOct 3, 26A · Croatia0-7
  • WSep 29, 26A · Czechia0-2
  • LSep 26, 26H · Spain2-3
  • WJul 18, 26A · France4-6

Season Statistics — 2026

MexicoEngland
Played33
Goals Scored611
Goals Conceded03
Avg Scored2.03.7
Avg Conceded0.01.0
Clean Sheets32

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MexicoEngland
Over 2.5 Goals2/104/10
Both Teams Scored3/102/10
Clean Sheets7/107/10

Mexico vs England — Match Analysis

Mexico are favored at 36% to win at home against England. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 30%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This World Cup clash between Mexico and England at Estadio Banorte is a tightly contested affair, with both teams showing excellent form. The bookmaker odds suggest a slight edge for England, but Mexico's perfect home record and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent.

Form Analysis: Mexico enters on a 5-match winning streak, scoring 6 goals and conceding 0 in their last 5, with 4 clean sheets. England is also unbeaten in 5 (67% win rate), scoring 6 and conceding 2, with 3 clean sheets. Both teams are in top form, but Mexico's defensive record is outstanding.

Key Factors: Mexico's home advantage is significant (2-0-0 at home). England has two key injuries (Quansah and James), which could weaken their defense. The head-to-head history is blank, so no psychological edge. The weather is neutral, so no impact.

Conclusion: This match is extremely balanced. Mexico's home form and defensive strength slightly offset England's overall quality. A draw is a very plausible outcome, but both teams have the capability to win. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair with both teams likely to score.

Win Probabilities: Mexico: 37% · Draw: 34% · England: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (11.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Mexico: WWWW · England: WWWLW

  • Mexico's central defender vs England's striker: The battle between Mexico's organized defense and England's main goal threat will be crucial.
  • Mexico's midfield enforcer vs England's playmaker: Controlling the midfield will determine which team dictates the tempo.
  • Mexico's full-back vs England's winger: England's wide players could exploit space if Mexico's full-backs push forward.

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