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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. France vs Morocco

France vs Morocco

Result • World Cup·France·Morocco

World Cup
World Cup
Jul 9, 2026
20:00
high Confidence
WINNER
France

France

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.57
X3.80
25.80
Stadium
Gillette Stadium, Boston
high Confidence
Morocco

Morocco

Away
Odds
11.57
X3.80
25.80
Stadium
Gillette Stadium, Boston
Win Probabilities
56%
France
30%
Draw
14%
Morocco
Home1.5756%
Draw3.8030%
Away5.8014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

France are strong favourites with a 60% win probability, backed by a perfect home record and five-match winning streak. Morocco's unbeaten run and defensive discipline pose the main threat, but France's superior quality should decide the match.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between France and Morocco using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns France a 56% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Morocco a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Missed penalty: K. MbappeMissed penalty
    28'
    Missed penalty: K. MbappeFrance · Missed penalty
  2. Goal: K. MbappeAssist: D. Doue
    60'
    Goal: K. MbappeFrance · Assist: D. Doue
  3. 62'
    Substitution: S. AmrabatMorocco · Out: A. Bouaddi
    Substitution: S. AmrabatOut: A. Bouaddi
  4. 62'
    Substitution: S. RahimiMorocco · Out: B. El Khannouss
    Substitution: S. RahimiOut: B. El Khannouss
  5. 63'
    Yellow Card: I. DiopMorocco
    Yellow Card: I. Diop
  6. Goal: O. DembeleAssist: K. Mbappe
    66'
    Goal: O. DembeleFrance · Assist: K. Mbappe
  7. Substitution: W. Zaire-EmeryOut: M. Kone
    71'
    Substitution: W. Zaire-EmeryFrance · Out: M. Kone
  8. 74'
    Substitution: G. YassineMorocco · Out: B. Diaz
    Substitution: G. YassineOut: B. Diaz
  9. 74'
    Substitution: Z. El OuahdiMorocco · Out: A. Salah-Eddine
    Substitution: Z. El OuahdiOut: A. Salah-Eddine
  10. Substitution: J. MatetaOut: K. Mbappe
    77'
    Substitution: J. MatetaFrance · Out: K. Mbappe
  11. Substitution: B. BarcolaOut: D. Doue
    77'
    Substitution: B. BarcolaFrance · Out: D. Doue
  12. 85'
    Substitution: A. SbaiMorocco · Out: C. Talbi
    Substitution: A. SbaiOut: C. Talbi
  13. Substitution: M. GustoOut: J. Kounde
    87'
    Substitution: M. GustoFrance · Out: J. Kounde
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kylian Mbappé vs Achraf Hakimi: Mbappé's pace against Hakimi's defensive awareness on the flank.
2Antoine Griezmann vs Sofyan Amrabat: Griezmann's creativity versus Amrabat's defensive midfield work.
3Hugo Lloris vs Yassine Bounou: Two experienced goalkeepers, with Lloris' command of area vs Bounou's shot-stopping.
Strengths · Weaknesses

France

  • Excellent recent form with 5 consecutive wins
  • Strong defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Potential complacency against underdog
  • High temperature may affect stamina

Morocco

  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Solid defensive organization
  • Inferior head-to-head record
  • Lower attacking output compared to France

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
56%
API-Football
45%
51%
France503812

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

France are clear favourites to win this World Cup match against Morocco, backed by dominant form, superior defensive stats, and a perfect home record. The odds and statistical model both point to a home victory, though Morocco's resilience suggests they can keep it competitive.

Form Analysis: France are on a five-match winning streak, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 2, with three clean sheets. Morocco are also unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw) but have conceded four goals and kept two clean sheets. France's attacking output (2.8 goals per game) and defensive solidity (0.4 conceded) give them a clear edge.

Key Factors: France's perfect home record (3 wins from 3) and strong head-to-head history (1 win, no losses) reinforce their advantage. The API comparison shows France superior in attack (56% vs 44%), defense (67% vs 33%), and overall (60% vs 40%). No significant injuries for either side, so both can field their best XIs.

Conclusion: France's superior form, home advantage, and statistical dominance make them the likely winners. Morocco's unbeaten run suggests they will not be pushovers, but France's quality should prevail in a controlled performance.

Statistical ContextFrance

Double chance : France or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FranceMorocco
60%Strength40%
56%Attacking Potential44%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
100%Goals H2H50%
60%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FranceInjuries · MoroccoLive scores →

Statistical Context

France

WDWWL
  • WOct 5, 26H · Belgium4-1
  • DOct 2, 26H · Italy1-1
  • WSep 28, 26A · Belgium0-1
  • WSep 25, 26A · Türkiye0-1
  • LJul 18, 26H · England4-6

Morocco

WWWDW
  • WSep 29, 26A · Lesotho0-2
  • WSep 25, 26H · Gabon2-0
  • WJul 4, 26A · Canada0-3
  • DJun 30, 26A · Netherlands1-1
  • WJun 24, 26H · Haiti4-2

Head to Head

1
France
0
Draws
0
Morocco
  • Dec 14, 22France – Morocco2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FranceMorocco
Played25
Goals Scored211
Goals Conceded04
Avg Scored1.02.2
Avg Conceded0.00.8
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FranceMorocco
Over 2.5 Goals8/105/10
Both Teams Scored6/103/10
Clean Sheets4/107/10

France vs Morocco — Match Analysis

France are strong favourites with a 60% win probability, backed by a perfect home record and five-match winning streak. Morocco's unbeaten run and defensive discipline pose the main threat, but France's superior quality should decide the match.

France are clear favourites to win this World Cup match against Morocco, backed by dominant form, superior defensive stats, and a perfect home record. The odds and statistical model both point to a home victory, though Morocco's resilience suggests they can keep it competitive.

Form Analysis: France are on a five-match winning streak, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 2, with three clean sheets. Morocco are also unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw) but have conceded four goals and kept two clean sheets. France's attacking output (2.8 goals per game) and defensive solidity (0.4 conceded) give them a clear edge.

Key Factors: France's perfect home record (3 wins from 3) and strong head-to-head history (1 win, no losses) reinforce their advantage. The API comparison shows France superior in attack (56% vs 44%), defense (67% vs 33%), and overall (60% vs 40%). No significant injuries for either side, so both can field their best XIs.

Conclusion: France's superior form, home advantage, and statistical dominance make them the likely winners. Morocco's unbeaten run suggests they will not be pushovers, but France's quality should prevail in a controlled performance.

Win Probabilities: France: 56% · Draw: 30% · Morocco: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: France wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Morocco wins: 0

Form (latest first): France: WDWWL · Morocco: WWWDW

  • Kylian Mbappé vs Achraf Hakimi: Mbappé's pace against Hakimi's defensive awareness on the flank.
  • Antoine Griezmann vs Sofyan Amrabat: Griezmann's creativity versus Amrabat's defensive midfield work.
  • Hugo Lloris vs Yassine Bounou: Two experienced goalkeepers, with Lloris' command of area vs Bounou's shot-stopping.

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