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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. France vs Spain

France vs Spain

Result • World Cup·France·Spain

World Cup
World Cup
Jul 14, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
France

France

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.48
X2.96
23.05
Stadium
Dallas Stadium, Arlington
medium Confidence
WINNER
Spain

Spain

Away
Odds
12.48
X2.96
23.05
Stadium
Dallas Stadium, Arlington
Win Probabilities
31%
France
35%
Draw
34%
Spain
Home2.4831%
Draw2.9635%
Away3.0534%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair with a slight edge to France due to home advantage, but Spain's strong head-to-head record makes a draw the most likely outcome. The main risk is that either team's potent attack could break the deadlock, leading to a narrow win.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between France and Spain using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns France a 31% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Spain a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: A. Rabiot
    9'
    Yellow Card: A. RabiotFrance
  2. 22'
    Penalty: M. Oyarzabal (Penalty)Spain
    Penalty: M. Oyarzabal (Penalty)
  3. Substitution: M. LacroixOut: W. Saliba
    30'
    Substitution: M. LacroixFrance · Out: W. Saliba
  4. 31'
    Yellow Card: M. CucurellaSpain
    Yellow Card: M. Cucurella
  5. Substitution: M. KoneOut: A. Rabiot
    46'
    Substitution: M. KoneFrance · Out: A. Rabiot
  6. Substitution: D. DoueOut: B. Barcola
    57'
    Substitution: D. DoueFrance · Out: B. Barcola
  7. 58'
    Goal: P. PorroSpain · Assist: D. Olmo
    Goal: P. PorroAssist: D. Olmo
  8. Substitution: R. CherkiOut: M. Olise
    72'
    Substitution: R. CherkiFrance · Out: M. Olise
  9. Substitution: T. HernandezOut: L. Digne
    72'
    Substitution: T. HernandezFrance · Out: L. Digne
  10. 74'
    Substitution: F. TorresSpain · Out: M. Oyarzabal
    Substitution: F. TorresOut: M. Oyarzabal
  11. 78'
    Substitution: M. MerinoSpain · Out: D. Olmo
    Substitution: M. MerinoOut: D. Olmo
  12. 78'
    Substitution: PedriSpain · Out: F. Ruiz
    Substitution: PedriOut: F. Ruiz
  13. 84'
    Substitution: M. LlorenteSpain · Out: P. Porro
    Substitution: M. LlorenteOut: P. Porro
  14. 84'
    Substitution: N. WilliamsSpain · Out: A. Baena
    Substitution: N. WilliamsOut: A. Baena
  15. Yellow Card: K. Mbappe
    86'
    Yellow Card: K. MbappeFrance
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kylian Mbappé vs Dani Carvajal: Mbappé's pace and direct running will test Carvajal's defensive positioning and recovery speed.
2Antoine Griezmann vs Rodri: Griezmann's movement between the lines could disrupt Rodri's screening of the defense, a key battle in midfield.
3Pedri vs N'Golo Kanté: Pedri's creativity and dribbling against Kanté's relentless pressing will be crucial in determining midfield control.
Strengths · Weaknesses

France

  • Excellent recent form with 5 consecutive wins
  • Strong home record (4-0-0)
  • Poor head-to-head record against Spain (1 win in last 5)
  • May struggle against Spain's technical style in hot conditions

Spain

  • Dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in last 5)
  • Excellent defensive record (4 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Slightly lower goalscoring average than France (2.2 vs 2.6)
  • Playing away from home against a team with a perfect home record

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Spain214040

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

This World Cup clash between France and Spain is a fascinating encounter between two in-form sides. The bookmaker-implied probabilities suggest a slight edge for France, but the margin is very narrow, indicating a highly competitive match. Both teams are on impressive winning streaks and boast excellent defensive records, making this a difficult match to call.

Form Analysis: Both France and Spain have won their last five matches, with identical defensive records of four clean sheets and only two goals conceded each. France have scored 16 goals in that period, averaging 2.6 per game, while Spain have scored 11 (2.2 per game). This suggests France may have a slight attacking edge, but both sides are in outstanding form.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favors Spain, with four wins in the last five meetings. However, France have a perfect home record this season (4 wins from 4). The weather is hot and sunny, which may favor a technical style, suiting both teams. No significant injuries are reported, so both sides are at full strength.

Conclusion: The data points to a very tight match where neither team has a clear advantage. France's home form and slight attacking edge are balanced by Spain's historical dominance in this fixture. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for either side, with the draw being a strong possibility given the evenness of the contest.

Statistical ContextSpain

Combo Double chance : draw or Spain and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FranceSpain
42%Strength57%
54%Attacking Potential46%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
20%H2H Strength80%
37%Goals H2H63%
42%Wins the Game57%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FranceInjuries · SpainLive scores →

Statistical Context

France

WDWWL
  • WOct 5, 26H · Belgium4-1
  • DOct 2, 26H · Italy1-1
  • WSep 28, 26A · Belgium0-1
  • WSep 25, 26A · Türkiye0-1
  • LJul 18, 26H · England4-6

Spain

WWWWW
  • WOct 6, 26A · Croatia1-2
  • WOct 3, 26H · Czechia3-1
  • WSep 29, 26H · Croatia4-1
  • WSep 26, 26A · England2-3
  • WJul 19, 26H · Argentina1-0

Head to Head

1
France
0
Draws
4
Spain
  • Jun 5, 25Spain – France5-4
  • Jul 9, 24Spain – France2-1
  • Oct 10, 21Spain – France1-2
  • Mar 28, 17France – Spain0-2
  • Jun 23, 12Spain – France2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FranceSpain
Played23
Goals Scored210
Goals Conceded04
Avg Scored1.03.3
Avg Conceded0.01.3
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FranceSpain
Over 2.5 Goals8/108/10
Both Teams Scored6/103/10
Clean Sheets4/107/10

France vs Spain — Match Analysis

The match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair with a slight edge to France due to home advantage, but Spain's strong head-to-head record makes a draw the most likely outcome. The main risk is that either team's potent attack could break the deadlock, leading to a narrow win.

This World Cup clash between France and Spain is a fascinating encounter between two in-form sides. The bookmaker-implied probabilities suggest a slight edge for France, but the margin is very narrow, indicating a highly competitive match. Both teams are on impressive winning streaks and boast excellent defensive records, making this a difficult match to call.

Form Analysis: Both France and Spain have won their last five matches, with identical defensive records of four clean sheets and only two goals conceded each. France have scored 16 goals in that period, averaging 2.6 per game, while Spain have scored 11 (2.2 per game). This suggests France may have a slight attacking edge, but both sides are in outstanding form.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favors Spain, with four wins in the last five meetings. However, France have a perfect home record this season (4 wins from 4). The weather is hot and sunny, which may favor a technical style, suiting both teams. No significant injuries are reported, so both sides are at full strength.

Conclusion: The data points to a very tight match where neither team has a clear advantage. France's home form and slight attacking edge are balanced by Spain's historical dominance in this fixture. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for either side, with the draw being a strong possibility given the evenness of the contest.

Win Probabilities: France: 31% · Draw: 35% · Spain: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: France wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Spain wins: 4

Form (latest first): France: WDWWL · Spain: WWWWW

  • Kylian Mbappé vs Dani Carvajal: Mbappé's pace and direct running will test Carvajal's defensive positioning and recovery speed.
  • Antoine Griezmann vs Rodri: Griezmann's movement between the lines could disrupt Rodri's screening of the defense, a key battle in midfield.
  • Pedri vs N'Golo Kanté: Pedri's creativity and dribbling against Kanté's relentless pressing will be crucial in determining midfield control.

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