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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Germany vs Paraguay

Germany vs Paraguay

Result • World Cup·Germany·Paraguay

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 29, 2026
20:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Germany

Germany

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.34
X4.75
28.80
Stadium
Gillette Stadium, Boston
medium Confidence
DRAW
Paraguay

Paraguay

Away
Odds
11.34
X4.75
28.80
Stadium
Gillette Stadium, Boston
Win Probabilities
65%
Germany
25%
Draw
10%
Paraguay
Home1.3465%
Draw4.7525%
Away8.8010%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Germany are strong favourites with a 70% win probability, underpinned by their prolific attack (10 goals in 5 games) and Paraguay's offensive struggles (2 goals in 5). The main risk is Paraguay's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the score low.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Germany and Paraguay using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Germany a 65% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Paraguay a 10% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 42'
    Goal: J. EncisoParaguay · Assist: M. Galarza
    Goal: J. EncisoAssist: M. Galarza
  2. Substitution: L. GoretzkaOut: F. Nmecha
    46'
    Substitution: L. GoretzkaGermany · Out: F. Nmecha
  3. Goal: K. HavertzAssist: F. Wirtz
    54'
    Goal: K. HavertzGermany · Assist: F. Wirtz
  4. 55'
    Substitution: G. CaballeroParaguay · Out: G. Avalos
    Substitution: G. CaballeroOut: G. Avalos
  5. 57'
    Substitution: MauricioParaguay · Out: J. Enciso
    Substitution: MauricioOut: J. Enciso
  6. Substitution: J. MusialaOut: D. Undav
    63'
    Substitution: J. MusialaGermany · Out: D. Undav
  7. 65'
    Yellow Card: A. CubasParaguay
    Yellow Card: A. Cubas
  8. Substitution: W. AntonOut: A. Pavlovic
    79'
    Substitution: W. AntonGermany · Out: A. Pavlovic
  9. Substitution: N. WoltemadeOut: L. Sane
    88'
    Substitution: N. WoltemadeGermany · Out: L. Sane
  10. 91'
    Substitution: G. VelazquezParaguay · Out: M. Almiron
    Substitution: G. VelazquezOut: M. Almiron
  11. 99'
    Substitution: B. OjedaParaguay · Out: J. Caceres
    Substitution: B. OjedaOut: J. Caceres
  12. 99'
    Substitution: A. SanabriaParaguay · Out: D. Bobadilla
    Substitution: A. SanabriaOut: D. Bobadilla
  13. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulJ. Tah
    102'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulGermany · J. Tah
  14. 105'
    Yellow Card: G. AlfaroParaguay
    Yellow Card: G. Alfaro
  15. Yellow Card: J. Nagelsmann
    105+1'
    Yellow Card: J. NagelsmannGermany
  16. Yellow Card: K. Havertz
    106'
    Yellow Card: K. HavertzGermany
  17. Substitution: N. AmiriOut: F. Wirtz
    110'
    Substitution: N. AmiriGermany · Out: F. Wirtz
  18. Substitution: M. ThiawOut: A. Rudiger
    110'
    Substitution: M. ThiawGermany · Out: A. Rudiger
  19. Yellow Card: J. Musiala
    115'
    Yellow Card: J. MusialaGermany
  20. 117'
    Yellow Card: M. GalarzaParaguay
    Yellow Card: M. Galarza
  21. 120+2'
    Substitution: Fabian BalbuenaParaguay · Out: J. Alonso
    Substitution: Fabian BalbuenaOut: J. Alonso
  22. Missed penalty: K. HavertzPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: K. HavertzGermany · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  23. Penalty: Mauricio (Penalty)Paraguay · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: Mauricio (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  24. Penalty: J. Kimmich (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: J. Kimmich (Penalty)Germany · Penalty shootout
  25. Penalty: G. Gomez (Penalty)Paraguay · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: G. Gomez (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  26. Penalty: J. Musiala (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: J. Musiala (Penalty)Germany · Penalty shootout
  27. Penalty: M. Galarza (Penalty)Paraguay · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: M. Galarza (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  28. Missed penalty: N. WoltemadePenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: N. WoltemadeGermany · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  29. Missed penalty: A. SanabriaParaguay · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: A. SanabriaPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  30. Penalty: N. Amiri (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: N. Amiri (Penalty)Germany · Penalty shootout
  31. Missed penalty: Fabian BalbuenaParaguay · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: Fabian BalbuenaPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  32. Missed penalty: J. TahPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: J. TahGermany · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  33. Penalty: J. Canale (Penalty)Paraguay · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: J. Canale (Penalty)Penalty shootout
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Germany's attack vs Paraguay's defense: Germany's potent forward line will test Paraguay's backline, which has kept three clean sheets recently.
2Midfield control: Germany's midfield creativity will look to dominate possession against Paraguay's compact midfield.
3Set pieces: Germany's height advantage could be decisive from corners and free kicks.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Germany

  • High-scoring attack (3.2 goals per game)
  • Strong home record (2-0-0)
  • Recent loss in last match (1 loss streak)
  • Two injury absentees in defense (Schlotterbeck, Brown)

Paraguay

  • Solid defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Disciplined shape (4-4-2 formation)
  • Low scoring output (0.4 goals per game)
  • Key suspensions (D. Gómez, M. Almirón)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
65%
API-Football
45%
55%
Germany553510

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Germany are clear favourites to win this World Cup match against Paraguay, backed by strong form and a significant edge in attacking quality.

Form Analysis: Germany have been prolific in attack, scoring 10 goals in their last 5 matches (average 3.2 per game) with a 67% win rate. Paraguay, while defensively solid with 3 clean sheets in 5 games, have only scored 2 goals in that period, indicating a lack of offensive threat.

Key Factors: Germany's attacking strength (83% rating) dwarfs Paraguay's (17%), and their overall team comparison (69.8%) heavily favours them. Paraguay are missing key players through suspension (D. Gómez and M. Almirón), weakening their midfield and attack. Germany also have a perfect home record (2 wins from 2) and the venue is in their favour.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Germany victory. Paraguay's defensive resilience may keep the scoreline respectable, but Germany's superior firepower should prove decisive.

Statistical ContextGermany

Combo Winner : Germany and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
GermanyParaguay
69%Strength30%
83%Attacking Potential17%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
69%Wins the Game30%
Head-to-head →Injuries · GermanyInjuries · ParaguayLive scores →

Statistical Context

Germany

DWLDL
  • DOct 4, 26A · Greece0-0
  • WOct 1, 26H · Serbia2-0
  • LSep 27, 26H · Greece0-1
  • DSep 24, 26A · Netherlands1-1
  • LJun 25, 26A · Ecuador2-1

Paraguay

LDWL
  • LJul 4, 26H · France0-1
  • DJun 26, 26H · Australia0-0
  • WJun 20, 26A · Türkiye0-1
  • LJun 13, 26A · USA4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

GermanyParaguay
Played34
Goals Scored34
Goals Conceded25
Avg Scored1.01.0
Avg Conceded0.71.3
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

GermanyParaguay
Over 2.5 Goals6/104/10
Both Teams Scored3/104/10
Clean Sheets5/104/10

Germany vs Paraguay — Match Analysis

Germany are strong favourites with a 70% win probability, underpinned by their prolific attack (10 goals in 5 games) and Paraguay's offensive struggles (2 goals in 5). The main risk is Paraguay's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the score low.

Germany are clear favourites to win this World Cup match against Paraguay, backed by strong form and a significant edge in attacking quality.

Form Analysis: Germany have been prolific in attack, scoring 10 goals in their last 5 matches (average 3.2 per game) with a 67% win rate. Paraguay, while defensively solid with 3 clean sheets in 5 games, have only scored 2 goals in that period, indicating a lack of offensive threat.

Key Factors: Germany's attacking strength (83% rating) dwarfs Paraguay's (17%), and their overall team comparison (69.8%) heavily favours them. Paraguay are missing key players through suspension (D. Gómez and M. Almirón), weakening their midfield and attack. Germany also have a perfect home record (2 wins from 2) and the venue is in their favour.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Germany victory. Paraguay's defensive resilience may keep the scoreline respectable, but Germany's superior firepower should prove decisive.

Win Probabilities: Germany: 65% · Draw: 25% · Paraguay: 10%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 35%

Form (latest first): Germany: DWLDL · Paraguay: LDWL

  • Germany's attack vs Paraguay's defense: Germany's potent forward line will test Paraguay's backline, which has kept three clean sheets recently.
  • Midfield control: Germany's midfield creativity will look to dominate possession against Paraguay's compact midfield.
  • Set pieces: Germany's height advantage could be decisive from corners and free kicks.

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