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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Netherlands vs Japan

Netherlands vs Japan

Result • World Cup·Netherlands·Japan

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 14, 2026
20:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Netherlands

Netherlands

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.05
X3.50
23.60
Stadium
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
medium Confidence
DRAW
Japan

Japan

Away
Odds
12.05
X3.50
23.60
Stadium
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Win Probabilities
45%
Netherlands
31%
Draw
24%
Japan
Home2.0545%
Draw3.5031%
Away3.6024%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Netherlands's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Japan, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Netherlands and Japan using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Netherlands a 45% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Japan a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: V. van DijkAssist: R. Gravenberch
    51'
    Goal: V. van DijkNetherlands · Assist: R. Gravenberch
  2. 57'
    Goal: K. NakamuraJapan · Assist: T. Kubo
    Goal: K. NakamuraAssist: T. Kubo
  3. Yellow Card: C. Summerville
    61'
    Yellow Card: C. SummervilleNetherlands
  4. Goal: C. SummervilleAssist: R. Gravenberch
    64'
    Goal: C. SummervilleNetherlands · Assist: R. Gravenberch
  5. 66'
    Substitution: J. ItoJapan · Out: D. Maeda
    Substitution: J. ItoOut: D. Maeda
  6. Substitution: M. DepayOut: D. Malen
    70'
    Substitution: M. DepayNetherlands · Out: D. Malen
  7. Substitution: T. KoopmeinersOut: C. Summerville
    70'
    Substitution: T. KoopmeinersNetherlands · Out: C. Summerville
  8. Substitution: Q. TimberOut: T. Reijnders
    70'
    Substitution: Q. TimberNetherlands · Out: T. Reijnders
  9. 75'
    Substitution: T. TomiyasuJapan · Out: T. Watanabe
    Substitution: T. TomiyasuOut: T. Watanabe
  10. 75'
    Substitution: K. OgawaJapan · Out: T. Kubo
    Substitution: K. OgawaOut: T. Kubo
  11. 75'
    Substitution: Y. SugawaraJapan · Out: R. Doan
    Substitution: Y. SugawaraOut: R. Doan
  12. Substitution: N. AkeOut: R. Gravenberch
    81'
    Substitution: N. AkeNetherlands · Out: R. Gravenberch
  13. Yellow Card: M. Depay
    83'
    Yellow Card: M. DepayNetherlands
  14. 84'
    Substitution: K. ShiogaiJapan · Out: A. Ueda
    Substitution: K. ShiogaiOut: A. Ueda
  15. Substitution: B. BrobbeyOut: C. Gakpo
    85'
    Substitution: B. BrobbeyNetherlands · Out: C. Gakpo
  16. 88'
    Goal: D. KamadaJapan · Assist: K. Ogawa
    Goal: D. KamadaAssist: K. Ogawa
  17. Yellow Card: M. van de Ven
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: M. van de VenNetherlands
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Netherlands forward vs Japan center-backs: The battle between Netherlands' attack and Japan's back three will be crucial, as Japan has kept 5 clean sheets.
2Netherlands midfield vs Japan midfield: Control of the midfield will determine possession and chances created.
3Netherlands full-backs vs Japan wing-backs: The wide areas will be key for both teams' attacking threats.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Netherlands

  • Strong H2H record against Japan
  • Home advantage
  • Inconsistent form (only 1 win streak)
  • Defense vulnerable (0.8 goals conceded per game)

Japan

  • Excellent recent form (5 wins, 5 clean sheets)
  • Strong defensive organization
  • No wins in last 5 H2H meetings
  • Lack of experience against top-tier opposition in this data

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
50%
48%
Netherlands484112

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (48%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Netherlands is the predicted winner. The bookmaker-implied probabilities (home 46%, draw 27%, away 26%) and the API-Football model (predicted winner: Netherlands) both favor the home side, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Japan is on a 5-match winning streak with 5 clean sheets, showing excellent defensive form. However, Netherlands also has a positive streak (1 win) and averages 1.8 goals scored per game. The API comparison shows Netherlands with 100% H2H strength, indicating historical dominance.

Key Factors: 1) Netherlands' strong H2H record (1 win, 0 losses in last 5 meetings). 2) Japan's impressive recent form (5 wins, 5 clean sheets) but against unknown opposition. 3) Home advantage for Netherlands (rating 0.55) and favorable weather (neutral).

Conclusion: Netherlands is favored due to historical H2H dominance and home advantage, but Japan's form cannot be ignored. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win.

Statistical ContextNetherlands

Double chance : Netherlands or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
NetherlandsJapan
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
100%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · NetherlandsInjuries · JapanLive scores →

Statistical Context

Netherlands

DWW
  • DJun 30, 26H · Morocco1-1
  • WJun 25, 26A · Tunisia1-3
  • WJun 20, 26H · Sweden5-1

Japan

LDW
  • LJun 29, 26A · Brazil2-1
  • DJun 25, 26H · Sweden1-1
  • WJun 21, 26A · Tunisia0-4

Head to Head

0
Netherlands
0
Draws
1
Japan
  • Jun 19, 10Netherlands – Japan1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

NetherlandsJapan
Played—3
Goals Scored—7
Goals Conceded—3
Avg Scored—2.3
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

NetherlandsJapan
Over 2.5 Goals6/103/10
Both Teams Scored5/102/10
Clean Sheets4/107/10

Netherlands vs Japan — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Netherlands's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Japan, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Netherlands is the predicted winner. The bookmaker-implied probabilities (home 46%, draw 27%, away 26%) and the API-Football model (predicted winner: Netherlands) both favor the home side, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Japan is on a 5-match winning streak with 5 clean sheets, showing excellent defensive form. However, Netherlands also has a positive streak (1 win) and averages 1.8 goals scored per game. The API comparison shows Netherlands with 100% H2H strength, indicating historical dominance.

Key Factors: 1) Netherlands' strong H2H record (1 win, 0 losses in last 5 meetings). 2) Japan's impressive recent form (5 wins, 5 clean sheets) but against unknown opposition. 3) Home advantage for Netherlands (rating 0.55) and favorable weather (neutral).

Conclusion: Netherlands is favored due to historical H2H dominance and home advantage, but Japan's form cannot be ignored. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win.

Win Probabilities: Netherlands: 45% · Draw: 31% · Japan: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Netherlands wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Japan wins: 1

Form (latest first): Netherlands: DWW · Japan: LDW

  • Netherlands forward vs Japan center-backs: The battle between Netherlands' attack and Japan's back three will be crucial, as Japan has kept 5 clean sheets.
  • Netherlands midfield vs Japan midfield: Control of the midfield will determine possession and chances created.
  • Netherlands full-backs vs Japan wing-backs: The wide areas will be key for both teams' attacking threats.

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