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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Netherlands vs Morocco

Netherlands vs Morocco

Result • World Cup·Netherlands·Morocco

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 30, 2026
01:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Netherlands

Netherlands

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.30
X3.05
23.25
Stadium
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
medium Confidence
DRAW
Morocco

Morocco

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.05
23.25
Stadium
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Win Probabilities
42%
Netherlands
34%
Draw
24%
Morocco
Home2.3042%
Draw3.0534%
Away3.2524%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Netherlands are favored at 42% to win at home against Morocco. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 24%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Netherlands and Morocco using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Netherlands a 42% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Morocco a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. 47'
    Yellow Card: I. DiopMorocco
    Yellow Card: I. Diop
  2. Substitution: T. KoopmeinersOut: N. Ake
    71'
    Substitution: T. KoopmeinersNetherlands · Out: N. Ake
  3. Substitution: W. WeghorstOut: B. Brobbey
    71'
    Substitution: W. WeghorstNetherlands · Out: B. Brobbey
  4. Goal: C. GakpoAssist: C. Summerville
    72'
    Goal: C. GakpoNetherlands · Assist: C. Summerville
  5. 75'
    Substitution: A. Salah-EddineMorocco · Out: C. Riad
    Substitution: A. Salah-EddineOut: C. Riad
  6. 79'
    Substitution: G. YassineMorocco · Out: B. Diaz
    Substitution: G. YassineOut: B. Diaz
  7. 79'
    Substitution: S. El MourabetMorocco · Out: A. Bouaddi
    Substitution: S. El MourabetOut: A. Bouaddi
  8. 86'
    Substitution: S. RahimiMorocco · Out: A. Ounahi
    Substitution: S. RahimiOut: A. Ounahi
  9. Substitution: J. HatoOut: M. van de Ven
    86'
    Substitution: J. HatoNetherlands · Out: M. van de Ven
  10. Substitution: Q. TimberOut: R. Gravenberch
    86'
    Substitution: Q. TimberNetherlands · Out: R. Gravenberch
  11. 87'
    Substitution: C. TalbiMorocco · Out: B. El Khannouss
    Substitution: C. TalbiOut: B. El Khannouss
  12. 90+1'
    Goal: I. DiopMorocco · Assist: C. Talbi
    Goal: I. DiopAssist: C. Talbi
  13. Substitution: M. De RoonOut: F. de Jong
    110'
    Substitution: M. De RoonNetherlands · Out: F. de Jong
  14. Substitution: J. KluivertOut: C. Gakpo
    113'
    Substitution: J. KluivertNetherlands · Out: C. Gakpo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Memphis Depay vs Achraf Hakimi: Depay's creativity and movement vs Hakimi's pace and defensive recovery.
2Frenkie de Jong vs Sofyan Amrabat: Battle for midfield control; de Jong's passing range vs Amrabat's defensive tenacity.
3Virgil van Dijk vs Youssef En-Nesyri: Aerial duels and physical contest; van Dijk's strength vs En-Nesyri's hold-up play.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Netherlands

  • Strong attack averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Excellent head-to-head record against Morocco
  • No clean sheets in last five matches
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.2 per game)

Morocco

  • Solid defense with two clean sheets in last five
  • Unbeaten in five matches (5-match streak)
  • Lower attacking output (2.2 goals per game)
  • No wins against Netherlands historically

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
42%
API-Football
45%
44%
Netherlands444017

Moderate agreement on home win (44%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

This World Cup clash between Netherlands and Morocco is finely poised, with the Dutch holding a slight edge based on historical head-to-head dominance and a marginally stronger attack. However, Morocco's excellent recent form and solid defense make this a competitive fixture.

Form Analysis: Both teams boast a 67% win rate in their last five matches. Netherlands have scored 10 goals but conceded 4, while Morocco have netted 6 and conceded only 3, keeping two clean sheets. Morocco are on a five-match unbeaten streak, one better than Netherlands' four.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history strongly favors Netherlands, who have won their only previous meeting. However, Morocco's defensive solidity (57% defensive strength per comparison data) could neutralize the Dutch attack. The match is at a neutral venue, reducing home advantage.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight contest where Netherlands' attacking edge may just prevail, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given Morocco's resilience.

Statistical ContextNetherlands

Double chance : Netherlands or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
NetherlandsMorocco
53%Strength46%
63%Attacking Potential38%
43%Defensive Potential57%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
67%Goals H2H33%
53%Wins the Game46%
Head-to-head →Injuries · NetherlandsInjuries · MoroccoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Netherlands

WDWDW
  • WOct 4, 26H · Serbia2-1
  • DOct 1, 26A · Greece2-2
  • WSep 27, 26A · Serbia1-2
  • DSep 24, 26H · Germany1-1
  • WJun 25, 26A · Tunisia1-3

Morocco

WWLWW
  • WSep 29, 26A · Lesotho0-2
  • WSep 25, 26H · Gabon2-0
  • LJul 9, 26A · France2-0
  • WJul 4, 26A · Canada0-3
  • WJun 24, 26H · Haiti4-2

Head to Head

1
Netherlands
0
Draws
0
Morocco
  • May 31, 17Morocco – Netherlands1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

NetherlandsMorocco
Played45
Goals Scored711
Goals Conceded54
Avg Scored1.82.2
Avg Conceded1.30.8
Clean Sheets02

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

NetherlandsMorocco
Over 2.5 Goals6/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/103/10
Clean Sheets4/107/10

Netherlands vs Morocco — Match Analysis

Netherlands are favored at 42% to win at home against Morocco. The draw is rated 34% and the away win 24%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This World Cup clash between Netherlands and Morocco is finely poised, with the Dutch holding a slight edge based on historical head-to-head dominance and a marginally stronger attack. However, Morocco's excellent recent form and solid defense make this a competitive fixture.

Form Analysis: Both teams boast a 67% win rate in their last five matches. Netherlands have scored 10 goals but conceded 4, while Morocco have netted 6 and conceded only 3, keeping two clean sheets. Morocco are on a five-match unbeaten streak, one better than Netherlands' four.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history strongly favors Netherlands, who have won their only previous meeting. However, Morocco's defensive solidity (57% defensive strength per comparison data) could neutralize the Dutch attack. The match is at a neutral venue, reducing home advantage.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight contest where Netherlands' attacking edge may just prevail, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given Morocco's resilience.

Win Probabilities: Netherlands: 42% · Draw: 34% · Morocco: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Netherlands wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Morocco wins: 0

Form (latest first): Netherlands: WDWDW · Morocco: WWLWW

  • Memphis Depay vs Achraf Hakimi: Depay's creativity and movement vs Hakimi's pace and defensive recovery.
  • Frenkie de Jong vs Sofyan Amrabat: Battle for midfield control; de Jong's passing range vs Amrabat's defensive tenacity.
  • Virgil van Dijk vs Youssef En-Nesyri: Aerial duels and physical contest; van Dijk's strength vs En-Nesyri's hold-up play.

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