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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Norway vs Senegal

Norway vs Senegal

Result • World Cup·Norway·Senegal

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 23, 2026
00:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Norway

Norway

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.25
X3.50
23.10
Stadium
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
medium Confidence
Senegal

Senegal

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.50
23.10
Stadium
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Win Probabilities
44%
Norway
32%
Draw
24%
Senegal
Home2.2544%
Draw3.5032%
Away3.1024%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Norway's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Senegal, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Norway and Senegal using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Norway a 44% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Senegal a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: M. PedersenOut: J. Ryerson
    13'
    Substitution: M. PedersenNorway · Out: J. Ryerson
  2. Goal: M. Pedersen
    43'
    Goal: M. PedersenNorway
  3. Substitution: P. BergOut: F. Aursnes
    46'
    Substitution: P. BergNorway · Out: F. Aursnes
  4. Goal: E. HaalandAssist: M. Odegaard
    48'
    Goal: E. HaalandNorway · Assist: M. Odegaard
  5. 53'
    Goal: I. SarrSenegal · Assist: S. Mane
    Goal: I. SarrAssist: S. Mane
  6. 54'
    Substitution: I. JakobsSenegal · Out: M. Diouf
    Substitution: I. JakobsOut: M. Diouf
  7. 54'
    Substitution: I. MbayeSenegal · Out: P. Gueye
    Substitution: I. MbayeOut: P. Gueye
  8. Goal: E. HaalandAssist: P. Berg
    58'
    Goal: E. HaalandNorway · Assist: P. Berg
  9. 63'
    Substitution: M. DiawSenegal · Out: E. Mendy
    Substitution: M. DiawOut: E. Mendy
  10. 63'
    Substitution: P. CissSenegal · Out: L. Camara
    Substitution: P. CissOut: L. Camara
  11. Substitution: A. SchjelderupOut: A. Nusa
    71'
    Substitution: A. SchjelderupNorway · Out: A. Nusa
  12. 72'
    Substitution: P. M. SarrSenegal · Out: K. Koulibaly
    Substitution: P. M. SarrOut: K. Koulibaly
  13. Substitution: L. OstigardOut: T. Heggem
    84'
    Substitution: L. OstigardNorway · Out: T. Heggem
  14. Substitution: O. BobbOut: A. Sorloth
    84'
    Substitution: O. BobbNorway · Out: A. Sorloth
  15. 90+3'
    Goal: I. SarrSenegal · Assist: N. Jackson
    Goal: I. SarrAssist: N. Jackson
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Norway's attack vs Senegal's defense: Norway's strong attack (80%) will test Senegal's weak defense (25%).
2Norway's defense vs Senegal's attack: Norway's solid defense (75%) should handle Senegal's weak attack (20%).
3Midfield control: Norway's overall strength suggests they will dominate midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Norway

  • Strong attack (80% rating)
  • Solid defense (75% rating)
  • Limited head-to-head experience
  • No key player data available

Senegal

  • Decent defensive record (2 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Playoff experience (2nd place in standings)
  • Poor form (1 loss streak)
  • Weak attack (20% rating)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
50%
47%
Norway474112

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (47%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Norway is the predicted winner. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Norway a 45% chance, and the API-Football model also favors Norway with a 50% home win probability and a predicted winner of Norway. The team comparison shows Norway with superior form (100% vs 0%), attack (80% vs 20%), defense (75% vs 25%), and overall strength (77.5% vs 22.5%). Norway also has a 4-match unbeaten streak, while Senegal has a 1-match losing streak. Although there is no head-to-head history, the statistical evidence strongly supports Norway.

Form Analysis: Norway's recent form shows 4 goals scored and only 1 conceded, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match and 1.0 conceded. Senegal has 1 goal scored and 3 conceded, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Norway's unbeaten streak contrasts with Senegal's loss streak, indicating better momentum.

Key Factors: 1) Norway's overwhelming statistical advantage in attack and defense. 2) Norway's strong recent form and unbeaten streak. 3) Senegal's weaker form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Norway victory. The odds and model agree, and the team comparison reinforces this. A home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextNorway

Combo Winner : Norway and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
NorwaySenegal
77%Strength22%
80%Attacking Potential20%
75%Defensive Potential25%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
77%Wins the Game22%
Head-to-head →Injuries · NorwayInjuries · SenegalLive scores →

Statistical Context

Norway

LWWLW
  • LJul 11, 26H · England1-2
  • WJul 5, 26A · Brazil1-2
  • WJun 30, 26A · Ivory Coast1-2
  • LJun 26, 26H · France1-4
  • WJun 16, 26A · Iraq1-4

Senegal

LWLWW
  • LJul 1, 26A · Belgium3-2
  • WJun 26, 26H · Iraq5-0
  • LJun 16, 26A · France3-1
  • WJan 18, 26H · Morocco1-0
  • WJan 14, 26H · Egypt1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

NorwaySenegal
Played—2
Goals Scored—3
Goals Conceded—6
Avg Scored—1.5
Avg Conceded—3.0
Clean Sheets—0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

NorwaySenegal
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored6/104/10
Clean Sheets4/106/10

Norway vs Senegal — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Norway's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Senegal, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Norway is the predicted winner. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Norway a 45% chance, and the API-Football model also favors Norway with a 50% home win probability and a predicted winner of Norway. The team comparison shows Norway with superior form (100% vs 0%), attack (80% vs 20%), defense (75% vs 25%), and overall strength (77.5% vs 22.5%). Norway also has a 4-match unbeaten streak, while Senegal has a 1-match losing streak. Although there is no head-to-head history, the statistical evidence strongly supports Norway.

Form Analysis: Norway's recent form shows 4 goals scored and only 1 conceded, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match and 1.0 conceded. Senegal has 1 goal scored and 3 conceded, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Norway's unbeaten streak contrasts with Senegal's loss streak, indicating better momentum.

Key Factors: 1) Norway's overwhelming statistical advantage in attack and defense. 2) Norway's strong recent form and unbeaten streak. 3) Senegal's weaker form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Norway victory. The odds and model agree, and the team comparison reinforces this. A home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Norway: 44% · Draw: 32% · Senegal: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Norway: LWWLW · Senegal: LWLWW

  • Norway's attack vs Senegal's defense: Norway's strong attack (80%) will test Senegal's weak defense (25%).
  • Norway's defense vs Senegal's attack: Norway's solid defense (75%) should handle Senegal's weak attack (20%).
  • Midfield control: Norway's overall strength suggests they will dominate midfield.

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