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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. Sweden vs Tunisia

Sweden vs Tunisia

Result • World Cup·Sweden·Tunisia

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 15, 2026
02:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Sweden

Sweden

Home
Final Score
5-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
5-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.91
X3.40
24.20
Stadium
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
medium Confidence
Tunisia

Tunisia

Away
Odds
11.91
X3.40
24.20
Stadium
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Win Probabilities
46%
Sweden
29%
Draw
25%
Tunisia
Home1.9146%
Draw3.4029%
Away4.2025%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sweden's attacking firepower overcoming Tunisia's defensive shell. Rain and physical play favor the home side, but a low-scoring affair is likely.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between Sweden and Tunisia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sweden a 46% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Tunisia a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Y. Ayari
    7'
    Goal: Y. AyariSweden
  2. Goal: A. IsakAssist: V. Gyokeres
    30'
    Goal: A. IsakSweden · Assist: V. Gyokeres
  3. 43'
    Goal: O. RekikTunisia · Assist: H. Mejbri
    Goal: O. RekikAssist: H. Mejbri
  4. 54'
    Yellow Card: R. KhediraTunisia
    Yellow Card: R. Khedira
  5. Goal: V. GyokeresAssist: A. Isak
    59'
    Goal: V. GyokeresSweden · Assist: A. Isak
  6. Substitution: E. StroudOut: G. Gudmundsson
    65'
    Substitution: E. StroudSweden · Out: G. Gudmundsson
  7. Substitution: L. BergvallOut: B. Nygren
    65'
    Substitution: L. BergvallSweden · Out: B. Nygren
  8. 72'
    Substitution: S. TounektiTunisia · Out: E. Saad
    Substitution: S. TounektiOut: E. Saad
  9. 72'
    Substitution: M. BelhadjTunisia · Out: Y. Valery
    Substitution: M. BelhadjOut: Y. Valery
  10. 72'
    Substitution: E. AchouriTunisia · Out: E. Skhiri
    Substitution: E. AchouriOut: E. Skhiri
  11. 83'
    Substitution: I. GharbiTunisia · Out: R. Khedira
    Substitution: I. GharbiOut: R. Khedira
  12. 83'
    Substitution: F. ChaouatTunisia · Out: A. Slimane
    Substitution: F. ChaouatOut: A. Slimane
  13. Substitution: M. SvanbergOut: J. Karlstrom
    84'
    Substitution: M. SvanbergSweden · Out: J. Karlstrom
  14. Goal: M. SvanbergAssist: A. Isak
    84'
    Goal: M. SvanbergSweden · Assist: A. Isak
  15. Substitution: A. ElangaOut: A. Isak
    90+1'
    Substitution: A. ElangaSweden · Out: A. Isak
  16. Substitution: D. SvenssonOut: A. Bernhardsson
    90+1'
    Substitution: D. SvenssonSweden · Out: A. Bernhardsson
  17. Goal: Y. AyariAssist: L. Bergvall
    90+6'
    Goal: Y. AyariSweden · Assist: L. Bergvall
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs N/A: Key battles cannot be assessed due to lack of player data.
2N/A vs N/A: Tactical battle between Sweden's attacking midfield and Tunisia's defensive block.
3N/A vs N/A: Physical duels in midfield will be crucial given the weather conditions.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sweden

  • Attacking output (2.0 goals per game)
  • Physical style suited to weather
  • No clean sheets in last 5
  • Lack of recent wins

Tunisia

  • Defensive organization (2 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Compact 5-3-2 formation
  • Severe lack of goals (0.4 per game)
  • Two-match losing streak

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
46%
API-Football
33%
40%
Sweden403129

Moderate agreement on home win (40%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Sweden is favored to win against Tunisia based on bookmaker odds and recent form. Sweden averages 2.0 goals scored per game, while Tunisia struggles offensively with only 0.4 goals per game and has lost two consecutive matches. Tunisia also failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a lack of attacking threat.

Form Analysis: Sweden has a 1 draw streak but no wins in recent matches, though their attacking output is solid. Tunisia is on a 2-loss streak with poor scoring, but they have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5, showing defensive resilience.

Key Factors: 1) Tunisia's poor attacking form (0.4 goals per game) limits their ability to score. 2) Sweden's higher average goals scored (2.0) gives them an edge. 3) Weather conditions (rain, strong impact) favor a physical style, which may suit Sweden's 3-4-1-2 formation.

Conclusion: Sweden's superior attacking form and Tunisia's offensive struggles make a home win the most likely outcome, though Tunisia's defense could keep it close.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SwedenTunisia
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SwedenInjuries · TunisiaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Sweden

WDWWL
  • WOct 5, 26A · Romania0-1
  • DOct 2, 26A · Bosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WSep 28, 26H · Poland3-1
  • WSep 25, 26H · Romania2-1
  • LJun 30, 26A · France3-0

Tunisia

DDLLD
  • DSep 28, 26H · Botswana2-2
  • DSep 24, 26H · Uganda1-1
  • LJun 25, 26H · Netherlands1-3
  • LJun 21, 26H · Japan0-4
  • DJan 3, 26A · Mali1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SwedenTunisia
Played22
Goals Scored51
Goals Conceded29
Avg Scored2.50.5
Avg Conceded1.04.5
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SwedenTunisia
Over 2.5 Goals6/104/10
Both Teams Scored7/105/10
Clean Sheets0/103/10

Sweden vs Tunisia — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sweden's attacking firepower overcoming Tunisia's defensive shell. Rain and physical play favor the home side, but a low-scoring affair is likely.

Sweden is favored to win against Tunisia based on bookmaker odds and recent form. Sweden averages 2.0 goals scored per game, while Tunisia struggles offensively with only 0.4 goals per game and has lost two consecutive matches. Tunisia also failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a lack of attacking threat.

Form Analysis: Sweden has a 1 draw streak but no wins in recent matches, though their attacking output is solid. Tunisia is on a 2-loss streak with poor scoring, but they have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5, showing defensive resilience.

Key Factors: 1) Tunisia's poor attacking form (0.4 goals per game) limits their ability to score. 2) Sweden's higher average goals scored (2.0) gives them an edge. 3) Weather conditions (rain, strong impact) favor a physical style, which may suit Sweden's 3-4-1-2 formation.

Conclusion: Sweden's superior attacking form and Tunisia's offensive struggles make a home win the most likely outcome, though Tunisia's defense could keep it close.

Win Probabilities: Sweden: 46% · Draw: 29% · Tunisia: 25%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 35%

Form (latest first): Sweden: WDWWL · Tunisia: DDLLD

  • N/A vs N/A: Key battles cannot be assessed due to lack of player data.
  • N/A vs N/A: Tactical battle between Sweden's attacking midfield and Tunisia's defensive block.
  • N/A vs N/A: Physical duels in midfield will be crucial given the weather conditions.

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