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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Bahia vs Mirassol

Bahia vs Mirassol

Prediction • Série A·Bahia·Mirassol

Série A
Série A
Oct 11, 2026
22:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Bahia

Bahia

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
Early projection · Odds pending
Mirassol

Mirassol

Away
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
Win Probabilities
63%
Bahia
18%
Draw
19%
Mirassol
Home1.5963%
Draw5.5618%
Away5.2619%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Bahia are favored at 63% to win at home against Mirassol. The draw is rated 18% and the away win 19%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Bahia vs Mirassol.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Bahia
/10
2.0Mirassol
Bahia
FormLatest first
WWWDD
Win Rate60%
Mirassol
FormLatest first
DWLDD
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageBahia+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Bahia
Home

Bahia

Form
DDWWW
Latest first
7
Pos
60
Pts
+8
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 26 matches)

Clean Sheets831%
Goal Diff+8
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches (WWWDD)
  • Strong home record: 5W-6D-2L
  • High-scoring attack: 2.2 goals per game

Key Players

Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba
7.1
Goals
7
Assists
1
N. Acevedo
N. Acevedo
7.0
Goals
0
Assists
0
Michel Araujo
Red Card
Suspended
Dell
Red Card
Suspended
S. Ramos
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Ze Guilherme
Yellow Cards
Suspended
David Duarte
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Luciano Juba
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Erick
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Rodrigo
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Everaldo
Red Card
Suspended
Jean Lucas
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Erick Pulga
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Sidney Duarte
Injury
Injured
M. Moreno
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
Caio Alexandre
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Gilberto
Muscle Injury
Injured
Kanu
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Everton Ribeiro
Inactive
Injured
Leo Vieira
Knee Injury
Injured
Nicolas Acevedo
Injury
Injured
Willian Jose
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Ronaldo Strada
Shoulder Injury
Injured
Ademir
Injury
Injured
C. Olivera
Ankle Injury
Injured
Ruan Pablo
Ankle Injury
Injured
M. Sanabria
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 2
Bahia
Bahia
1Wins
1
Draws
Mirassol
0Wins
Mirassol
50%50%0%

Recent Matches

Last 2
Aug312025
MirassolMirassol
5-1
Loss
BahiaBahia
Apr132025
BahiaBahia
1-1
Draw
MirassolMirassol

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia

Apr 11, 2026

32% / 33% / 35%

Bahia4-3-3vs4-1-4-1MirassolPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Bahia

25Out

14 key players

Mirassol

23Out

17 key players

Bahia

Team

Bahia

Players Out

25(14 key)
Michel Araujo

Michel Araujo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Dell

Dell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
S. Ramos

S. Ramos

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Ze Guilherme

Ze Guilherme

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
David Duarte

David Duarte

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Luciano Juba

Luciano Juba

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Erick

Erick

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Rodrigo

Rodrigo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Everaldo

Everaldo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Jean Lucas

Jean Lucas

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Erick Pulga

Erick Pulga

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Sidney Duarte

Sidney Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Moreno

M. Moreno

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Caio Alexandre

Caio Alexandre

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Gilberto

Gilberto

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Kanu

Kanu

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Everton Ribeiro

Everton Ribeiro

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Leo Vieira

Leo Vieira

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Nicolas Acevedo

Nicolas Acevedo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Willian Jose

Willian Jose

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ronaldo Strada

Ronaldo Strada

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ademir

Ademir

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Olivera

C. Olivera

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Ruan Pablo

Ruan Pablo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

M. Sanabria

M. Sanabria

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Mirassol

Team

Mirassol

Players Out

23(17 key)
Neto Moura

Neto Moura

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Eduardo

Eduardo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Denilson

Denilson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Reinaldo

Reinaldo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Wallisson

Wallisson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Joao Victor

Joao Victor

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Igor Formiga

Igor Formiga

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Igor Carius

Igor Carius

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Yuri Lara

Yuri Lara

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Walter

Walter

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Cazonatti

G. Cazonatti

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Elias

Elias

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Gustavo Silva

Gustavo Silva

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alesson

Alesson

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Nathan Fogaca

Nathan Fogaca

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alex Muralha

Alex Muralha

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Jose Aldo

Jose Aldo

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Negueba

Negueba

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Andre Luis

Andre Luis

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Edson Carioca

Edson Carioca

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Felipe Jonatan

Felipe Jonatan

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Daniel Borges

Daniel Borges

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Renato Marques

Renato Marques

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2716834721+2656
2
Flamengo
Flamengo
2616645121+3054
3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2713774131+1046
4
Fluminense
Fluminense
2712964135+645
5
Bahia
BahiaHome
26111054032+843
6
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2712693939042
7
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
2611693531+439
8
Coritiba
Coritiba
2710893738-138
9
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
26106103229+336
10
Santos
Santos
269893939035
11
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2696113130+133
12
Vitoria
Vitoria
2695122537-1232
13
Corinthians
Corinthians
2688102727032
14
Botafogo
Botafogo
2688103841-332
15
Gremio
Gremio
2677122835-728
16
Mirassol
MirassolAway
2677122940-1128
17
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2677122941-1228
18
Internacional
Internacional
27610113035-528
19
Remo
Remo
2658133043-1323
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
2638152852-2417
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Bahia

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

63%Bahia
18%Draw
19%Mirassol

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 22:30
StadiumArena Fonte Nova
League StatsSérie A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · BahiaInjuries · Mirassol</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Bahia

WWWDD
  • WSep 5, 26A · RB Bragantino2-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Internacional3-2
  • WAug 23, 26A · Vitoria0-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Chapecoense-sc3-3
  • DAug 9, 26H · Vasco DA Gama0-0

Mirassol

DWLDD
  • DSep 13, 26H · Vitoria2-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · Coritiba1-2
  • LSep 2, 26A · Flamengo2-0
  • DAug 30, 26H · Palmeiras1-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · Santos1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Fluminense27+645LWDWW
5Bahia26+843WWWDD
6Cruzeiro27042LWLWW
15Gremio26-728LLWLL
16Mirassol26-1128WLDDL
17Vasco DA Gama26-1228WLWLL

Head to Head

1
Bahia
1
Draws
0
Mirassol
  • Aug 31, 25Mirassol – Bahia5-1
  • Apr 13, 25Bahia – Mirassol1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

BahiaMirassol
Played2626
Goals Scored4029
Goals Conceded3240
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.21.5
Clean Sheets81

Predicted line-ups: Bahia vs Mirassol

Predicted XI

Bahia

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Rogério Ceni

Mirassol

4-1-4-1Formation· Coach: Rafael Guanaes

  1. 90Thomazella
  1. 44Gabriel
  2. 34João Victor
  3. 2Lucas Oliveira
  4. 12Victor Luís
  1. 55Gustavo Cazonatti
  1. 10Chico
  2. 5Japa
  3. 7Shaylon
  4. 21José Aldo
  1. 9André Luís
  1. 9A. Véliz
  2. 12Willian José
  3. 90C. Suassuna
  1. 10Éverton Ribeiro
  2. 5N. Acevedo
  3. 11Rodrigo Nestor
  1. 31Roman Gomez
  2. 44Marcos Victor
  3. 66Zé Guilherme
  4. 83Fred
  1. 17G. Herrera

Bench

  • 1Ronaldo
  • 57Çağatay Yılmaz
  • 15M. Araújo
  • 22Léo Vieira
  • 91J. C. Neres dos Santos I.
  • 61Victor
  • 43Luiz Gustavo

Out

  • Michel Araujo · Red Card
  • Dell · Red Card
  • S. Ramos · Yellow Cards
  • Ze Guilherme · Yellow Cards
  • David Duarte · Yellow Cards
  • Luciano Juba · Yellow Cards
  • Erick · Yellow Cards
  • Rodrigo · Yellow Cards

Bench

  • 3Willian Machado
  • 30Bruno Santos
  • 96Carlos Eduardo de Barros
  • 17Fernandinho
  • 1Georgemy
  • 25Neto
  • 95Edson

Out

  • Neto Moura · Yellow Cards
  • Eduardo · Red Card
  • Denilson · Yellow Cards
  • Reinaldo · Yellow Cards
  • Wallisson · Red Card
  • Joao Victor · Yellow Cards
  • Igor Formiga · Muscle Injury
  • Igor Carius · Hamstring Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Bahia vs Mirassol — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Bahia are favored at 63% to win at home against Mirassol. The draw is rated 18% and the away win 19%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Bahia enter this Série A fixture as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong recent run and a significant home advantage at the Arena Fonte Nova. The statistical model also leans towards the home side, reinforcing the expectation of a Bahia win or at worst a share of the points.…

Win Probabilities: Bahia: 63% · Draw: 18% · Mirassol: 19%

H2H: Bahia wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Mirassol wins: 0

Form (latest first): Bahia: WWWDD · Mirassol: DWLDD

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Sep 1423:00
Remo
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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