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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Watford vs Stoke City

Watford vs Stoke City

Prediction • Championship·Watford·Stoke City

Championship
Championship
Sep 12, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Watford

Watford

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Vicarage Road
Early projection · Odds pending
Stoke City

Stoke City

Away
Stadium
Vicarage Road
Win Probabilities
46%
Watford
24%
Draw
30%
Stoke City
Home2.1746%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.3330%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Watford are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record, while Stoke have lost all three matches and sit bottom. The main risk is Watford's injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm, but Stoke's own absences and poor form make an upset unlikely.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Watford
/10
2.0Stoke City
Watford
FormLatest first
DLDWW
Win Rate40%
Stoke City
FormLatest first
LDLLW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageWatford+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

F
Luca Kjerrumgaard
8.9

Luca Kjerrumgaard

Watford

VS
Tatsuki Seko
6.9

Tatsuki Seko

Stoke City

37ATT17
100TEC100
50TAC51
5DEF39
19CRE23

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1.6
Avg Scored
1.5
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.4
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
5/10
1.6
Avg Cards
2.2
4.6
Avg Corners
5.3

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

15°
Light rain shower
Wind
20 km/h
Humidity
84%
Rain
1.8 mm
Tactical Impact

Heavy rain - slippery pitch favors physical play and long balls

Watford
Home

Watford

Form
WDD
Latest first
14
Pos
57
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+1
  • Strong defensive record (75% defensive rating)
  • Solid home form (1W-1D-0L)
  • Superior overall team strength (67.2%)
O. H. Traore
Injury
Injured
M. Bola
Hamstring Injury
Injured
O. Maamma
Injury
Injured
T. Akomeah
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
J. Grieves
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
J. Ngakia
Thigh Injury
Injured
R. Vata
Hamstring Injury
Injured
K. Baah
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Watford
Watford
5Wins
2
Draws
Stoke City
3Wins
Stoke City
50%20%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar142026
Stoke CityStoke City
3-1
Loss
WatfordWatford
Dec202025
WatfordWatford
1-0
Win
Stoke CityStoke City
Mar12025
Stoke CityStoke City
0-0
Draw
WatfordWatford
Aug172024
WatfordWatford
3-0
Win
Stoke CityStoke City
Dec292023
WatfordWatford
1-1
Draw
Stoke CityStoke City
Aug192023
Stoke CityStoke City
1-0
Loss
WatfordWatford
May82023
WatfordWatford
2-0
Win
Stoke CityStoke City
Oct22022
Stoke CityStoke City
0-4
Win
WatfordWatford
Sep212021
WatfordWatford
1-3
Loss
Stoke CityStoke City
Jan222021
Stoke CityStoke City
1-2
Win
WatfordWatford

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Stoke City 3 - 1 Watford

Mar 14, 2026

35% / 28% / 37%

Watford4-3-3vs4-2-3-1Stoke CityPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

Stoke CityStoke City4-2-3-1
WatfordWatford4-3-3
Stoke CityBenchStoke City7
WatfordBenchWatford7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Watford

8Out

7 key players

Stoke City

7Out

5 key players

Watford

Team

Watford

Players Out

8(7 key)
O. H. Traore

O. H. Traore

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Bola

M. Bola

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

O. Maamma

O. Maamma

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Akomeah

T. Akomeah

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Grieves

J. Grieves

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Ngakia

J. Ngakia

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Vata

R. Vata

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

K. Baah

K. Baah

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Stoke City

Team

Stoke City

Players Out

7(5 key)
S. Ingelsson

S. Ingelsson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Ampah

A. Ampah

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

B. Lawal

B. Lawal

MODERATE
Injury:Health problems

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Talovierov

M. Talovierov

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Tchamadeu

J. Tchamadeu

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Cresswell

A. Cresswell

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Cisse

L. Cisse

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Charlton
Charlton
330052+39
2
Wolves
Wolves
321094+57
3
Swansea
Swansea
321051+47
4
QPR
QPR
321052+37
5
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
320164+26
6
West Brom
West Brom
320165+16
7
Millwall
Millwall
320165+16
8
Birmingham
Birmingham
312043+15
9
Watford
WatfordHome
312043+15
10
Blackburn
Blackburn
31115504
11
Bolton
Bolton
31112204
12
Bristol City
Bristol City
311145-14
13
Cardiff
Cardiff
30305503
14
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
30302203
15
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
310256-13
16
Norwich
Norwich
310256-13
17
Lincoln
Lincoln
310235-23
18
Southampton
Southampton
320194+52
19
West Ham
West Ham
302145-12
20
Wrexham
Wrexham
302134-12
21
Derby
Derby
301237-41
22
Burnley
Burnley
301249-51
23
Preston
Preston
300326-40
24
Stoke City
Stoke CityAway
300339-60
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Watford

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

46%Watford
24%Draw
30%Stoke City

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 12 · 14:00
StadiumVicarage Road
League StatsChampionship

Statistical Context

Watford

DLDWW
  • DAug 29, 26H · West Ham1-1
  • LAug 25, 26H · Peterborough1-5
  • DAug 22, 26A · Wrexham1-1
  • WAug 16, 26H · Southampton2-1
  • WAug 8, 26H · Crawley Town1-0

Stoke City

LDLLW
  • LAug 29, 26A · Wolves4-1
  • DAug 25, 26H · Hull City1-1
  • LAug 22, 26A · Southampton3-1
  • LAug 15, 26H · Swansea1-2
  • WAug 8, 26H · Oldham2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Birmingham3+15WDD
9Watford3+15DDW
10Blackburn304LWD
23Preston3-40LLL
24Stoke City3-60LLL

Head to Head

5
Watford
2
Draws
3
Stoke City
  • Mar 14, 26Stoke City – Watford3-1
  • Dec 20, 25Watford – Stoke City1-0
  • Mar 1, 25Stoke City – Watford0-0
  • Aug 17, 24Watford – Stoke City3-0
  • Dec 29, 23Watford – Stoke City1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

WatfordStoke City
Played32
Goals Scored42
Goals Conceded35
Avg Scored1.31.0
Avg Conceded1.02.5
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

WatfordStoke City
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored8/103/10
Clean Sheets1/104/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Watford

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 26GD. Bachmann
  2. 15DTravis Akomeah
  3. 53DJames Andrew Clarridge
  4. 56DA. Eames
  5. 4DK. Keben
  6. 8ME. Bove
  7. 52ML. Espain
  8. 8MK. Gorman
  9. 17AIker Bravo
  10. 71AN. Chikovani
  11. 20AM. Doumbia

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Stoke City

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 24GJ. Griffiths
  2. 43DF. Anderson
  3. 17DE. Bocat
  4. 5DL. Graham
  5. 16DB. Wilmot
  6. 10MBae Jun-Ho
  7. 8ME. Galbraith
  8. 4MB. Pearson
  9. 19MT. Rigo
  10. 27MEl Hadji Djibril Soumaré
  11. 58AT. Martin

Coach: M. Robins

Watford vs Stoke City — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Watford are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record, while Stoke have lost all three matches and sit bottom. The main risk is Watford's injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm, but Stoke's own absences and poor form make an upset unlikely.

Watford enter this Championship clash as clear favourites, backed by superior form, a strong home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. Stoke City, rooted to the bottom of the table without a point, face an uphill battle at Vicarage Road.…

Win Probabilities: Watford: 46% · Draw: 24% · Stoke City: 30%

H2H: Watford wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Stoke City wins: 3

Form (latest first): Watford: DLDWW · Stoke City: LDLLW

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Sep 118:45
Wolves
12.1746%
X3.4529%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Sep 118:45
Bristol City
12.9434%
X3.5728%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Sep 118:45
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Sep 118:45
Watford
12.1746%
X3.4529%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 118:45
Derby
12.9434%
X3.4529%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 118:45
Blackburn
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 119:00
Southampton
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 119:00
Norwich
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 218:45
Wrexham
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Sep 218:45
Charlton
12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 218:45
Cardiff
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 219:00
Middlesbrough
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Sep 511:30
Blackburn
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 511:30
Charlton
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 511:30
Southampton
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access