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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea vs Leeds

Result • Premier League·Chelsea·Leeds

Premier League
Premier League
Feb 10, 2026
19:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.57
X4.33
25.25
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
medium Confidence
DRAW
Leeds

Leeds

Away
Odds
11.57
X4.33
25.25
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Win Probabilities
60%
Chelsea
22%
Draw
18%
Leeds
Home1.5760%
Draw4.3322%
Away5.2518%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Chelsea's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Leeds, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Chelsea and Leeds using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Chelsea a 60% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Leeds a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Páez vs Leeds defense: Chelsea's top scorer with 7 goals will test Leeds' backline, which has conceded 1.4 avg goals.
2L. Nmecha vs Chelsea defense: Leeds' main threat with 4 goals faces a Chelsea defense that has allowed 1.4 avg goals but lacks clean sheets.
3Midfield battle: Chelsea's 4-2-3-1 setup against Leeds' 3-4-2-1 could determine control and transition opportunities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Chelsea

  • Strong attacking output with 2.4 avg goals scored
  • Superior league position and goal difference
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Inconsistent form with recent loss and draw

Leeds

  • Decent defensive record with 1.4 avg goals conceded
  • One clean sheet in last 5 matches
  • Lower league position with relegation status
  • Poor goal difference of -9

Statistical Context

Chelsea

WWWLW
  • WAug 30, 26H · Brighton4-3
  • WAug 27, 26H · Luton2-0
  • WAug 24, 26A · Fulham2-3
  • LMay 24, 26A · Sunderland2-1
  • WMay 19, 26H · Tottenham2-1

Leeds

DWWLW
  • DAug 30, 26H · Brentford1-1
  • WAug 25, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-1
  • LMay 24, 26A · West Ham3-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Brighton1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Brentford1+33W
8Chelsea1+13W
9Ipswich1+13W
10Leeds1+13W
11Liverpool202DD

Head to Head

6
Chelsea
2
Draws
2
Leeds
  • Apr 26, 26Chelsea – Leeds1-0
  • Feb 10, 26Chelsea – Leeds2-2
  • Dec 3, 25Leeds – Chelsea3-1
  • Feb 28, 24Chelsea – Leeds3-2
  • Mar 4, 23Chelsea – Leeds1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

ChelseaLeeds
Played11
Goals Scored22
Goals Conceded00
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded0.00.0
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ChelseaLeeds
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Chelsea vs Leeds — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Chelsea's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Leeds, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Chelsea is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 60% chance for a home win, aligning with the API-Football model's predicted winner of Chelsea, despite some differences in probability distribution.

Form Analysis: Chelsea has a stronger recent form with a record of WWLWD in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored per game and conceding 1.4. They are on a one-win streak and rank 5th in the league with 43 points and a +17 goal difference. Leeds has a record of WLDWL, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with one clean sheet in their last five matches. They are 16th with 29 points and a -9 goal difference, indicating a significant quality gap.

Key Factors: 1. Chelsea's superior league position and goal difference provide a clear advantage. 2. Home advantage at Stamford Bridge with a rating of 0.55 supports Chelsea. 3. Head-to-head history favors Chelsea with 6 wins in the last 9 meetings. Injuries are minimal for both teams, with only doubtful players listed, so no major disruptions are expected.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Chelsea victory, supported by market odds, model prediction, form, standings, and home advantage, making this a high-confidence prediction.

Win Probabilities: Chelsea: 60% · Draw: 22% · Leeds: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Chelsea wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Leeds wins: 2

Form (latest first): Chelsea: WWWLW · Leeds: DWWLW

  • K. Páez vs Leeds defense: Chelsea's top scorer with 7 goals will test Leeds' backline, which has conceded 1.4 avg goals.
  • L. Nmecha vs Chelsea defense: Leeds' main threat with 4 goals faces a Chelsea defense that has allowed 1.4 avg goals but lacks clean sheets.
  • Midfield battle: Chelsea's 4-2-3-1 setup against Leeds' 3-4-2-1 could determine control and transition opportunities.

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Premier League

Premier League

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Aug 3119:00
Arsenal
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Sep 419:00
Liverpool
15.5618%
X4.7621%
21.6461%
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Sep 511:30
Bournemouth
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Sep 514:00
Crystal Palace
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Sep 514:00
Coventry
11.2381%
X7.6913%
216.676%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brighton
Sep 514:00
Leeds
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Sep 514:00
Sunderland
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Sep 514:00
Tottenham
13.0333%
X3.4529%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Sep 516:30
Aston Villa
13.7027%
X3.4529%
22.2744%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Sep 613:00
Manchester United
12.9434%
X3.4529%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueEngland
Arsenal
Sep 615:30
Chelsea
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Premier LeagueEngland
Bournemouth
Sep 1214:00
Brentford
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Sep 1214:00
Fulham
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Sep 1214:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Premier LeagueEngland
Crystal Palace
Sep 1214:00
Ipswich
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%