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  1. Home
  2. Veikkausliiga
  3. Ilves vs Lahti

Ilves vs Lahti

Result • Veikkausliiga·Ilves·Lahti

Veikkausliiga
Veikkausliiga
Sep 12, 2026
16:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Ilves

Ilves

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.33
X3.52
22.82
Stadium
Tammelan Stadion
low Confidence
Lahti

Lahti

Away
Odds
12.33
X3.52
22.82
Stadium
Tammelan Stadion
Win Probabilities
40%
Ilves
26%
Draw
34%
Lahti
Home2.3340%
Draw3.5226%
Away2.8234%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Ilves are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Veikkausliiga fixture between Ilves and Lahti using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Ilves a 40% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Lahti a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Own goal: Nicolas Gianini Dantas (Own goal)
    2'
    Own goal: Nicolas Gianini Dantas (Own goal)Ilves
  2. 52'
    Yellow Card: Justus OjanenLahti
    Yellow Card: Justus Ojanen
  3. Substitution: Yacouba SackoOut: Anton Popovitch
    65'
    Substitution: Yacouba SackoIlves · Out: Anton Popovitch
  4. 65'
    Substitution: Otso KoskinenLahti · Out: Erik Andersson
    Substitution: Otso KoskinenOut: Erik Andersson
  5. Substitution: Lauri Ala-MyllymäkiOut: Yiandro Raap
    65'
    Substitution: Lauri Ala-MyllymäkiIlves · Out: Yiandro Raap
  6. Substitution: Jesse KiloOut: Oskari Multala
    65'
    Substitution: Jesse KiloIlves · Out: Oskari Multala
  7. 73'
    Substitution: Amir BelabidLahti · Out: Momodou Sarr
    Substitution: Amir BelabidOut: Momodou Sarr
  8. 73'
    Substitution: Martim FerreiraLahti · Out: Justus Ojanen
    Substitution: Martim FerreiraOut: Justus Ojanen
  9. 74'
    Goal: Martim FerreiraLahti · Assist: Amir Belabid
    Goal: Martim FerreiraAssist: Amir Belabid
  10. 78'
    Yellow Card: Yohan CassubieLahti
    Yellow Card: Yohan Cassubie
  11. Penalty: Teemu Hytönen (Penalty)
    80'
    Penalty: Teemu Hytönen (Penalty)Ilves
  12. 80'
    Substitution: Armend KabashiLahti · Out: Aaron Lindholm
    Substitution: Armend KabashiOut: Aaron Lindholm
  13. Substitution: Tatu MiettunenOut: Matias Rale
    80'
    Substitution: Tatu MiettunenIlves · Out: Matias Rale
  14. Substitution: Stanislav BaranovOut: Teemu Hytönen
    80'
    Substitution: Stanislav BaranovIlves · Out: Teemu Hytönen
  15. Yellow Card: Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
    82'
    Yellow Card: Lauri Ala-MyllymäkiIlves
  16. Goal: Stanislav BaranovAssist: Elias Tamminen
    90+2'
    Goal: Stanislav BaranovIlves · Assist: Elias Tamminen
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · IlvesInjuries · Lahti

Statistical Context

Ilves

WLLLD
  • WSep 8, 26H · FF Jaro2-0
  • LAug 31, 26H · HJK Helsinki1-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · VPS0-1
  • LAug 17, 26A · Gnistan3-2
  • DAug 13, 26H · HNK Rijeka1-1

Lahti

WWWLD
  • WSep 8, 26H · Mariehamn2-1
  • WAug 31, 26A · VPS0-1
  • WAug 21, 26A · SJK1-2
  • LAug 16, 26H · KuPS1-2
  • DAug 9, 26A · Inter Turku0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6VPS22+733LWLWL
7Lahti22+732WWLDW
8Turku PS22+531DDWDW
9Ilves22-325LLLWL
10SJK22-819DLLDW

Head to Head

1
Ilves
0
Draws
1
Lahti
  • Jul 26, 26Ilves – Lahti1-0
  • May 30, 26Lahti – Ilves5-0

Season Statistics — 2026

IlvesLahti
Played5—
Goals Scored6—
Goals Conceded4—
Avg Scored1.2—
Avg Conceded0.8—
Clean Sheets1—

Ilves vs Lahti — Match Analysis

Ilves are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Ilves host Lahti in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Ilves the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 25% and Lahti at 35%.

Form and league position

Ilves sit 9th of 12 with 25 points from 22 games (34 scored, 37 conceded), recent form D-L-L-L-W. Lahti sit 7th of 12 with 32 points from 22 games (26 scored, 19 conceded), recent form D-L-W-W-W.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 2 times in our records: Ilves won 1, Lahti won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.3, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 55%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Ilves at 2.34, the draw at 3.50 and Lahti at 2.60; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Ilves to win (40%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Ilves: 40% · Draw: 26% · Lahti: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (8.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 49% · Under 2.5: 51% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Ilves wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Lahti wins: 1

Form (latest first): Ilves: WLLLD · Lahti: WWWLD

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Veikkausliiga

Veikkausliiga

Finland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VeikkausliigaFinland
SJK
Sep 1815:00
Mariehamn
11.5664%
X5.2619%
25.8817%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Lahti
Sep 1815:00
FF Jaro
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
VeikkausliigaFinland
AC Oulu
Sep 1816:00
Inter Turku
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Gnistan
Sep 1816:00
HJK Helsinki
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Turku PS
Sep 1912:00
Ilves
12.8635%
X4.0025%
22.5040%
VeikkausliigaFinland
VPS
Sep 1914:00
KuPS
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Gnistan
Oct 716:00
Inter Turku
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
VeikkausliigaFinland
HJK Helsinki
Oct 815:00
VPS
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
VeikkausliigaFinland
KuPS
Oct 816:00
AC Oulu
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
VeikkausliigaFinland
SJK
Oct 915:00
Lahti
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Turku PS
Oct 1014:00
FF Jaro
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Mariehamn
Oct 1016:00
Ilves
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
VeikkausliigaFinland
Inter Turku
Oct 1112:00
KuPS
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
VeikkausliigaFinland
VPS
Oct 1215:00
Gnistan
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
VeikkausliigaFinland
AC Oulu
Oct 1216:00
HJK Helsinki
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

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