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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Palermo vs Mantova

Palermo vs Mantova

Result • Serie B·Palermo·Mantova

Serie B
Serie B
Mar 4, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Palermo

Palermo

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.50
X4.10
26.25
Stadium
Stadio Renzo Barbera
medium Confidence
Mantova

Mantova

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.10
26.25
Stadium
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Win Probabilities
62%
Palermo
23%
Draw
15%
Mantova
Home1.5062%
Draw4.1023%
Away6.2515%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Palermo's stars aligning at home, with form and standings casting a shadow over Mantova's hopes. Ancient wisdom reveals that momentum favors the higher-ranked, and no absences clear the path for a decisive outcome.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Palermo and Mantova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Palermo a 62% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Mantova a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Pohjanpalo vs Mantova Defense: Palermo's top scorer with 8 goals will test Mantova's defense, which has conceded 1.4 avg goals.
2N. Pierozzi vs Mantova Midfield: Palermo's key player with 4 goals and 3 assists will aim to create chances against Mantova's midfield setup.
3Mantova Attack vs Palermo Defense: Mantova's attack, which failed to score in 2 of last 5 games, faces Palermo's defense with 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Palermo

  • Strong attacking output with 2.4 avg goals scored
  • Solid defensive record with 1.2 avg goals conceded
  • Recent form includes a loss (LWWDW)
  • Head-to-head history shows no wins in last 5 meetings (0 wins, 3 draws)

Mantova

  • Recent form includes a win (DWLLW)
  • Head-to-head history shows no losses in last 5 meetings (0 wins, 3 draws)
  • Poor attacking output with 0.8 avg goals scored
  • Weak defensive record with 1.4 avg goals conceded

Statistical Context

Palermo

WWLLW
  • WAug 17, 26H · Lecce2-0
  • WMay 20, 26H · Catanzaro2-0
  • LMay 17, 26A · Catanzaro3-0
  • LMay 8, 26A · Venezia2-0
  • WMay 1, 26H · Catanzaro3-2

Mantova

WLWWL
  • WAug 16, 26A · Lazio0-2
  • LMay 8, 26A · Frosinone5-0
  • WMay 1, 26H · Monza3-2
  • WApr 25, 26A · Sudtirol0-3
  • LApr 18, 26H · Avellino0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Pisa000—
6Mantova000—
7Modena000—
16Sampdoria000—
17Palermo000—
18Empoli000—

Head to Head

1
Palermo
3
Draws
0
Mantova
  • Mar 4, 26Palermo – Mantova2-1
  • Jan 11, 26Mantova – Palermo1-1
  • Feb 16, 25Palermo – Mantova2-2
  • Oct 30, 24Mantova – Palermo0-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PalermoMantova
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Palermo vs Mantova — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Palermo's stars aligning at home, with form and standings casting a shadow over Mantova's hopes. Ancient wisdom reveals that momentum favors the higher-ranked, and no absences clear the path for a decisive outcome.

Based on the structured data, Palermo is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 62% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model also predicts Palermo as the winner, indicating consensus between bookmaker intelligence and statistical modeling.

Form Analysis: Palermo's recent form (LWWDW) is superior to Mantova's (DWLLW), with Palermo averaging 2.4 goals scored per game compared to Mantova's 0.8, and Palermo conceding 1.2 goals per game versus Mantova's 1.4. Palermo has kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, while Mantova has kept 0 and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Palermo holds a significant advantage in league standings (4th place with 51 points and +25 GD vs. Mantova's 17th place with 27 points and -15 GD), reflecting a 13-position and 24-point difference. 2. Home advantage is present with a rating of 0.55, which typically boosts performance. 3. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either team, ensuring both sides are at full strength.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Palermo victory due to their stronger form, higher league position, and home advantage, with no mitigating factors such as key absences to suggest otherwise.

Win Probabilities: Palermo: 62% · Draw: 23% · Mantova: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Palermo wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Mantova wins: 0

Form (latest first): Palermo: WWLLW · Mantova: WLWWL

  • J. Pohjanpalo vs Mantova Defense: Palermo's top scorer with 8 goals will test Mantova's defense, which has conceded 1.4 avg goals.
  • N. Pierozzi vs Mantova Midfield: Palermo's key player with 4 goals and 3 assists will aim to create chances against Mantova's midfield setup.
  • Mantova Attack vs Palermo Defense: Mantova's attack, which failed to score in 2 of last 5 games, faces Palermo's defense with 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches.

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Sudtirol
Aug 2217:00
Virtus Entella
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Serie BItaly
Carrarese
Aug 2217:00
Mantova
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Aug 2219:00
Modena
12.3343%
X3.3330%
23.7027%
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Aug 2219:00
Cremonese
12.6338%
X3.2331%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Aug 2219:00
Arezzo
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Hellas Verona
Aug 2317:00
Ascoli
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
Serie BItaly
Pisa
Aug 2317:00
Padova
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Aug 2319:00
Sampdoria
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Serie BItaly
Palermo
Aug 2319:00
Juve Stabia
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Aug 2818:30
Modena
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Aug 2917:00
Juve Stabia
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Virtus Entella
Aug 2917:00
Cesena
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Aug 2919:00
Carrarese
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Aug 2919:00
Vicenza Virtus
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Aug 2919:00
Hellas Verona
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%