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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Prediction • La Liga·Alaves·Atletico Madrid

La Liga
La Liga
Oct 10, 2026
14:15
Early projection · Odds pending
Alaves

Alaves

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Away
Stadium
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Win Probabilities
31%
Alaves
24%
Draw
45%
Atletico Madrid
Home3.2331%
Draw4.1724%
Away2.2245%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Alaves are narrow favourites for this La Liga clash, buoyed by a perfect home record and a five-match unbeaten streak, while Atletico Madrid arrive on a two-match losing run. The main risk is Atletico's historical head-to-head dominance, which could inspire an upset.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Alaves
/10
6.0Atletico Madrid
Alaves
FormLatest first
DLLWW
Win Rate40%
Atletico Madrid
FormLatest first
WWWLL
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico Madrid+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Alaves
Home

Alaves

Form
WWLLD
Latest first
15
Pos
42
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 6 matches)

Clean Sheets233%
Goal Diff+5
  • Excellent home record (3 wins from 3)
  • Strong defensive form (3 goals conceded in 5)
  • High confidence from 5-match unbeaten streak
N. Valentini
Red Card
Suspended
A. Manas
Injury
Injured
F. Garces
Suspended
Suspended
T. Mendes
Knee Injury
Injured
T. Martinez
Foot Injury
Injured
M. Rodriguez
Ankle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Alaves
Alaves
2Wins
2
Draws
Atletico Madrid
6Wins
Atletico Madrid
20%20%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan182026
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
1-0
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Aug302025
AlavesAlaves
1-1
Draw
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
May32025
AlavesAlaves
0-0
Draw
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Nov232024
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
2-1
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Apr212024
AlavesAlaves
2-0
Win
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Oct292023
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
2-1
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Apr22022
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
4-1
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Sep252021
AlavesAlaves
1-0
Win
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Mar212021
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
1-0
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Jan32021
AlavesAlaves
1-2
Loss
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Alaves

Jan 18, 2026

72% / 19% / 9%

Alaves3-5-2vs3-5-2Atletico MadridPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical stalemate. Coaching adjustments crucial.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Alaves

6Out

5 key players

Atletico Madrid

9Out

7 key players

Alaves

Team

Alaves

Players Out

6(5 key)
N. Valentini

N. Valentini

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Manas

A. Manas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Garces

F. Garces

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
T. Mendes

T. Mendes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

T. Martinez

T. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

M. Rodriguez

M. Rodriguez

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Atletico Madrid

Team

Atletico Madrid

Players Out

9(7 key)
R. Le Normand

R. Le Normand

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Ortiz

A. Ortiz

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Sorloth

A. Sorloth

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Romero

C. Romero

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Barrios

P. Barrios

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Alvarez

J. Alvarez

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Esteban

S. Esteban

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Lemar

T. Lemar

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Vargas

O. Vargas

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
Barcelona
7700317+2421
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
6501176+1115
3
Real Betis
Real Betis
650186+215
4
Atletico Madrid
Atletico MadridAway
6411146+813
5
Sevilla
Sevilla
7412109+113
6
Alaves
AlavesHome
7322116+511
7
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
623197+29
8
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
622276+18
9
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
72231116-58
10
Osasuna
Osasuna
7223613-78
11
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
714286+27
12
Espanyol
Espanyol
7214101007
13
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
6213611-57
14
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
72141121-107
15
Villarreal
Villarreal
61231011-15
16
Levante
Levante
512279-25
17
Getafe
Getafe
612337-45
18
Elche
Elche
71241117-65
19
Valencia
Valencia
6114210-84
20
Malaga
Malaga
6033311-83
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Atletico Madrid

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

31%Alaves
24%Draw
45%Atletico Madrid

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 14:15
StadiumEstadio Mendizorrotza
League StatsLa Liga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · AlavesInjuries · Atletico MadridLive scores →

Statistical Context

Alaves

DLLWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Athletic Club0-0
  • LSep 15, 26H · Valencia0-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Racing Santander2-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Osasuna5-2
  • WAug 28, 26H · Villarreal1-0

Atletico Madrid

WWWLL
  • WSep 20, 26H · Real Madrid2-1
  • WSep 16, 26H · Osasuna4-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · Real Sociedad0-3
  • LSep 9, 26A · Liverpool2-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Athletic Club3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Real Betis6+215WWWLW
4Atletico Madrid6+813WWLWD
5Sevilla7+113LWWDL
6Alaves7+511DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna6+29LDWWD

Head to Head

2
Alaves
2
Draws
6
Atletico Madrid
  • Jan 18, 26Atletico Madrid – Alaves1-0
  • Aug 30, 25Alaves – Atletico Madrid1-1
  • May 3, 25Alaves – Atletico Madrid0-0
  • Nov 23, 24Atletico Madrid – Alaves2-1
  • Apr 21, 24Alaves – Atletico Madrid2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AlavesAtletico Madrid
Played64
Goals Scored117
Goals Conceded66
Avg Scored1.81.8
Avg Conceded1.01.5
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlavesAtletico Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted line-ups: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Predicted XI

Alaves

3-5-2Formation· Coach: Luis García

Atletico Madrid

3-5-2Formation· Coach: D. Simeone

  1. 1J. Musso
  1. 27Jorge Dominguez
  2. 22Álex Grimaldo
  3. 17D. Hancko
  1. 14Marcos Llorente
  2. 8Pablo Barrios
  3. 5J. Cardoso
  4. 46J. Castillo
  5. 23M. Hjulmand
  1. 7Lee Kang-In
  2. 19J. Álvarez
  1. 12Hugo Novoa
  2. 15L. Boyé
  1. 10Carles Aleñá
  2. 8Antonio Blanco
  3. 24Selu Diallo
  4. 6Guevara
  5. 19Pablo Ibáñez
  1. 17Jonny
  2. 16V. Koski
  3. 14N. Tenaglia
  1. 13A. Giménez

Bench

  • 1Sivera
  • 3Yusi
  • 23C. Benavídez
  • 4Denis Suárez
  • 7Angel Pérez
  • 21A. Rebbach
  • 9M. Díaz

Out

  • N. Valentini · Red Card
  • A. Manas · Injury
  • F. Garces · Suspended
  • T. Mendes · Knee Injury
  • T. Martinez · Foot Injury
  • M. Rodriguez · Ankle Injury

Bench

  • 13J. Oblak
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 30Dani Martínez
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 6Koke
  • 4Rodrigo Mendoza
  • 10Álex Baena

Out

  • R. Le Normand · Red Card
  • A. Ortiz · Red Card
  • A. Sorloth · Muscle Injury
  • C. Romero · Lacking Match Fitness
  • P. Barrios · Muscle Injury
  • J. Alvarez · Muscle Injury
  • S. Esteban · Injury
  • T. Lemar · Coach's decision

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Alaves are narrow favourites for this La Liga clash, buoyed by a perfect home record and a five-match unbeaten streak, while Atletico Madrid arrive on a two-match losing run. The main risk is Atletico's historical head-to-head dominance, which could inspire an upset.

Alaves are the narrow favourites for this La Liga clash at Mendizorrotza, with the statistical model and recent form both pointing to a home win. The Basque side sit second in the table and boast a perfect home record, while Atletico Madrid arrive in seventh place on a two-match losing streak.…

Win Probabilities: Alaves: 31% · Draw: 24% · Atletico Madrid: 45%

H2H: Alaves wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Atletico Madrid wins: 6

Form (latest first): Alaves: DLLWW · Atletico Madrid: WWWLL

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Oct 919:00
Espanyol
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 1012:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Oct 1016:30
Getafe
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Oct 1019:00
Villarreal
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Elche
Oct 1112:00
Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Oct 1114:15
Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1116:30
Osasuna
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Oct 1119:00
Valencia
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Levante
Oct 1219:00
Sevilla
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 1619:00
Levante
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Oct 1712:00
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Oct 1714:15
Elche
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1716:30
Barcelona
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
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La LigaSpain
Valencia
Oct 1719:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.7621%
21.8953%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Oct 1812:00
Racing Santander
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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