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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Prediction • La Liga·Real Madrid·Villarreal

La Liga
La Liga
Oct 11, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away
Win Probabilities
60%
Real Madrid
20%
Draw
20%
Villarreal
Home1.6760%
Draw5.0020%
Away5.0020%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Real Madrid are clear favourites, supported by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant quality gap. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected defensive lapse, but Villarreal's poor run makes an upset unlikely.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Real Madrid vs Villarreal.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Real Madrid
/10
0.0Villarreal
Real Madrid
FormLatest first
WWLWW
Win Rate80%
Villarreal
FormLatest first
LLLDD
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageReal Madrid+8.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Aurélien Tchouaméni
8.2

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Real Madrid

VS
Tajon Buchanan
8.3

Tajon Buchanan

Villarreal

26ATT24
100TEC100
100TAC60
49DEF13
90CRE64

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
1.7
Avg Scored
2.1
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
1.0
Avg Conceded
1.0
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
7/10
2.6
Avg Cards
2.6
7.5
Avg Corners
3.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Real Madrid
Home

Real Madrid

Form
WWWL
Latest first
2
Pos
84
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Clinical attacking form: averaging 2.4 goals per game in last 5 matches
  • Strong defensive record: only 0.8 goals conceded per game and one clean sheet
  • Dominant head-to-head record: 6 wins in last 10 meetings against Villarreal
E. Camavinga
Red Card
Suspended
A. Guler
Red Card
Suspended
B. Silva
Red Card
Suspended
Endrick
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Tchouameni
Muscle Injury
Injured
R. Asencio
Muscle Injury
Injured
Eder Militao
Hamstring Injury
Injured
F. Mendy
Hip Injury
Injured
T. Pitarch
Knee Injury
Injured
Rodrygo
Knee Injury
Injured
A. Lunin
Illness
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
6Wins
2
Draws
Villarreal
2Wins
Villarreal
60%20%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan242026
VillarrealVillarreal
0-2
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Oct42025
Real MadridReal Madrid
3-1
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Mar152025
VillarrealVillarreal
1-2
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Oct52024
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-0
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
May192024
VillarrealVillarreal
4-4
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid
Dec172023
Real MadridReal Madrid
4-1
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Apr82023
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-3
Loss
VillarrealVillarreal
Jan192023
VillarrealVillarreal
2-3
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Jan72023
VillarrealVillarreal
2-1
Loss
Real MadridReal Madrid
Feb122022
VillarrealVillarreal
0-0
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Villarreal 0 - 2 Real Madrid

Jan 24, 2026

29% / 25% / 46%

Real Madrid4-3-3vs4-2-3-1VillarrealPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Real Madrid

11Out

7 key players

Villarreal

4Out

3 key players

Real Madrid

Team

Real Madrid

Players Out

11(7 key)
E. Camavinga

E. Camavinga

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Guler

A. Guler

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
B. Silva

B. Silva

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Endrick

Endrick

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Tchouameni

A. Tchouameni

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Asencio

R. Asencio

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Eder Militao

Eder Militao

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Mendy

F. Mendy

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Pitarch

T. Pitarch

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Rodrygo

Rodrygo

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Lunin

A. Lunin

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Villarreal

Team

Villarreal

Players Out

4(3 key)
A. Diatta

A. Diatta

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Romero

C. Romero

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Foyth

J. Foyth

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

W. Kambwala

W. Kambwala

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
Barcelona
4400172+1512
2
Alaves
Alaves
4310103+710
3
Sevilla
Sevilla
531186+210
4
Real Madrid
Real MadridHome
4301103+79
5
Real Betis
Real Betis
43015509
6
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
422085+38
7
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
421176+17
8
Osasuna
Osasuna
421156-17
9
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
521268-27
10
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
420265+16
11
Levante
Levante
41215505
12
Espanyol
Espanyol
411265+14
13
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
411278-14
14
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
4112710-34
15
Getafe
Getafe
411225-34
16
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
503225-33
17
Villarreal
VillarrealAway
402268-22
18
Malaga
Malaga
402217-62
19
Elche
Elche
4013512-71
20
Valencia
Valencia
5014110-91
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Real Madrid

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

60%Real Madrid
20%Draw
20%Villarreal

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 15:00
League StatsLa Liga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Real MadridInjuries · Villarreal</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Real Madrid

WWLWW
  • WSep 12, 26H · Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • WSep 8, 26H · Inter2-1
  • LSep 4, 26A · Real Betis1-0
  • WAug 30, 26H · Malaga4-0
  • WAug 26, 26H · Real Sociedad4-1

Villarreal

LLLDD
  • LSep 8, 26A · Borussia Dortmund3-2
  • LSep 5, 26H · Deportivo La Coruna2-3
  • LAug 28, 26A · Alaves1-0
  • DAug 23, 26A · Atletico Madrid2-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Racing Santander2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Sevilla5+210WDLWW
4Real Madrid4+79LWWW
5Real Betis409WLWW
16Celta Vigo5-33DDLLD
17Villarreal4-22LLDD
18Malaga4-62DLDL

Head to Head

6
Real Madrid
2
Draws
2
Villarreal
  • Jan 24, 26Villarreal – Real Madrid0-2
  • Oct 4, 25Real Madrid – Villarreal3-1
  • Mar 15, 25Villarreal – Real Madrid1-2
  • Oct 5, 24Real Madrid – Villarreal2-0
  • May 19, 24Villarreal – Real Madrid4-4

Season Statistics — 2026

Real MadridVillarreal
Played—4
Goals Scored—6
Goals Conceded—8
Avg Scored—1.5
Avg Conceded—2.0
Clean Sheets—0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real MadridVillarreal
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored4/102/10
Clean Sheets4/105/10

Predicted line-ups: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Predicted XI

Real Madrid

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Z. Zidane

Villarreal

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Marcelino

  1. 13Rubén Gómez
  1. 23Sergi Cardona
  2. 2Logan Costa
  3. 3A. Freeman
  4. 15S. Mouriño
  1. 17T. Buchanan
  2. 14Santi Comesaña
  1. 18P. Gueye
  2. 16C. Macia
  3. 10Alberto Moleiro
  1. 11Ilias Akhomach
  1. 25Y. Diomande
  2. 19Carlos Espí
  3. 10Kylian Mbappé
  1. 12T. Alexander-Arnold
  2. 5J. Bellingham
  3. 29J. Cestero Sancho
  1. 18Álvaro Fernández
  2. 17Marc Cucurella
  3. 24D. Dumfries
  4. 4D. Huijsen
  1. 1T. Courtois

Bench

  • 26Sergio Mestre
  • 16I. Konaté
  • 33Mario Rivas
  • 22A. Rüdiger
  • 21Brahim Díaz
  • 16Thiago Pitarch
  • 14A. Tchouaméni

Out

  • E. Camavinga · Red Card
  • A. Guler · Red Card
  • B. Silva · Red Card
  • Endrick · Muscle Injury
  • A. Tchouameni · Muscle Injury
  • R. Asencio · Muscle Injury
  • Eder Militao · Hamstring Injury
  • F. Mendy · Hip Injury

Bench

  • 25P. Gulácsi
  • 1Luíz Júnior
  • 6Pau Navarro
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 24N. Saliba
  • 21T. Oluwaseyi
  • 9G. Mikautadze

Out

  • A. Diatta · Red Card
  • C. Romero · Injury
  • J. Foyth · Injury
  • W. Kambwala · Transfer negotiations

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Real Madrid are clear favourites, supported by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant quality gap. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected defensive lapse, but Villarreal's poor run makes an upset unlikely.

Real Madrid enter this La Liga fixture as clear favourites, backed by a commanding statistical profile and a significant advantage in the standings. The data strongly points to a home victory, with the API-Football model and team comparison metrics aligning on a dominant Real Madrid performance.…

Win Probabilities: Real Madrid: 60% · Draw: 20% · Villarreal: 20%

H2H: Real Madrid wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Villarreal wins: 2

Form (latest first): Real Madrid: WWLWW · Villarreal: LLLDD

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La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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Sep 1312:00
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11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
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La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1314:15
Barcelona
112.508%
X5.5618%
21.3574%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Getafe
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Deportivo La Coruna
12.2245%
X2.9434%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Sep 1319:00
Atletico Madrid
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X3.2331%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Sep 1419:00
Real Betis
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 1517:00
Espanyol
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Sep 1518:00
Valencia
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
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La LigaSpain
Elche
Sep 1519:30
Real Madrid
112.508%
X5.2619%
21.3773%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 1617:00
Osasuna
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 1617:00
Sevilla
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Sep 1619:30
Racing Santander
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
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Levante
Sep 1619:30
Athletic Club
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
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Real Betis
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Getafe
11.9252%
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14.5522%
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Sep 1819:00
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12.1347%
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Betting Tips

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