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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Prediction • La Liga·Real Madrid·Villarreal

La Liga
La Liga
Oct 10, 2026
19:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away
Stadium
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
Win Probabilities
60%
Real Madrid
20%
Draw
20%
Villarreal
Home1.6760%
Draw5.0020%
Away5.0020%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Real Madrid are clear favourites, supported by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant quality gap. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected defensive lapse, but Villarreal's poor run makes an upset unlikely.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Real Madrid vs Villarreal.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Real Madrid
/10
2.0Villarreal
Real Madrid
FormLatest first
WWWLW
Win Rate80%
Villarreal
FormLatest first
WLLLL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageReal Madrid+6.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Aurélien Tchouaméni
8.2

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Real Madrid

VS
Tajon Buchanan
8.3

Tajon Buchanan

Villarreal

26ATT24
100TEC100
100TAC60
49DEF13
90CRE64

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
1.7
Avg Scored
2.1
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
1.0
Avg Conceded
1.0
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
7/10
2.6
Avg Cards
2.6
7.5
Avg Corners
3.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Real Madrid
Home

Real Madrid

Form
WWLWW
Latest first
2
Pos
84
Pts
+10
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets120%
Goal Diff+10
  • Clinical attacking form: averaging 2.4 goals per game in last 5 matches
  • Strong defensive record: only 0.8 goals conceded per game and one clean sheet
  • Dominant head-to-head record: 6 wins in last 10 meetings against Villarreal
E. Camavinga
Red Card
Suspended
A. Guler
Red Card
Suspended
B. Silva
Red Card
Suspended
Endrick
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Tchouameni
Muscle Injury
Injured
R. Asencio
Muscle Injury
Injured
Eder Militao
Hamstring Injury
Injured
F. Mendy
Hip Injury
Injured
T. Pitarch
Knee Injury
Injured
Rodrygo
Knee Injury
Injured
A. Lunin
Illness
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
6Wins
2
Draws
Villarreal
2Wins
Villarreal
60%20%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan242026
VillarrealVillarreal
0-2
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Oct42025
Real MadridReal Madrid
3-1
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Mar152025
VillarrealVillarreal
1-2
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Oct52024
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-0
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
May192024
VillarrealVillarreal
4-4
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid
Dec172023
Real MadridReal Madrid
4-1
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Apr82023
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-3
Loss
VillarrealVillarreal
Jan192023
VillarrealVillarreal
2-3
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Jan72023
VillarrealVillarreal
2-1
Loss
Real MadridReal Madrid
Feb122022
VillarrealVillarreal
0-0
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Villarreal 0 - 2 Real Madrid

Jan 24, 2026

29% / 25% / 46%

Real Madrid4-3-3vs4-2-3-1VillarrealPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Real Madrid

11Out

7 key players

Villarreal

5Out

4 key players

Real Madrid

Team

Real Madrid

Players Out

11(7 key)
E. Camavinga

E. Camavinga

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Guler

A. Guler

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
B. Silva

B. Silva

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Endrick

Endrick

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Tchouameni

A. Tchouameni

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Asencio

R. Asencio

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Eder Militao

Eder Militao

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Mendy

F. Mendy

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Pitarch

T. Pitarch

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Rodrygo

Rodrygo

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Lunin

A. Lunin

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Villarreal

Team

Villarreal

Players Out

5(4 key)
A. Diatta

A. Diatta

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
S. Comesana

S. Comesana

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Romero

C. Romero

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Foyth

J. Foyth

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

W. Kambwala

W. Kambwala

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
Barcelona
6600286+2218
2
Real Madrid
Real MadridHome
6501176+1115
3
Real Betis
Real Betis
650186+215
4
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
6411146+813
5
Sevilla
Sevilla
641196+313
6
Alaves
Alaves
6312116+510
7
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
623197+29
8
Espanyol
Espanyol
621397+27
9
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
521276+17
10
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
62131116-57
11
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
62131015-57
12
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
6213611-57
13
Osasuna
Osasuna
6213512-77
14
Villarreal
VillarrealAway
61231011-15
15
Levante
Levante
512279-25
16
Getafe
Getafe
612337-45
17
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
604236-34
18
Valencia
Valencia
6114210-84
19
Malaga
Malaga
6033311-83
20
Elche
Elche
6024816-82
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Real Madrid

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

60%Real Madrid
20%Draw
20%Villarreal

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 19:00
StadiumSantiago Bernabéu Stadium
League StatsLa Liga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Real MadridInjuries · VillarrealLive scores →

Statistical Context

Real Madrid

WWWLW
  • WSep 15, 26A · Elche2-3
  • WSep 12, 26H · Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • WSep 8, 26H · Inter2-1
  • LSep 4, 26A · Real Betis1-0
  • WAug 30, 26H · Malaga4-0

Villarreal

WLLLL
  • WSep 17, 26A · Malaga1-3
  • LSep 14, 26H · Real Betis1-2
  • LSep 8, 26A · Borussia Dortmund3-2
  • LSep 5, 26H · Deportivo La Coruna2-3
  • LAug 28, 26A · Alaves1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Barcelona6+2218WWWWW
2Real Madrid6+1115WWLWW
3Real Betis6+215WWWLW
13Osasuna6-77LLLWW
14Villarreal6-15WLLLD
15Levante5-25LDWDL

Head to Head

6
Real Madrid
2
Draws
2
Villarreal
  • Jan 24, 26Villarreal – Real Madrid0-2
  • Oct 4, 25Real Madrid – Villarreal3-1
  • Mar 15, 25Villarreal – Real Madrid1-2
  • Oct 5, 24Real Madrid – Villarreal2-0
  • May 19, 24Villarreal – Real Madrid4-4

Season Statistics — 2026

Real MadridVillarreal
Played55
Goals Scored147
Goals Conceded410
Avg Scored2.81.4
Avg Conceded0.82.0
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real MadridVillarreal
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored4/102/10
Clean Sheets4/105/10

Predicted line-ups: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Predicted XI

Real Madrid

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Z. Zidane

Villarreal

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Marcelino

  1. 13Rubén Gómez
  1. 23Sergi Cardona
  2. 2Logan Costa
  3. 3A. Freeman
  4. 15S. Mouriño
  1. 17T. Buchanan
  2. 14Santi Comesaña
  1. 18P. Gueye
  2. 16C. Macia
  3. 10Alberto Moleiro
  1. 11Ilias Akhomach
  1. 25Y. Diomande
  2. 19Carlos Espí
  3. 10Kylian Mbappé
  1. 12T. Alexander-Arnold
  2. 5J. Bellingham
  3. 29J. Cestero Sancho
  1. 18Álvaro Fernández
  2. 17Marc Cucurella
  3. 24D. Dumfries
  4. 4D. Huijsen
  1. 1T. Courtois

Bench

  • 26Sergio Mestre
  • 16I. Konaté
  • 33Mario Rivas
  • 22A. Rüdiger
  • 21Brahim Díaz
  • 16Thiago Pitarch
  • 14A. Tchouaméni

Out

  • E. Camavinga · Red Card
  • A. Guler · Red Card
  • B. Silva · Red Card
  • Endrick · Muscle Injury
  • A. Tchouameni · Muscle Injury
  • R. Asencio · Muscle Injury
  • Eder Militao · Hamstring Injury
  • F. Mendy · Hip Injury

Bench

  • 25P. Gulácsi
  • 1Luíz Júnior
  • 6Pau Navarro
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 24N. Saliba
  • 21T. Oluwaseyi
  • 9G. Mikautadze

Out

  • A. Diatta · Red Card
  • S. Comesana · Injury
  • C. Romero · Injury
  • J. Foyth · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • W. Kambwala · Transfer negotiations

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Real Madrid are clear favourites, supported by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant quality gap. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected defensive lapse, but Villarreal's poor run makes an upset unlikely.

Real Madrid enter this La Liga fixture as clear favourites, backed by a commanding statistical profile and a significant advantage in the standings. The data strongly points to a home victory, with the API-Football model and team comparison metrics aligning on a dominant Real Madrid performance.…

Win Probabilities: Real Madrid: 60% · Draw: 20% · Villarreal: 20%

H2H: Real Madrid wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Villarreal wins: 2

Form (latest first): Real Madrid: WWWLW · Villarreal: WLLLL

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Sep 1912:00
Rayo Vallecano
12.1746%
X3.0333%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Sep 1914:15
Alaves
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Sep 1916:30
Racing Santander
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Sep 1919:00
Barcelona
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Sep 2012:00
Malaga
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2014:15
Real Madrid
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Sep 2016:30
Levante
11.6162%
X4.1724%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 2016:30
Real Betis
13.0333%
X3.3330%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Sep 2019:00
Real Sociedad
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Oct 919:00
Espanyol
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 1012:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Oct 1014:15
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Oct 1016:30
Getafe
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
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La LigaSpain
Elche
Oct 1112:00
Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
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La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Oct 1114:15
Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
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