3. Liga · 2026/27
3. Liga Matchday 5 predictions
10 fixtures from September 11 to September 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 12 · 12:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 11
1X2
Saturday, September 12
1X2- 2–1
Fortuna Düsseldorf#12
MSV Duisburg#126%23%51%✗ Miss - 6–2
Rot-Weiß Essen#3
Würzburger Kickers#1762%20%18%✓ Hit - 0–1
FC Saarbrücken#4
FC Ingolstadt 04#650%23%27%✗ Miss - 2–1
Verl#15
SV Meppen#1341%25%34%✓ Hit - 2–2
Havelse#20
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach#1631%26%43%✗ Miss - 2–2
Alemannia Aachen#5
SSV Jahn Regensburg#1858%21%21%✗ Miss
3. Liga Matchday 5 runs from September 11 to September 13 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Rot-Weiß Essen - Würzburger Kickers: Rot-Weiß Essen to win at 62%. The tightest match is FC Viktoria Köln - Hansa Rostock, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FC Viktoria Köln 4–0 Hansa Rostock, September 11: the model's pick was Hansa Rostock to win (40%) and it missed.
- Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1 MSV Duisburg, September 12: the model's pick was MSV Duisburg to win (51%) and it missed.
- Rot-Weiß Essen 6–2 Würzburger Kickers, September 12: the model's pick was Rot-Weiß Essen to win (62%) and it came in.
- FC Saarbrücken 0–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, September 12: the model's pick was FC Saarbrücken to win (50%) and it missed.
- Verl 2–1 SV Meppen, September 12: the model's pick was Verl to win (41%) and it came in.
- Havelse 2–2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, September 12: the model's pick was SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach to win (43%) and it missed.
- Alemannia Aachen 2–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg, September 12: the model's pick was Alemannia Aachen to win (58%) and it missed.
- Stuttgart II 1–2 Preußen Münster, September 13: the model's pick was Stuttgart II to win (40%) and it missed.
- SV Wehen 0–1 Waldhof Mannheim, September 13: the model's pick was SV Wehen to win (40%) and it missed.
- Hoffenheim II 2–2 Fortuna Köln, September 13: the model's pick was Hoffenheim II to win (46%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is 3. Liga Matchday 5 played?
From September 11 to September 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Rot-Weiß Essen - Würzburger Kickers: Rot-Weiß Essen to win at 62% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.