J1 League table 2027/28
After matchday 12 · Projected from 2,000 season simulations · updated Oct 30, 11:43
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL | 80 | 39% | 96% | 0% |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW | 80 | 33% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW | 78 | 23% | 91% | 0% |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW | 72 | 4% | 61% | 0% |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW | 69 | 1% | 31% | 0% |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD | 66 | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW | 62 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD | 61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW | 57 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL | 51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD | 45 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW | 45 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD | 42 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL | 39 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW | 37 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL | 34 | 0% | 0% | 43% |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL | 32 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL | 31 | 0% | 0% | 70% |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL | 30 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL | 80 | 39% | 96% | 0% |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW | 80 | 33% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW | 78 | 23% | 91% | 0% |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW | 72 | 4% | 61% | 0% |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW | 69 | 1% | 31% | 0% |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD | 66 | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW | 62 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD | 61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW | 57 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL | 51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD | 45 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW | 45 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD | 42 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL | 39 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW | 37 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL | 34 | 0% | 0% | 43% |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL | 32 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL | 31 | 0% | 0% | 70% |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL | 30 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
This weekend's swing match
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo · Sat 05:00
A FC Tokyo win moves their title odds to 38%.
Prediction →Matchday 13 predictions
10 matches · 0 free picks
Every fixture with 1X2, score and over/under calls.
Round 13 predictionsAbout the J1 League table
How is the projected J1 League table calculated?
We simulate the remaining J1 League fixtures 2,000 times using team-strength ratings built from results, goal difference and form, then average where each club finishes.
How often does it update?
The standings update after every match and the projection is re-run within an hour.
Who wins the J1 League 2027/28?
Machida Zelvia are the model's favourite at 39.2% right now, with FC Tokyo second on 32.7%.



















