Who Will Win J1 League?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the J1 League 2027/28 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Machida Zelvia wins J1 League in 93.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
Vissel Kobe — 3.9% title chance.
JEF United Chiba goes down in 80.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 6 | 16 | 93.4% | 99.9% | <0.1% | 89 |
| 2 |  Vissel Kobe | 6 | 13 | 3.9% | 80.9% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 11 | 1.4% | 53% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 6 | 12 | 0.8% | 47.4% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 5 |  Kashima | 6 | 12 | 0.3% | 48.3% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 6 |  FC Tokyo | 6 | 11 | 0.2% | 30.4% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 7 |  Fagiano Okayama | 6 | 10 | 0.1% | 10% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 8 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 6 | 10 | <0.1% | 11.2% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 9 |  Cerezo Osaka | 6 | 10 | <0.1% | 7.9% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 10 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 58 |
| 11 |  Mito Hollyhock | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 5% | 0.1% | 57 |
| 12 |  Urawa | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 53 |
| 13 |  Gamba Osaka | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6.3% | 42 |
| 14 |  Nagoya Grampus | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 7.7% | 41 |
| 15 |  Kyoto Sanga | 6 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 18.3% | 38 |
| 16 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 26.6% | 36 |
| 17 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 38.2% | 34 |
| 18 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 52.9% | 32 |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 69.5% | 30 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 6 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.4% | 28 |
Next J1 League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Kyoto Sanga – Kashiwa ReysolFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- Vissel Kobe – KashimaFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- Mito Hollyhock – Kawasaki FrontaleSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Shimizu S-pulse – Avispa FukuokaSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Gamba Osaka – FC TokyoSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Machida Zelvia – Yokohama F. MarinosSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Cerezo OsakaSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- V-varen Nagasaki – Nagoya GrampusSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining J1 League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win J1 League in 2027/28?
Machida Zelvia wins J1 League in 93.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.