Who Will Win J1 League?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the J1 League 2027/28 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Machida Zelvia wins J1 League in 39.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
FC Tokyo — 33.7% title chance.
JEF United Chiba goes down in 76.2% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 27 | 39.4% | 96.3% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 27 | 33.7% | 95.5% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 26 | 20.9% | 91.5% | <0.1% | 78 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25 | 4.5% | 60.4% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 23 | 1.1% | 30.5% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 22 | 0.4% | 17.1% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 21 | 0.1% | 4.4% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 20 | <0.1% | 3.7% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.8% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 16 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 51 |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1% | 46 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.2% | 45 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.4% | 45 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5% | 42 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 13.2% | 39 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 24.6% | 37 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 43.5% | 34 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 63.4% | 32 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 70.8% | 31 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 76.2% | 30 |
Next J1 League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Kyoto Sanga – Shimizu S-pulseSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Mito Hollyhock – Sanfrecce HiroshimaSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Fagiano Okayama – FC TokyoSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Kashima – Cerezo OsakaSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Vissel Kobe – Nagoya GrampusSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Kashiwa Reysol – UrawaSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki FrontaleSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- JEF United Chiba – Avispa FukuokaSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining J1 League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win J1 League in 2027/28?
Machida Zelvia wins J1 League in 39.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.