Primeira Liga table 2026/27
After matchday 10 · Projected from 2,000 season simulations · updated Oct 31, 23:43
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW | 87 | 95% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW | 76 | 5% | 99% | 0% |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD | 67 | 0% | 82% | 0% |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW | 63 | 0% | 58% | 0% |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD | 60 | 0% | 34% | 0% |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW | 59 | 0% | 24% | 0% |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL | 51 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 8 |  Moreirense | 10 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW | 46 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 |  Alverca | 9 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL | 44 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 |  SC Braga | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW | 43 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD | 43 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD | 38 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD | 36 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL | 33 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL | 32 | 0% | 0% | 37% |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL | 30 | 0% | 0% | 52% |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL | 28 | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL | 19 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (16–18)Probabilities re-run after every result.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW | 87 | 95% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW | 76 | 5% | 99% | 0% |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD | 67 | 0% | 82% | 0% |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW | 63 | 0% | 58% | 0% |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD | 60 | 0% | 34% | 0% |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW | 59 | 0% | 24% | 0% |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL | 51 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW | 46 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL | 44 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | SC Braga | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW | 43 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD | 43 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD | 38 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD | 36 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL | 33 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL | 32 | 0% | 0% | 37% |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 9 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL | 30 | 0% | 0% | 52% |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL | 28 | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL | 19 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (16–18)Probabilities re-run after every result.
This weekend's swing match
Benfica vs Alverca · Mon 20:15
A Benfica win moves their title odds to 6%.
Prediction →Matchday 10 predictions
9 matches · 0 free picks
Every fixture with 1X2, score and over/under calls.
Round 10 predictionsAbout the Primeira Liga table
How is the projected Primeira Liga table calculated?
We simulate the remaining Primeira Liga fixtures 2,000 times using team-strength ratings built from results, goal difference and form, then average where each club finishes.
How often does it update?
The standings update after every match and the projection is re-run within an hour.
Who wins the Primeira Liga 2026/27?
FC Porto are the model's favourite at 94.8% right now, with Benfica second on 5%.