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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 2
  3. Saint Etienne vs Montpellier

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier

Result • Ligue 2·Saint Etienne·Montpellier

Ligue 2
Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.70
X3.80
24.60
Stadium
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
high Confidence
Montpellier

Montpellier

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.80
24.60
Stadium
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Win Probabilities
57%
Saint Etienne
25%
Draw
18%
Montpellier
Home1.7057%
Draw3.8025%
Away4.6018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Saint Etienne are clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Montpellier. The main risk is Montpellier's resolute defence, which has kept three clean sheets in their last five, potentially frustrating the home side.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 2 fixture between Saint Etienne and Montpellier using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Saint Etienne a 57% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Montpellier a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1G. Larsonneur vs M. Michel: The goalkeepers' duel could be decisive; Larsonneur's shot-stopping against Michel's command of the area may determine the outcome.
2M. Bernauer vs M. Chambon: Bernauer's attacking runs from full-back will test Chambon's defensive discipline on Montpellier's left flank.
3N. Kasia Nkondo vs Naoufel El Hannach: The battle between Saint Etienne's centre-back and Montpellier's forward could shape the game's flow, with Nkondo's aerial strength against El Hannach's movement.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Saint Etienne

  • Prolific attack, averaging 3.4 goals per game in last five
  • Perfect home record (2 wins from 2)
  • Conceded in three of last five matches
  • Potential complacency due to top position

Montpellier

  • Solid defence, with three clean sheets in last five
  • Unbeaten in last five matches
  • Lack of goals, scoring only three in last five
  • Struggle to convert draws into wins

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Saint Etienne513514

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (51%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Saint Etienne enter this Ligue 2 clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a commanding position at the top of the table. Their attacking output has been prolific, averaging over three goals per game, while their defence has remained solid, conceding just over one per match. Montpellier, though unbeaten in their last five, have drawn three of those and have been far less potent in front of goal, scoring only three times in that span.

Form Analysis: Saint Etienne's momentum is exceptional — five consecutive victories with 13 goals scored and only three conceded. Montpellier have shown resilience, keeping three clean sheets, but their inability to convert chances into wins (three draws) suggests a lack of cutting edge. The home side's 100% win rate in their last five outings dwarfs Montpellier's 50%.

Key Factors: Saint Etienne's home advantage is perfect (2 wins from 2), and their head-to-head record is overwhelmingly dominant, having won seven of the last nine meetings. Montpellier's defensive solidity could make them hard to break down, but their offensive struggles and inferior overall quality point to a home victory.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours Saint Etienne. Their superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance over Montpellier make them the rightful favourites. While Montpellier's defence may keep the score respectable, the home side's quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextSaint Etienne

Combo Winner : Saint Etienne and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Saint EtienneMontpellier
63%Strength36%
81%Attacking Potential19%
25%Defensive Potential75%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
89%Goals H2H11%
63%Wins the Game36%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Saint EtienneInjuries · Montpellier</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Saint Etienne

WWWWL
  • WAug 31, 26A · Dijon2-3
  • WAug 22, 26H · Grenoble4-0
  • WAug 14, 26H · Clermont Foot3-1
  • WAug 8, 26A · Sochaux0-3
  • LMay 29, 26A · Nice4-1

Montpellier

DWWDD
  • DAug 28, 26H · Boulogne0-0
  • WAug 21, 26A · Dunkerque0-1
  • WAug 14, 26A · Nancy0-1
  • DAug 8, 26H · Dijon1-1
  • DMay 9, 26A · RED Star FC 931-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Saint Etienne5+1215WWWWW
2Annecy5+210WDLWW
3Reims5+59DWWDD
4Metz5+49WDDDW
5Montpellier508LDWWD
6RED Star FC 935-18WLDDW

Head to Head

7
Saint Etienne
0
Draws
2
Montpellier
  • Feb 7, 26Saint Etienne – Montpellier1-0
  • Oct 4, 25Montpellier – Saint Etienne0-2
  • Mar 16, 25Montpellier – Saint Etienne0-2
  • Nov 23, 24Saint Etienne – Montpellier1-0
  • Jul 31, 24Montpellier – Saint Etienne1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Saint EtienneMontpellier
Played55
Goals Scored164
Goals Conceded44
Avg Scored3.20.8
Avg Conceded0.80.8
Clean Sheets23

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier — Match Analysis

Saint Etienne are clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Montpellier. The main risk is Montpellier's resolute defence, which has kept three clean sheets in their last five, potentially frustrating the home side.

Saint Etienne enter this Ligue 2 clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a commanding position at the top of the table. Their attacking output has been prolific, averaging over three goals per game, while their defence has remained solid, conceding just over one per match. Montpellier, though unbeaten in their last five, have drawn three of those and have been far less potent in front of goal, scoring only three times in that span.

Form Analysis: Saint Etienne's momentum is exceptional — five consecutive victories with 13 goals scored and only three conceded. Montpellier have shown resilience, keeping three clean sheets, but their inability to convert chances into wins (three draws) suggests a lack of cutting edge. The home side's 100% win rate in their last five outings dwarfs Montpellier's 50%.

Key Factors: Saint Etienne's home advantage is perfect (2 wins from 2), and their head-to-head record is overwhelmingly dominant, having won seven of the last nine meetings. Montpellier's defensive solidity could make them hard to break down, but their offensive struggles and inferior overall quality point to a home victory.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours Saint Etienne. Their superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance over Montpellier make them the rightful favourites. While Montpellier's defence may keep the score respectable, the home side's quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Saint Etienne: 57% · Draw: 25% · Montpellier: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 59% · Under 2.5: 41% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Saint Etienne wins: 7 · Draws: 0 · Montpellier wins: 2

Form (latest first): Saint Etienne: WWWWL · Montpellier: DWWDD

  • G. Larsonneur vs M. Michel: The goalkeepers' duel could be decisive; Larsonneur's shot-stopping against Michel's command of the area may determine the outcome.
  • M. Bernauer vs M. Chambon: Bernauer's attacking runs from full-back will test Chambon's defensive discipline on Montpellier's left flank.
  • N. Kasia Nkondo vs Naoufel El Hannach: The battle between Saint Etienne's centre-back and Montpellier's forward could shape the game's flow, with Nkondo's aerial strength against El Hannach's movement.

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Ligue 2

Ligue 2

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 2France
Montpellier
Sep 1118:00
PAU
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
Ligue 2France
Dijon
Sep 1118:00
Laval
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
Ligue 2France
Clermont Foot
Sep 1118:00
Boulogne
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
Ligue 2France
Nancy
Sep 1118:00
Reims
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
Ligue 2France
Rodez
Sep 1118:00
Grenoble
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
Ligue 2France
Guingamp
Sep 1212:00
Annecy
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
Sochaux
Sep 1212:00
Nantes
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
Ligue 2France
Dunkerque
Sep 1218:00
Saint Etienne
14.7621%
X3.7027%
21.9252%
Ligue 2France
RED Star FC 93
Sep 1418:45
Metz
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
Ligue 2France
Reims
Sep 1818:00
Montpellier
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Ligue 2France
Grenoble
Sep 1818:00
Clermont Foot
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Ligue 2France
Laval
Sep 1818:00
Sochaux
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Ligue 2France
PAU
Sep 1818:00
Dunkerque
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Ligue 2France
Rodez
Sep 1818:00
Nancy
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 2France
Annecy
Sep 1818:00
Dijon
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%

Betting Tips

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