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  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce vs Fiorentina

Result • Serie A·Lecce·Fiorentina

Serie A
Serie A
Apr 20, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
DRAW
Lecce

Lecce

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.50
X3.30
22.15
Stadium
Via del Mare
high Confidence
DRAW
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
Odds
13.50
X3.30
22.15
Stadium
Via del Mare
Win Probabilities
22%
Lecce
33%
Draw
45%
Fiorentina
Home3.5022%
Draw3.3033%
Away2.1545%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees shadows of struggle for Lecce, with Fiorentina's flame burning brighter on the road. Ancient wisdom reveals a tight contest leaning towards the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Lecce and Fiorentina using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lecce a 22% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Fiorentina a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Kaba vs Fiorentina defense: Lecce's top scorer against a strong defensive unit with 82% rating.
2Lecce midfield vs Fiorentina midfield: Battle in midfield areas where Fiorentina's 4-3-3 may dominate possession.
3Lecce defense vs Fiorentina attack: Lecce's weak defense (18% rating) faces Fiorentina's potent attack (70% rating).
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lecce

  • Home advantage with a 0.55 rating
  • Historical head-to-head success with 3 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Poor form with 4 consecutive losses
  • Defensive issues, conceding 45 goals in last 5 matches

Fiorentina

  • Strong form with a 79% rating and 2-win streak
  • Superior attack and defense ratings at 70% and 82% respectively
  • Injuries to 3 players, though all are doubtful
  • Inconsistent recent results with LWLLW form

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Fiorentina163945

Moderate agreement on away win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Fiorentina is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for an away victory. The market probabilities indicate Fiorentina as the favorite at 44%, supported by their stronger form and statistical advantages.

Form Analysis: Lecce is struggling with 4 consecutive losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game in their last 5 matches, and failed to score in 3 of those games. Fiorentina has a 2-win streak, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game, and 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1. Fiorentina's superior form and momentum, with a 79% form rating compared to Lecce's 21%. 2. Lecce's defensive weaknesses, conceding 45 goals in their last 5 matches. 3. The API-Football model predicts Fiorentina as the winner with a double chance of draw or Fiorentina, reinforcing the odds signal.

Conclusion: The data supports Fiorentina as the likely winner or a draw, with probabilities adjusted to reflect their form and statistical edge while staying close to market odds.

Statistical ContextFiorentina

Double chance : draw or Fiorentina

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LecceFiorentina
32%Strength68%
30%Attacking Potential70%
18%Defensive Potential82%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
35%Goals H2H65%
32%Wins the Game68%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · LecceInjuries · Fiorentina</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Lecce

LLWLW
  • LSep 7, 26A · Cagliari1-0
  • LAug 31, 26H · AS Roma0-4
  • WAug 23, 26A · Venezia0-2
  • LAug 17, 26A · Palermo2-0
  • WMay 24, 26H · Genoa1-0

Fiorentina

WLLLL
  • WSep 11, 26A · Venezia2-4
  • LSep 5, 26H · Torino1-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Frosinone0-3
  • LAug 24, 26A · AS Roma4-0
  • LAug 14, 26A · Benevento4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
13Torino3-13WLL
14Lecce3-33LLW
15Bologna3-21DLL
16Parma3-31DLL
17Monza3-41DLL
18Venezia3-50LLL
19Genoa3-60LLL
20Fiorentina3-80LLL

Head to Head

5
Lecce
2
Draws
3
Fiorentina
  • Nov 2, 25Fiorentina – Lecce0-1
  • Feb 28, 25Fiorentina – Lecce1-0
  • Oct 20, 24Lecce – Fiorentina0-6
  • Feb 2, 24Lecce – Fiorentina3-2
  • Aug 27, 23Fiorentina – Lecce2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

LecceFiorentina
Played33
Goals Scored21
Goals Conceded59
Avg Scored0.70.3
Avg Conceded1.73.0
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LecceFiorentina
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Lecce vs Fiorentina — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees shadows of struggle for Lecce, with Fiorentina's flame burning brighter on the road. Ancient wisdom reveals a tight contest leaning towards the visitors.

Based on the structured data, Fiorentina is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for an away victory. The market probabilities indicate Fiorentina as the favorite at 44%, supported by their stronger form and statistical advantages.

Form Analysis: Lecce is struggling with 4 consecutive losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game in their last 5 matches, and failed to score in 3 of those games. Fiorentina has a 2-win streak, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game, and 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1. Fiorentina's superior form and momentum, with a 79% form rating compared to Lecce's 21%. 2. Lecce's defensive weaknesses, conceding 45 goals in their last 5 matches. 3. The API-Football model predicts Fiorentina as the winner with a double chance of draw or Fiorentina, reinforcing the odds signal.

Conclusion: The data supports Fiorentina as the likely winner or a draw, with probabilities adjusted to reflect their form and statistical edge while staying close to market odds.

Win Probabilities: Lecce: 22% · Draw: 33% · Fiorentina: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Lecce wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Fiorentina wins: 3

Form (latest first): Lecce: LLWLW · Fiorentina: WLLLL

  • M. Kaba vs Fiorentina defense: Lecce's top scorer against a strong defensive unit with 82% rating.
  • Lecce midfield vs Fiorentina midfield: Battle in midfield areas where Fiorentina's 4-3-3 may dominate possession.
  • Lecce defense vs Fiorentina attack: Lecce's weak defense (18% rating) faces Fiorentina's potent attack (70% rating).

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Genoa
Sep 1213:00
Frosinone
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Sep 1216:00
AC Milan
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Sep 1218:45
Cagliari
12.0449%
X3.5728%
24.3523%
Serie AItaly
Lecce
Sep 1313:00
Monza
12.5040%
X2.9434%
23.8526%
Serie AItaly
Napoli
Sep 1316:00
Bologna
11.7258%
X3.7027%
26.6715%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Sep 1318:45
Juventus
17.6913%
X3.8526%
21.6461%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Sep 1416:30
AS Roma
17.6913%
X3.8526%
21.6461%
Serie AItaly
Como
Sep 1416:30
Parma
11.3773%
X5.0020%
214.297%
Serie AItaly
Inter
Sep 1418:45
Udinese
11.4171%
X5.2619%
210.0010%
Serie AItaly
Monza
Sep 1818:45
Sassuolo
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Sep 1913:00
Cagliari
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Sep 1913:00
Torino
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Serie AItaly
AS Roma
Sep 1916:00
Inter
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Sep 1918:45
Lazio
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Serie AItaly
Fiorentina
Sep 2010:30
Napoli
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%

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