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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Modena vs Spezia

Modena vs Spezia

Result • Serie B·Modena·Spezia

Serie B
Serie B
Mar 13, 2026
19:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Modena

Modena

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.60
25.00
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Braglia
medium Confidence
Spezia

Spezia

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.60
25.00
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Win Probabilities
55%
Modena
26%
Draw
19%
Spezia
Home1.7055%
Draw3.6026%
Away5.0019%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Modena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Spezia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Modena and Spezia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Modena a 55% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Spezia a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1E. Gliozzi vs Spezia defense: Modena's top scorer with 7 goals will test Spezia's weak defense that has conceded frequently.
2Midfield battle in 3-5-2 vs 3-5-1-1: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for dictating play.
3R. Kouda vs Modena defense: Spezia's key attacker will face Modena's defense that has kept 2 clean sheets recently.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Modena

  • Strong defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Inconsistent recent form with draws and losses
  • Lower average goals scored (1.2) compared to Spezia

Spezia

  • Higher average goals scored (1.8) in recent matches
  • Recent win streak indicates some momentum
  • Poor defensive record with 0 clean sheets in last 5 matches and higher goals conceded (1.8 avg)
  • Lower league position (17th) and negative goal difference (-10)
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ModenaInjuries · Spezia</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Modena

DLWWL
  • DSep 12, 26A · Sudtirol1-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Avellino0-1
  • WAug 28, 26A · Cremonese0-3
  • WAug 22, 26A · Benevento1-2
  • LAug 15, 26A · Venezia3-2

Spezia

WWDDL
  • WSep 12, 26H · Livorno2-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Sambenedettese1-2
  • DMay 8, 26A · Pescara1-1
  • DMay 1, 26H · Venezia2-2
  • LApr 25, 26A · Catanzaro4-2

Head to Head

1
Modena
3
Draws
2
Spezia
  • Dec 13, 25Spezia – Modena0-2
  • Feb 15, 25Modena – Spezia1-1
  • Nov 2, 24Spezia – Modena1-0
  • Feb 25, 24Modena – Spezia0-0
  • Dec 26, 23Spezia – Modena1-1

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

ModenaSpezia
Played337
Goals Scored542
Goals Conceded258
Avg Scored1.71.1
Avg Conceded0.71.6
Clean Sheets16

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ModenaSpezia
Over 2.5 Goals4/104/10
Both Teams Scored4/106/10
Clean Sheets4/102/10

Modena vs Spezia — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Modena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Spezia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Modena is predicted to win this match, supported by bookmaker odds and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Modena's recent form (DLLWW) shows improvement with two wins in their last two matches, while Spezia's form (WDLWL) is inconsistent, including failing to score in 2 of their last 5 games. Modena has a better defensive record with 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches compared to Spezia's 0.

Key Factors: 1. League standings show Modena in 6th place with 44 points and a +13 GD, significantly higher than Spezia in 17th place with 29 points and a -10 GD, indicating a quality gap. 2. Home advantage rating of 0.55 favors Modena. 3. No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either team, ensuring full squads.

Conclusion: The data points to a Modena victory due to superior league position, home advantage, and recent form momentum, aligning with market and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Modena: 55% · Draw: 26% · Spezia: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Modena wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Spezia wins: 2

Form (latest first): Modena: DLWWL · Spezia: WWDDL

  • E. Gliozzi vs Spezia defense: Modena's top scorer with 7 goals will test Spezia's weak defense that has conceded frequently.
  • Midfield battle in 3-5-2 vs 3-5-1-1: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for dictating play.
  • R. Kouda vs Modena defense: Spezia's key attacker will face Modena's defense that has kept 2 clean sheets recently.

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Sep 1315:15
Palermo
13.8526%
X3.1332%
22.3842%
Serie BItaly
Mantova
Sep 1315:15
Sampdoria
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Serie BItaly
Juve Stabia
Sep 1818:30
Cesena
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Sep 1913:00
Virtus Entella
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Serie BItaly
Palermo
Sep 1913:00
Padova
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Serie BItaly
Carrarese
Sep 1913:00
Benevento
12.3842%
X3.0333%
24.0025%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Sep 1915:15
Catanzaro
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Sep 1917:30
Avellino
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Serie BItaly
Hellas Verona
Sep 2013:00
Vicenza Virtus
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Serie BItaly
Arezzo
Sep 2013:00
Sudtirol
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
Serie BItaly
Mantova
Sep 2015:15
Pisa
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
Serie BItaly
Modena
Sep 2017:30
Empoli
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Oct 1013:00
Cesena
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Oct 1013:00
Palermo
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
Serie BItaly
Virtus Entella
Oct 1013:00
Juve Stabia
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%

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